Skeptic Michael Shermer: Skepticism shaken to its core

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He does know why. Or rather he knows what the causes were likely to be.

But what Shermer is saying is that in an emotional moment like that (he’s just about to get married for heaven’s sake) then if the planets align and that one in a gazillion chance occurs, then accept it and enjoy it. You’d have to be pretty cold hearted if you didn’t find something wonderful in a moment like that.

I have a grandfather clock on the wall that actually to belong to my grandfather. It hasn’t worked since he died years ago. If that clock had started up as my daughter walked down the stairs in her wedding dress, then I would have been ‘shaken to the core’ as well (I wasn’t exactly in an unemotional state of mind in any case). As Shermer himself said shortly after his article was printed:

Until such time when science can explain even the most spectacularly unlikely events, what should we do with such stories? Enjoy them. Appreciate their emotional significance. But we do not need to fill in the explanatory gaps with gods or any such preternatural forces. We can’t explain everything, and it’s always okay to say, “I don’t know,” and leave it at that until a natural explanation presents itself. slate.com/bigideas/what-is-the-future-of-religion/essays-and-opinions/michael-shermer-opinion

It would be worth reading the whole article to which I linked. As he says, it’s fine to say: ‘I don’t know’ sometimes. And at other times it would be better to enjoy the moment and not try to deconstruct it.
Not a very scientific response, Bradski.

Curious.

Science is so important to so many skeptics and atheists, yet for some reason for phenomena like this, which really, truly suggests something supernatural…the scientific method gets quashed.

 
He does know why. Or rather he knows what the causes were likely to be.
Really? What were those causes?

And if he does know why, doesn’t that refute the ENTIRE point of the article–“my skepticism is shaken to its core”.

No one’s skepticism is shaken to the core if there’s a scientific explanation.

Imagine if Shermer had said, “I was vaccinated against meningitis. I was exposed to meningitis. I didn’t get the disease. My skepticism was shake to its core!”

That would be absurd, no? He has an answer to why he didn’t get meningitis.

If he really had an answer as to what caused the radio to play, at the moment his wife was walking down the aisle (and never again has played), then…

his skepticism…

would remain…

intact.
 
Science is so important to so many skeptics and atheists, yet for some reason for phenomena like this, which really, truly suggests something supernatural…the scientific method gets quashed.
Well, yes. It does suggest the supernatural. At a moment like that, it’s nice to think of it as dear ol’ grandad ‘being there’ at that special moment. There’s no need to deconstruct the whole thing into transistors and humidity levels and temperature curves and spoil the moment as it were. But no-one in their right mind (well, actually, quite a lot of people) would actually think that it WAS gramps reaching out from the grave at this special moment.

Shermer does NOT think it was a supernatural event. He is absolutely CERTAIN that it wasn’t a supernatural event. That’s for the very good reason that he doesn’t BELIEVE in supernatural events. He was just saying…enjoy the moment. You can’t prevent yourself getting goose bumps now and then, so enjoy the sensation. Tell everyone about it. Tell them how amazing it was. Tell them about the emotion.

But please, don’t for one second think that a radio crackling into life for a few minutes has convinced Mike that the dead are trying to contact us. Please read the article to which I linked and he explains all this himself. He doesn’t need me to do it for him.
 
Well, yes. It does suggest the supernatural. At a moment like that, it’s nice to think of it as dear ol’ grandad ‘being there’ at that special moment. There’s no need to deconstruct the whole thing into transistors and humidity levels and temperature curves and spoil the moment as it were. But no-one in their right mind (well, actually, quite a lot of people) would actually think that it WAS gramps reaching out from the grave at this special moment.
Only someone with a very closed mind wouldn’t think that, Bradski.

Think about what you’re saying: it’s absolutely NOT possible to believe what it suggests.
 
Shermer does NOT think it was a supernatural event. He is absolutely CERTAIN that it wasn’t a supernatural event.
REally? So why was his skepticism shaken?
That’s for the very good reason that he doesn’t BELIEVE in supernatural events.
Annnnnd that, my friend, is the most telling statement about atheism that’s ever been made here.

Atheists mostly claim that they’d believe, “if only there was some proof”.

But what it really turns out is that there really is no proof that is sufficient.

“I’d believe if there was a miracle”.
“I don’t believe in miracles because I’m an atheist. So whatever phenomenon that you’re going to present to me can’t be a proof of the supernatural because I don’t believe in the supernatural because I’m an atheist.”

#circular
 
Please read the article to which I linked and he explains all this himself. He doesn’t need me to do it for him.
Just did.

Firstly, you stated that “he does know why” [this phenomenon occurred].

Except in the article linked he says the anomalous experience is one “for which I have no explanation.”

I loved the quote by the physicist: "In any field, find the strangest thing and then explore it.”

And it seems that Shermer has completely ignored that in favor of, “Let’s just embrace the mystery.”

Completely contrary to everything that Shermer believes in.

Shermer ends with the very, very oh-so-unscientific “We can’t explain everything, and it’s always okay to say, “I don’t know,” and leave it at that until a natural explanation presents itself”.

Oh, and it’s also just bursting with question-begging. “Until a natural explanation presents itself”.

I though his raison d’etre was to find the answer, no matter where it led? Isn’t that the point of the scientific inquiry?

A scientist ought not dismiss one possibility summarily, don’t you think?

That’s like a scientist saying, "I’m going to look for any answer to this strange phenomenon, but only if it’s an answer that’s found in a mineral. I’m only looking for answer that are solved by minerals. And they have to be minerals that start with the letter “c”.
 
“I don’t believe in miracles because I’m an atheist. So whatever phenomenon that you’re going to present to me can’t be a proof of the supernatural because I don’t believe in the supernatural because I’m an atheist.”
When I say that I don’t believe in God, what I am saying is that there has been no credible evidence put forward that I find acceptable. I assume that that is what Shermer means when he says, as I’m sure he does: ‘I don’t believe in the supernatural’.

At some point you have to state your beliefs or lack of them. It’s almost for convenience sake, just the way that I don’t have to preface any comment I make about God with the phrase: ‘Of course, as an atheist, I don’t believe in God, but for the purpose of this discussion, let’s assume that he exists and just let me say…’.

Shermer doesn’t preface everything he writes with: ‘Of course, despite being a skeptic, I have to keep an open mind about everything and one cannot discount everything out of hand, but let me just say…’.

In this case, the coincidence was, as it would be to anyone who experienced it, a little unnerving. His first thought was probably: ‘Hang on, this isn’t meant to happen’. Now if it happened to someone who had already decided that the supernatural was quite possible, they might think it really was grandad sending a message from the other side (we’ve had a couple in this thread already – hello Della…). Accepting the supernatural is their default position.

On the other hand, despite being shocked by it (as we all would), Shermer’s default position is that he doesn’t believe in the supernatural (no credible evidence put forward that he has found acceptable). So if you asked him later that day if he thought it really was a dead person sending messages, he would have most probably laughed it off (out of earshot of his new wife) and given a few explanations of how it could have happened. As he said:

‘I can well imagine some electrical glitch, a particle of dust, an EM (electromagnetic) fluctuation from the batteries—something in the natural world—caused the radio to come to life’.

You’re making a mountain out of a rather small molehill. Please read the article to which I linked – I assume you haven’t because Shermer explains his position and, as I said, it’s hardly my position to answer questions that he has already answered.
 
Only someone with a very closed mind wouldn’t think that, Bradski.

Think about what you’re saying: it’s absolutely NOT possible to believe what it suggests.
I think that you understand that absolutes play both ways.

John
 
When I say that I don’t believe in God, what I am saying is that there has been no credible evidence put forward that I find acceptable.
That’s what I always thought you meant…

but I think it’s quite clear now that you and a lot o’ folks around here really don’t mean that.

What you mean is: my default position is “I don’t believe in the supernatural, so any evidence you put forward for the supernatural is going to be rejected because…I don’t believe in the supernatural.”

Would that your position was: give me credible evidence and I’ll follow it where it goes!
 
Accepting the supernatural is their default position.
And rejecting the supernatural is your default position.

Would that the default position was: I will follow truth no matter where it goes.

Please listen to this short conversation on Catholic Answers Live between apologist Trent Horn and an atheist named Zach.

catholic.com/radio/shows/why-are-you-an-atheist-30966#

The important part is at about 15:03 “I don’t think it’s [a miracle] possible for that to happen”.

Trent points out his circular reasoning. “I don’t believe in miracles because I’m an atheist” and “I’m an atheist because there aren’t any miracles.”

catholic.com/audio-player/30966
Please read the article to which I linked – I assume you haven’t because Shermer explains his position and, as I said, it’s hardly my position to answer questions that he has already answered.
I told you that I did.

And that means that I did. :mad:
 
What you mean is: my default position is “I don’t believe in the supernatural, so any evidence you put forward for the supernatural is going to be rejected because…I don’t believe in the supernatural.”
No, that’s not correct. Lacking any evidence that any given supernatural event has taken place, I will not spend a great deal of my time investigating it so my default position would be that it did not take place. Any evidence put forward will be treated on its merit. You are not any different. Your default position on fairies, hobgoblins, trolls, unicorns, dragons etc is exactly the same.

If I said that there is a fire breathing troll in my basement, your default position would be disbelief. You certainly aren’t gullible enough to want to come over and check it out just in case it’s true. This is common to everyone. We use past experience to form opinions on what is likely, or unlikely, to be true.
Trent points out his circular reasoning. “I don’t believe in miracles because I’m an atheist” and “I’m an atheist because there aren’t any miracles.”
Ah, yes. Good old Trent. I hope he’s not being held up as an example of cutting edge Christian thinking. I read his Answering Atheism and let’s just say I wasn’t impressed. In the least.

And I’m not going to be held responsible if he can’t (or any caller that he gets cannot) conjure up a more cohesive argument than a risible circular argument that is meant to represent the line of reasoning of anyone who describes himself or herself as an atheist.

This is probably a bit too long winded for Trent – and a little harder to pick apart in a 30 second sound bite.

‘I don’t believe in miracles because I haven’t seen any credible evidence for any event that has been presented to me. That, in itself, is not why I am an atheist. I’m an atheist for a variety of well thought out and personally compelling reasons. The lack of evidence for miracles is just that, so any argument that requires a miracle to be true will fail because of that’.

Oh, and don’t you just love his line of argument in any case? There could be a gazillion miracles and only one has to be true for his position to hold, yet all of them have to be false for the callers to be true. ‘So’, he says. ‘Which is more likely!’ Holy Toledo, is that an example of high level Christian apologetics? The guy is a clown.
 
No, that’s not correct. Lacking any evidence that any given supernatural event has taken place, I will not spend a great deal of my time investigating it so my default position would be that it did not take place. Any evidence put forward will be treated on its merit. You are not any different. Your default position on fairies, hobgoblins, trolls, unicorns, dragons etc is exactly the same.
If you say, “I will go wherever truth leads, except if it leads to the supernatural”, then you are closed minded.

Your fall-back position is: there is no such thing as the supernatural.

My fall back position is: I will go wherever truth leads. And if evidence supports the existence of fairies, hobgoblins, trolls, unicorns and dragons, then of course I will investigate.

That’s what open minded, scientific-minded people do.

We do not start with a preconceived rejection of something we say we need in order to believe.

IOW: you have already set up a standard for evidence that refutes itself.

“I will believe when there is evidence for the supernatural”.

“But there is no evidence for the supernatural that I will acccept, so I don’t believe.”

What, exactly, would you want to have as evidence for the supernatural?
 
Ah, yes. Good old Trent. I hope he’s not being held up as an example of cutting edge Christian thinking. I read his Answering Atheism and let’s just say I wasn’t impressed. In the least.

And I’m not going to be held responsible if he can’t (or any caller that he gets cannot) conjure up a more cohesive argument than a risible circular argument that is meant to represent the line of reasoning of anyone who describes himself or herself as an atheist.
I am heartened to see that you recognize the circular argument that the atheist caller presented. 👍
‘I don’t believe in miracles because I haven’t seen any credible evidence for any event that has been presented to me. That, in itself, is not why I am an atheist. I’m an atheist for a variety of well thought out and personally compelling reasons. The lack of evidence for miracles is just that, so any argument that requires a miracle to be true will fail because of that’.
Fair enough.

But you couldn’t reject evidence for a miracle because “I don’t believe in miracles since I’m an atheist”, right?

That’s all I’m saying. You recognize how illogical that is.

And that’s what you’re doing with the Shermer incident. “I don’t believe in the supernatural since I’m an atheist”.

#illogicalalso
Oh, and don’t you just love his line of argument in any case? There could be a gazillion miracles and only one has to be true for his position to hold,
This is exactly right. 🙂

You do see how 1 miracle–just 1–would be all that’s necessary to prove the existence of God?
yet all of them have to be false for the callers to be true.
Again, also exactly right.
‘So’, he says. ‘Which is more likely!’ Holy Toledo, is that an example of high level Christian apologetics?
It’s simply a statistical observation.

Which *is *more likely, just looking at the numbers?

I would say, mathematically, Trent Horn comes out on top.

#youcantarguewithnumbers
The guy is a clown.
Careful, Bradski.

I am surprised at your level of response to him. He is the most sanguine of apologists.

Nothing he says prompts any kind of emotional response from you other than an intellectual refutation of his position.

I am pondering what prompts this type of excitable reaction from you. :hmmm:

It is out of proportion to the situation.

I wonder…
 
And rejecting the supernatural is your default position.
You are mistaken. It is not outright rejection, it is the null-hypothesis, which can be falsified, IF and ONLY IF there is proper, convincing evidence that warrants it. And the skeptic does not present “special” demands. The demand is always the same. Present your evidence.
Would that the default position was: I will follow truth no matter where it goes.
Do you live according to this principle? Let’s not use “miracles” as an example. Or the alleged power of “prayers”.

Let’s use paranormal experiences. Suppose that someone comes forward and says that he can move things around with the power of his mind. Maybe bend spoons, or moving pencils without touching them. You go and look at him and his demonstration, and it “looks” convincing, very, very convincing. Do you accept his claim? If you do, you are gullible.

A real skeptic does not. He demands the same performance under properly controlled circumstances. And you know what? The person cannot perform under those circumstances. Not one, not ever. So there is not one instance of substantiated paranormal procedures. As such the default position for the paranormal claims is skepticism. If the person who makes the claim is willing to submit to a rigorously enforced experiment, then the skeptic will go according to your principle: “Let the chips fall where they may”. But the chips always fall against the claim. 🙂

The same applies to “supernatural”. Allegedly, praying for some medical condition MAY have the effect of making that condition disappear. Of course the proponents have the “get-out-of-jail” card… Insh’Allah - God willing. If there is an improvement, it is attributed to praying. If there is no improvement (which is 99.9999… percent of the cases) then it would have gone against God’s greater plan.

It is a con game. If it is heads you win, if it is tails, we lose.
 
In a beautiful and poignant narrative, Skeptic/Agnostic Michael Shermer relates an event which shook his skepticism to its core:

scientificamerican.com/article/anomalous-events-that-can-shake-one-s-skepticism-to-the-core/

Thoughts?

One thought this does provoke in me: why does a scientist like Shermer seem ok with simply “marveling in the mysterious”, on this matter?

Isn’t that the point of science–to ask questions and to find answers to the why and the how?

Why is it that on this particular issue it’s fine, in his mind, to say, “We don’t know why. It just is.”

That would never be acceptable to any scientist for any other inexplicable phenomena.

Rather, it ought to prompt a detailed and zealous investigation, no?
I’ve studied such things for many years and scientists are simply silent about the paranormal or the supernatural or anomalies As the story goes, careers could be ruined or virtual exile would occur if a scientist spent any time studying these events, After all, we all already know that superstition and chance play a role, so why bother?

I’ve spent years studying inexplicable phenomena to see if there is any scientific answer, and, in a few cases, I think there is good evidence. But again, detailed study? The official answer is no.

Ed
 
If you say, “I will go wherever truth leads, except if it leads to the supernatural”, then you are closed minded.
Quite right. But I mean, for heaven’s sake, with over two thousand posts on the board you will not find one where I have even said that God doesn’t exist, let alone the supernatural.
Your fall-back position is: there is no such thing as the supernatural.
If no evidence is presented, then yes. If someone says that a particular miracle occurred in the 18th century in a little village in Peru, then, after a lifetime of being personally convinced that every supernatural event that has been presented to me has not taken place , then this little Peruvian event will be dismissed unless credible evidence is produced. Which, in this case, would be all but impossible.
And if evidence supports the existence of fairies, hobgoblins, trolls, unicorns and dragons, then of course I will investigate.
I beg to differ. In the first instance you have no reason at all to believe they exist and in the second, you have no interest in investigating. I would be literally astonished if I heard you were seriously investigating a neighbours claim that he had seen a unicorn in the woods. You would, as would all reasonable people, discount it out of hand.
That’s what open minded, scientific-minded people do.
Most emphatically they do not. If someone keeps investigating something which proves to have not happened, then eventually they decide that unless there is some exceptionally compelling evidence to the contrary, all further examples will be discounted. If you have reached the decision that alien abductions have not taken place because all the available evidence that you have investigated points to that fact, then you most definitely do not investigate all further examples ‘just in case’. It’s called induction. It’s the basis for the scientific method.
“I will believe when there is evidence for the supernatural. But there is no evidence for the supernatural that I will acccept, so I don’t believe.”
Incorrect. There I no evidence for the supernatural that I HAVE accepted. If someone comes up with evidence that I find personally credible, then I will accept it. I won’t, actually, have a choice other than to do so.

And what evidence? Well, Grandad’s clock springing back into life won’t cut it. But, hey, if he personally sent me a specific message that I knew could have only come from him, that other people could see as well (so that I knew I wasn’t being delusional – so no ‘dream messages’) then I would believe in the supernatural. In fact, any message from any parent or grandparent about which only they and I would know the meaning.

Can’t be hard. If Mike’s wife’s grandad can start a radio, then a simple message should be easy.
 
But you couldn’t reject evidence for a miracle because “I don’t believe in miracles since I’m an atheist”, right? That’s all I’m saying. You recognize how illogical that is.

And that’s what you’re doing with the Shermer incident. “I don’t believe in the supernatural since I’m an atheist”.
No, Shermer (and I) don’t believe it was grandad because there are rather simplistic explanations for a radio starting to play after being dead for any length of time. The fact that it happened at a particular moment is coincidence and nothing more. These things happen all the time. They must. It’s the law of large numbers. There is absolutely no credible evidence whatsoever that it was someone reaching out from the dead other than it being a coincidence.
Which *is *more likely, just looking at the numbers? I would say, mathematically, Trent Horn comes out on top.
If thousands of claims are investigated and found to be false, increasing the number of claims does not increase the likelihood of any one of them being true. Every paranormal or supernatural event that is shown to be false (or where one is personally convinced is false) is a nail in the coffin. Adding more claims does not remove any of the nails.

If you want to argue that there are thousands of miracles which haven’t been investigated but which could be true, then that is equally applicable to anything at all and therefore applies to nothing in particular. Otherwise you get the risible proposal that something is more likely to be true the greater the number of claims about it.

UFOs? Big Foot? 9/11? Moon landing? Elvis? Only one positive claim needs to be shown to be true and all the other negative claims are then false. So there must be a very strong chance that Elvis is alive and well.
I am surprised at your level of response to him. He is the most sanguine of apologists.
This is not an opinion I have formed from a five minute discussion he had with someone who can’t form a reasoned argument. I’ve read a lot of what he writes. Blogs, article, books. His arguments are trite (Elvis lives!) and his style condescending. He annoys me as much as I imaging Dawkins annoys a lot of Christians.
 
. . . . If Mike’s wife’s grandad can start a radio, then a simple message should be easy.
If one can remain an Atheist,
gazing into a baby’s smiling face,
there is no message that cannot be transformed
into the appearance of illusion or delusion.

His message is everywhere, in everything,
right here for all to see.
Nothing like unicorns or alien abductions,
just simple reality,
in which we, here and beyond, communicate.

Something far more special is happening
as I think and type these words,
than is involved in the turning on of a radio,
as much more meaningful the latter may be.
 
If one can remain an Atheist,
gazing into a baby’s smiling face,
there is no message that cannot be transformed
into the appearance of illusion or delusion.
Yes there can. A message from Grandad.

If there is life after death, then the supernatural exists. If there is life after death, then someone who is most definitely dead in the here and now exists somewhere else. If you can get someone who knew me to send me a message from that somewhere else that can only have come from that person, then I will accept that as proof.

Bear in mind I am not asking for God Himself to step forward. I don’t want proof that He exists. Just the supernatural. Belief in God will be a small leap of faith from that point onwards.
 
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