this is the kalam cosmological argument:
- everything that begins to exist has a cause;
- the universe began to exist;
- therefore the universe has a cause.
premise 1 is a statement of the causal principle on the basis of which all science proceeds. it is an initial assumption about which we are as certain as we are anything.
when the inevitable “but quantum mechanics has shown that there are acausal events, like radioactive decay” comes up, you can point out that what has been witnessed by scientists are events for which no cause is
known. to say more than that is to go beyond the actual
data of the experiments and to start ***interpreting ***them.
at
that point, i would observe simply that, as between the causal principle and an interpretation of scientific data, you reject the less certain. and since, as i say, the causal principle lies at the very foundation of the scientific endeavour, i would reject any particular interpretation in conflict with it. i mean, if you reject the idea of causality, what’s the point of doing science, which is, ultimately, looking for causes?
but that is as may be. there are, at any rate, other competing interpretations of the experimetal data of quantum electrodynamics, most notably what are known as
hidden variables theories. according to these, the so-called “causeless” events are ***not ***without a cause, and are actually caused by a further level of reality about which we currently have no knowledge. if we did (and when we do), we will be able to see how these events follow from their causes.
as for supporting premise 2, that the universe began to exist:
- an actual infinite cannot exist;
- a beginningless series of events in time is an actual infinite;
- therefore, a beginningless series of events in time cannot exist;
- but the universe exists;
- therefore the universe began to exist.
this is obviously a philosophical argument, but the current science also supports this.
i’m sure this isn’t going to convince anyone over there, and i’m also sure you’re going to get a lot of other objections, perhaps quotes from grunbaum or linde or quentin smith; there are rebuttals to all of them, but i have neither the time nor the inclination to anticipate them all here.
hope this helps.