Sectarian Violence or al-Qaeda Attacks?

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*al-Qaeda attacks are being masked as sectarian violence; negotiations over forming the government continue *

Since the destruction of the golden dome of the revered Alaskari mosque in Samarra, the death and violence, particularly that committed against the Shiites, has been automatically assumed to be sectarian in nature. However, a large number of the high-impact attacks bear the hallmarks of al-Qaeda tactics – suicide bombs in buses, markets and restruants; coordinated military style raids on soft targets, such as factory workers, homes and businesses. Beheadings are also dead giveaways of al-Qaeda involvement.

Soldier’s Dad provides an interesting example of such an incident. Reuters reports an attack on a town outside of Baghdad called Al-Nahrawan, where 19 Shiites were killed, including “a six-year-old girl killed with a single bullet to her forehead.” Jihad Unspun, which Soldier’s Dad notes is a jihadi-friendly website which translates al-Qaeda and other “freedom fighter” statements. The newly al-Qaeda created Mujahedin Shura Council states killed “50 Iraqi Apostates In The Battle Of ‘The Village Of Knights’” The Mujahedin Shura Council claims those killed (70 total) were all members of the police & the Shiite Badr militia.

al-Qaeda has a vested interest in stirring up sectarian violence, and are conducting attacks to achieve such an outcome. Their terror campaign designed to disrupt the establishment of the Iraqi Security Forces has failed. The intimidation campaign against Iraqi civilians, despite its terrible toll, has failed to prevent the Iraqi people from voting in three elections over the course of 2005. It has, in fact, pushed elements of the Sunnis population normally sympathetic to their cause, to fight against al-Qaeda. This includes prominent tribes, politicians and even nationalist insurgent groups. al-Qaeda’s only hope is to destroy the political process of forming a unity government, and fomenting a civil war.

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While I agree with your overall point, I think your argument contains a few flaws - first, it overlooks the significant number of Sunni victims of the violence. Certainly some of those could be due directly to al Qaeda, but that seems like a small possibility.

Second, it suggests that beheadings are proof of al Qaeda involvement. While that’s certainly likely in most cases, I doubt it’s true in all.

Similarly, just because a classic terrorist technique is used, like blowing up a car in a marketplace, doesn’t mean al Qaeda is involved - it’s a pretty effective way to kill lots of Sunnis or Shiites (pick your neighborhood) and avenge the death of your father/sister/what have you.
 
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