Charley,
I appreciate your initiation of a thoughtful thread. I no longer have my copy of the original “Wager” treatise, but my 30-year old recollection says that your excerpt of the original lacks some pertinent details included in Pascal’s full treatise. But you got the sense of his idea right, and that counts. Nonetheless, for those of us with analytical tendencies, the devil is oft in the details.
Pascal proposed that the cost of believing in God was small. It required certain standards of moral behavior— standards which a normal human will naturally follow on his own. Treating people honestly, not lying, cheating, or stealing— that sort of thing. As a Catholic, the standards included showing up in church now and then for an hour of reconnection with the spiritual self, and perhaps with like-minded individuals come for the same thing. He did not even mention titheing, which is more to the benefit of the Church than to God… Really, the only cost Pascal ascribed to normal humans was the showing up in Church part.
His words, translated into less flowery English, simply advised that by following a few honorable rules of behavior and showing up in Church, one secures for oneself a place in eternity. If the wager loses (no God, no eternity) what has one lost? A little time, perhaps a few bucks, the self-appointed freedom to behave like a pig and go to jail or die young. And if the anti-God wager wins, what does the winner gain? Nothing! He will never even know that he won.
But one betting against God, Pascal claims, loses everything if God exists.
Wagering in favor of God is akin to betting a dollar in hopes of gaining a trillion dollars; Wagering against God is like betting a few dollars, or a few thousand, depending upon how important it might be to someone to feel free to lead a brief life of evil, with nothing to gain over the long term, but everything to lose.
As Pascal might have put it in modern terms, betting in favor of God is a no-brainer.
However…
There is an understanding common to Catholics of his day, and of this day, which is Implicit in Pascal’s Wager. It is that God is selecting obedient souls for His heavenly collection, souls without the curiosity to study the universe, without the intelligence to form their own opinions about it and its purpose, and lacking the courage to transform whatever opinions they might have into convictions upon which they are willing to take a stand.
What if God is just looking for a few good men?
What if obedient, subservient souls are not what God is looking for? What if God is actually looking for individuals who have the intelligence and will to examine the beliefs they were taught, compare them with common sense and the real universe, and the courage to declare, in the face of overwhelming acceptance of beliefs, that the available religious teachings cannot possibly be correct?
One way to sort for such souls might be to put them on a planet in which everyone accepts a religious belief system which makes no sense whatsoever, but which everyone within a given society or sub-culture accepts. Every believer in whatever system will be told that its teachings are absolute, unquestionable truth, and that there will be a terrible price to pay for failing to accept the beliefs in question.
God will then select from the multitude those extremely few who recognize the failings of the belief system they’ve been indoctrinated into from childhood, and then declare that they do not accept it, despite the threatened consequences.
Of course Catholics do not need to concern themselves with this argument because they’ve adopted the only true and correct belief system. Neither do Muslims. Or Jehovah’s Witnesses, or Mormons, or atheists.