Unfortunately, today it is as difficult to find a Western nation where the native population is not dying as it is to find an Islamic nation where the native population is not exploding.
Not so. Most Muslim nations have experienced a precipitate drop in birthrates in the past 30 years.
Demographers measure population growth by looking at the “total fertility rate” or TFR. TFR is the average number of babies a woman has in her lifetime. A TFR of 2.1 is replacement rate. If TFR falls below 2.1 then the current cohort of women of childbearing age is not replacing itself.
Below I’ve shown TFR for selected Muslim countries for 1960, 1980 and 2010. Notice the steep decline between 1980 and 2010.
Bangladesh: 6.72, 6.37, 2.20
Egypt: 6.65, 5.37, 2.69
Indonesia: 5.67, 4.43, 2.12
Iran: 6.94, 6.48, 1.67
Pakistan: 6.60, 6.54, 3.42
Turkey: 6.12, 4.45, 2.06
The largest Muslim country, Indonesia, has seen TFR fall by more than 50% since 1980. It is barely at replacement rate.
Iran is below replacement rate.
Turkey is down to replacement rate.
NB: Many of these countries still have growing populations because they have a large cohort of women of childbearing age due to previous high birthrates. But the pace is slowing and the trend is down.
The drop in TFR has been a global phenomenon. Europe is ahead of the pack but the rest of the world seems to be following.
In 1960 demographers were predicting a global population of 8.5 billion by 2000. Here we are in 2012 and global population is barely above 7 billion.