A
aemcpa
Guest
If we see smoke in the next hour, it will be white. If the first ballot fails, they wait until after the second ballot to burn them all. So smoke around 2 pm could be white or black, but smoke around 12:30 pm will mean the 1st ballot of the afternoon (4th overall) was successful. Cardinal Ratzinger was elected on the 4th ballot in 2005.

:harp: