I agree, an ordinariate seems unlikely. I doubt the FSSP, ICKSP, etc., have any interest in something like that, and it would be hard to believe there is enough interest in the general population, so to speak, for an ordinariate.
There are far more Latin Mass Catholics than they are Anglican Use Catholics.
The Pope also just approved (in March 2020) new prayer & preface options for new Saints in for the Extraordinary Form
I would think the opposite would be more likely, i.e., withdraw SP, suppress (or whatever the right word is) the FSSP and ICKSP as ‘creating division’, being too rigid, etc.
There is no evidence that the FSSP and ICKSP are creating division for Bishops. If anything, I think they solve the issues the Bishops experience with Diocesan priests attempting to offer the Latin mass.
Also, creating an ordinariate would not automatically mean that the FSSP and ICKSP would need to disappear. It would simply mean that their parishes would belong to different bishops.
‘separatist tendency’ what is the alternative, though? I mean really, can one truly say those who attend an EF are “all” adherents to what you describe? Do they have any practical effect on the Church at large? I think most U.S. Catholics barely know that such things exist. I would think most bishops, as currently constituted, should be happy to concentrate those who want the EF into one or two parishes per diocese.
Same thing could be said about the Ordinariate, which Pope Francis expanded their membership from just converts to any Catholic who prefers the Ordinariate Liturgy. He also granted them their first Bishop.
I personally think Pope Francis thinks moving traditionalist to their own ordinariate would be best.
It is really the best compromise. It’s gets the traditionalist out of the Bishop’s hair. And gives the traditionalists their own Rite, similar to the Ambrosians, Rutharians, Melkites, etc.
It also allows the traditionalist orders to remain as is and service a new ordinariate. Traditionalist Religious Orders (Canon Regulars, Monastic Orders, Mendicant Orders, Clerics Regulars, & Religious Congregations) can easily retain their charisms. While traditionalist Societies of Apostolic Life can easily either become “diocesan priests” of a new ordinariate OR retain their societies.
For a Pope like Pope Francis, who is sympathetic to the idea of Ordinariate, it is a win win.
I know as a fact that the Institute of the Good Shepherd is in favor of an Ordinariate type position, which is why they seperated from the SSPX. I think the only group that would straight out reject an Ordinariate is the SSPX, because their ultimate goal is to replace the 1969 Mass.
God Bless