Perhaps one way to look at this is to say that the War in Iraq is a battle within the larger War on Terrorism or Radical Islamofascism (please don’t focus on the name I use but the idea). Then the question is whether the War on Terror is just.
It actually seems to make even less sense in that context. We diverted resources from Afghanistan to Iraq. As a consequence, our latest extensive military evaluation for Afghanistan is that our rosiest assessment is a current stalement, with Taliban control of portions of the country, and more pessimistic assessments of actually losing ground and growing instability.
So, in our most direct and obvious military reaction related to 9/11, Iraq was a resource drain to our detriment. But, more importantly, it created Islamofascism groups inside Iraq where, previously, there is no evidence that it existed (Saddam was a terrible tyrant, but a secularist - which is why we were so fond of him and his ongoing conflicts with Iran).
This should be no surprise. We have western occupation of an Islamic state in the middle east. It is a perfect recruitment drive for Islamic extremists. So, globally, recruitment appears to be up, the flow of money appears to be up, and acts of terrorism are demonstrably up.
Further, it should have surprised no one that the removal of a Sunni dictator in a Shia majority would create an Islamic state with close ties to Iran. Obviously, it was a big surprise to the PNAC crowd, but they still seem to be under the delusion that we can establish a permanent military presence in Iraq without spending $2.4B per week (note the President’s recent signing statement claiming exclussion from Congressional constraints on permanent bas spending).
We’ve essentially made our limited security ‘progress’ in the last year by switching sides. That is, we started giving aid to Sunni war lords and letting them ethnically purify their areas of control. So, a democratic Iraq, or even a rejection of religous extremists, is seemingly no longer a US priority.
But, what I find disturbing is the redefinition of “Just War”. There appears to be a tendancy to confuse ‘justified in hindsight’, with what is a matter of Catholic Faith. One is moral relativism, the other proper respect for the inalienable rights of the human person. For example, the untimely death of the signatories here:
newamericancentury.org/statementofprinciples.htm
Who have been calling for the invasion of Iraq for the purposes of strategic self interest for more than a decade might well have saved several hundred thousand innocent lives and millions of refugees (disproportionately Christian) considerable misery. But it would be obscene to propose that wishing for such a calamity, let alone acting on it, is remotely Christian.