R
rossum
Guest
Yes it does. Natural selection is not a random process.The jargon woo is strong with this one. Evolution doesn’t deliberately/accidentally ‘filter’ anything.
Correct.Mutations - random/spontaneous/unpredictable
No, very definitely not luck. I am afraid the explanation requires a little jargon and some numbers. This is science after all. The process is rather like compound interest. As an example, take a stable population of 1000 organisms; on average each organism has one descendant in the next generation. Now let a beneficial mutation appear with a 1% advantage, so the mutated organism will have on average 1.01 descendants in the next generation. For comparison I include ten other mutated organism with a 1% disadvantage. Start with a population of 10 deleterious, 989 neutral (or unmutated) and 1 beneficial mutations. See what happens if we let the population reproduce for one thousand generations:Natural selection - luck
Code:
Generation Deleterious Neutral Beneficial
---------- ----------- ------ ----------
0 10.0 989.00 1.00
1 9.9 989.00 1.01
10 9.0 989.00 1.10
100 3.7 989.00 2.70
500 0.1 989.00 144.77
700 0.0 989.00 1059.16
1000 0.0 989.00 20959.16
This is a very simple model and easy to set up on a spreadsheet, but it is enough to show the advantage natural selection gives a beneficial mutation and how it spreads through a population over the generations.