Polls see Republicans keeping Senate control

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Races tighten in Montana, Missouri, Rhode Island and Virginia

A NEW ROUND OF MASON-DIXON POLLS shows Republicans likely to keep the Senate.
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Hopefully we can keep the party of Abortion from controliing either house of Congress,. However keeping the Senate, given the liklihood of Stephens retirement, is crucial for the goal of stopping the killing of our children.
 
The reported dem “tidal wave” seems to have abated over the last two weeks according to a Washington* Post*-ABC News poll released today. The numbers have improved for Republicans across the board. Support for Iraq is up as well. In particular, there was an eight-point increase in the generic Congressional candidate, which party do you trust on Iraq, and was the war in Iraq worth it questions. In other words, despite the blanket media coverage of violence in Iraq over the past two weeks, support for the effort there actually grew—and with it, support for Republicans. Right track/wrong track and values questions show a similar favorable increase for Republicans.

(Methodology*: This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone November 1-4, 2006, among a random national sample of 1,205 adults. Full results are available here .**)*
 
Republicans vote on Tuesday.

Democrats vote on Wednesday.

[Source: Suppress the Vote 2006]

[Approved by the same Democrat precinct captains as approved the butterfly ballot in Florida.]
 
The Washington Post poll wasn’t the only one to pick up on a shift in momentum, as it turns out. Gaius Arbo at Blue Crab Boulevard points readers to the latest from Pew Research, which now shows the generic Congressional ballot within the margin of error:…

UPDATE: Gallup also detects a momentum shift, and like Pew, they have settled on John Kerry’s remarks as the likely culprit (via AJ Strata):President Bush’s last-ditch push for votes and Sen. John Kerry’s comments that seemed to denigrate the education level of U.S. forces in Iraq have helped energize GOP voters. A Democratic advantage of 23 percentage points a month ago and 13 points two weeks ago is now down to 7. A Pew Research Center survey released Sunday also showed that an 11-point edge for Democrats on the congressional ballot two weeks ago had narrowed to 4 points among likely voters. “It’s gone from a slam-dunk for Democrats to take the House to a pretty good chance,” says Andy Kohut, director of the center.

captainsquartersblog.com/mt/archives/008445.php
 
The last midterm election was projected by the MSM to be a big win for the Democratic Party. But, for some reason, it turned out to be a big win for the Republicans.

How come???
 
Al_Masetti said:
The last midterm election was projected by the MSM to be a big win for the Democratic Party. But, for some reason, it turned out to be a big win for the Republicans.

How come???
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Turnout, turnout, turnout…

Even the polls showing Republican improvement mean very little. The only poll that counts is the real one tomorrow! Call your friends and neighbors and make sure they are voting.
 
From the liberal magazine The New Republic

John Judis and I have been e-mailing about the alarming Pew poll that came out today. It reflects the same trends captured by that earlier Washington Post/ABC poll, except that the trends are, gulp, even more pronounced. Worse, the folks at Pew have graciously posted their cross-tabs, which makes it nearly impossible to rationalize the lousy results. As John points out, the fact that Democrats’ 15-point advantage among white women last month has turned into a 2-point disadvantage today is incredibly ominous. Unfortunately, it’s not quite as ominous as the erosion in the Democrats’ advantage among Northeasterners: from 26 points to 9. The Northeast is, of course, a region where Democrats are banking on roughly half a dozen pick-ups. That kind of dropoff isn’t going to get the job done.

(Excerpt) Read more at tnr.com …
 
If the Democrats take the Senate and/or the House, then how will all that interact with the Sandinistas re-taking Nicaragua? Looks like Ortega is/ will be back in charge.
 
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