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Guest
Actually, the Church in North America and Europe is in decline; elsewhere it is growing and even flourishing.Your Church is an exception not the norm. The Church overall is in decline.
Actually, there has been speculation for a long time that part of the blip in the statisitcs prior to 65 was in part due to World War 2. It has been fairly well acknowledged that it was an unusual increase historically in the Church. Much of the fall out occured in the 60’s and very early 70’s when so many left to get married (at a time of tremendous social upheaval in society). And as far as 2020, unless you or your prognosticator have a crystal ball and a good polishing rag, it only appears that there will be 31,000 left. There are a number of areas where vocations are increasing, and there has generally been an increase in seeking vocations. Given, however, the status of society in general - materialistic and secularistic, it will be an interesting time.Priests. While the number of priests in the United States more than doubled to 58,000, between 1930 and 1965, since then that number has fallen to 45,000. By 2020, there will be only 31,000 priests left, and more than half of these priests will be over 70.
One needs to keep in mind that part of those numbers included high school seminaries. there has been a further shift in that many, if not most vocations now are coming from post-college graduates, not people entering in high school or college.Seminarians. Between 1965 and 2002, the number of seminarians dropped from 49,000 to 4,700, a decline of over 90 percent. Two-thirds of the 600 seminaries that were operating in 1965 have now closed.
Again, very few women are entering at the end of high school; many if not most vocations are later in life. Interestingly, the orders that seem to be growing ( and there are orders growing) are those which seem to have a clear understanding of their charism, tend to live in community, and tend to have a clearly defined habit which most if not all members wear. They also tend to be the communities which are true to the Magisterium.Sisters. In 1965, there were 180,000 Catholic nuns. By 2002, that had fallen to 75,000 and the average age of a Catholic nun is today 68. In 1965, there were 104,000 teaching nuns. Today, there are 8,200, a decline of 94 percent since the end of Vatican II.