Cute. But not helpful.
Here’s a view from Los Angeles, describing two scenarios:
"Peak-oil will creep upon us, like crabs in the pot, the water temperature getting a little hotter, and a little hotter…we keep adapting…until a crisis point is reached…then, we’re toast. Gasoline supplies dry up and…make your own scenario. None of them will be very pretty.
Or, the Saudis will keep camouflaging their flagging production until they can’t hide it any longer, even with the cooperation of 1st world governments and mainstream media… Mexico’s Cantarell begins its steep decline, we can’t find any immediate new sources of oil…and, BOOM, no creeping catastrophe, rather, it hits us in the face like a piano from five floors up.
Either way, things are gonna get very, very ugly. I really don’t see how we avoid it now. It’s just a matter of time. Short time, really. Cantarell is in decline now. Informed opinion is that Saudi production is stagnant, in spite of quite frantic efforts by Aramco to drill new wells. The North Sea is declining at nearly 20% per year.
Even if first-world oil companies, somehow, find a way to make up part of the decline from the big producers, we’re still looking at something like 5-10% world oil production declines per year, in the very near future. That will be catastrophic right there. Let alone 20%. That’s the apocalypse.
We’re f****d, folks. And oil sands and oil shale are NOT going to save us. I wish it were not so. I love my affluent life in La-La land. But it can’t last. I see this town from downtown, a town that will be almost totally unable to function without fossil fuel for transportation, and I wonder what in HELL to do. What will any of us do?"