H
hecd2
Guest
Of course the mathematics of reproduction is that mammalian species often have stable population sizes that fluctuate about a mean for hundreds of generations. This happens because even though a fertile couple can and do have more than two offspring, a) not all live births survive to adulthood, b) of those that do, not all are fertile or succeed in reproducing for various reasons, c) occasional disastrous events such as floods, famine, accident and disease wipe out whole families or sub-populations.Good point.
Given the number of years, the female is fertile plus the mating urge of the male, each set of parents would have had numerous children. This means that the 10,000 or 1,000 (breeding pairs) minimum human population would consist of family clusters of brothers and sisters.
Since a family of brothers and sisters are produced by two parents, there is a new population figure increased by seven (for example) humans per set of two parents. When one does the math, a smaller population of parents can produce a subsequent larger population.
Now, when one looks at the parents of the children who make up the 10,000 or 1,000 breeding pairs, the same principle of fertility and mating apply to the parents of the parents. And there is, again, a smaller population producing numerous children.
Thus, the concept that the minimum human population could only be 10,000 or 1,000 breeding pairs misses the mark. In other words, the mathematics of reproduction trumps.
If populations steadily increased they would reach astronomic proportions in not very many generations - on the whole, unless conditions become peculiarly favourable for a particular trade, the deaths of those who do not reproduce or who have only one or two offspring, offset the parents who have three to ten or more.
Your argument is, I think, that populations increase from generation to generation and thus if there was once 1,000 breeding pairs then there must have been fewer in the previous generation and fewer in the generation before that all the way back to two individuals. Your mistake is in thinking that populations in the wild necessarily increase from generation to generation - population statistics show that that argument is not correct and so it is perfectly possible from that perspective that the pre-human population was never as small as two individuals, and the evidence (see post below) precludes such an extreme bottleneck.
Alec
evolutionpages.com