I suppose the difference is that he is providing actual statistics from parish records (which are more likely to be kept by more mainline denominations) while you are providing us with pure conjecture. And then turning around (based on what?) and nearly accusing the author of dishonesty as if he’s purposely avoiding statistics (that you don’t provide).
So, why don’t you provide this “wealth of information” that the author avoids, thus rendering his article “worthless”?
I am not too computer smart or friendly, so I took your challenge.
On the first hit - I just tried Presbyterian churchs (USA) - did I say on my first hit? Yes, On my first hit, I got the following: Measuring Church Attendance: a Further Look, by John P Markum, references Hadaway, et al. (that is a shorthand note to a scholarly reserch article, jusut in case you didn’t know).
Hadaway, et al. reported 36% of the Protestant population claimed attendance at a Saturday night or Sunday worship service, while actual average attendance for all in the county during the same period was below 20%.
The county was in Ohio; the period in question was reporting on a survey in 1993. Guess what: that means a drop off in attendance in the Mainline Protestant Churches.
And that was a scholarly journal being reviewed. Uh, if I can find it, maybe someone else can find others?
Pure conjecture? No, I am not making pure conjecture. But your writer has a point he truly believes in, and went looking for information he thought would support his position. I would suggest that if he had taken a scholarly approach, he would have found an absolute raft of information that would have called his thesis into serious question.
You may choose to believe anything your read; or you may choose to believe anything you read which supports your conjecture. Just because someone writes an article doesn’t mean that they have done good research.
Oh, and while I was at it, I found some more information. Perry Chang, Recent Changes in Membership and Attendance in Mainline Protestant Denominations (he is part of Research Services for Presbyterian Church (USA).
This does not parallel attendance at services from the 60’s onward; but is to your point that the Protestant churches are not seeing much change: loss of membership by percentage, 1994 - 2004:
American Baptist - 18%
Disciples of Christ - 26%
Lutheran (ELCA) - 4.4%
Presbyterian (USA) - 14%
Reformed (RCA) - 9.7%
United Church of Christ - 18%
United Methodist - 4.9%
But they are doing just fine, while the Catholic Church is spiraling out of control.
Not.
Average attendance in the same groups, 2004:
American Baptist - not reported
Disciples of Christ - 33%
Lutheran (ELCA) - 40%
Presbyterian (USA) 47%
Reformed (RCA) - not reported
United Church of Christ - 33%
United Methodist - 41.5%
Granted this is for only a 10 year period, however, the comment that they are not seeing much change is not reflective of the facts.
Ah, but I was only full of pure conjecture.
Nearly accusing the writer of dishonesty? No, I don’t think he intended to be dishonest. I think he intended to prove a thesis, and went about it in a way that shows he knows little or nothing about research, or how to conduct research, or how to even find out what others have found and reported on.
He believes that the change in the liturgy had a damaging and devastating effect on the Church, and that attendance fell off dramatically because of it.
I would never posit that the change in the liturgy was organic, or well done, or even well introduced.
I would posit that the Church has been affected by a number of things, many of them eminating from outside the Church, and some serious ones within the Church. I would futher posit that the dumbing down of catechesis, the breakdown of the extended family and then the nuclear family, the introduction of the Pill and the rampant sexual revolution which still has not played itself out, and the loss of respect for authority which started with the Civil Rights movement, advanced with the Viet Nam war, and was compounded by the immediate reaction to Humanae Vitae have had as much if not more to do with the loss of people attending Mass as the changes in the liturgy. Your boyo is way too simplistic in his approach, and ignores a whole host of events that have impacted the Church. In short, he has an ax to grind.
And if you think that I don’t have a clue as to what the impact was in the changes in the Mass, let me clue you in: I was in college when it hit. And I am not real smart, but I would hazard a guess that if Hadaway did research on Church attendance, there are a whole lot of other people who did so too; and they would show further how much your writer either ignored, or didn’t bother to discover what actually was happening, not only since the introduction of the OF, but well before Vatican 2.