Obama and Hillary sanctioned the killing of a head of state. Crickets.
Trump sanctions the killing of a top general. Hue and cry.
Get over it, Obama lovers, Libya is very firmly on him and Hillary.
Military leaders have always been targets. Deaths of generals are relatively rare in recent wars as generals tend to be far behind the lines, but it still happens. US Major General Harold Greene was killed in Afghanistan in 2014, for instance.
But it is very standard military doctrine to prioritize finding the opposition military leaders at every level and vanquish them along with their command and control centers. That’s war. Iran’s been at war with us for over 40 years now. Obama tried a different tack, that turned out to be a failure. Compounded by Kerry’s blundering about behind Trump’s back as recently as 2018.
I’m not clear how Khamenei is in th corner. The loss of Soleimani is obviously going to hurt the regime, but realistically how badly? Soleimani had lieutenants, handpicked over the years, and like any general that dies, another will pop up in his place. I don’t foresee this as causing Quds any long-term damage. Iran isn’t some Banana Republic where if you take out a military leader, the whole thing just falls to the ground.
Good question, glad you asked. Khamanei is quite squeezed between his hardliners’ desire for the stiffest response possible vs. the escalation threat that Trump made.
The Iran-Iraq War in the 1980’s was nearly a disaster for them. Since that time, the Iranians have always been about their own survival. Hence they almost always operate via proxies when outside of their borders. As this usually involves non-Persian factions with their own politics, Suleimani’s value to the Iranian leadership was the skill with which he could manage them both within and without Iran. As he was the leader for at least two decades, that implies he had the respect, the charisma, the ruthlessness, the experience and the strategic sense to do the job and to remain in the job. There are political rivalries in the Iranian leadership just as there are in most other countries. Suleimani survived them all.
As such, he will be very difficult to replace in the short term. Sure they have another name there today, but it will take awhile for that guy to truly assume the mantle of leadership as Suleimani did. Months, perhaps, if not years. It is possible that only Suleimani had the big picture in mind; it is possible that he did not share all the details with either Khamanei or his underlings. In the meantime, there are public statements that Suleimani got sloppy with his personal security. That could be a blame the victim thing; they might be busy right now trying to figure out how the US military knew he was there. Heads will roll if they find the leak. But while they’re looking for it, we can expect that to delay them to some extent.
Given how Khamanei’s taunt backfired, they’re probably going to step back and rethink their strategy as they were not expecting Trump to do something like that. We’ll find out soon.