Doesn’t Pascal’s wager also rest on the notion that one can believe by force of will and that the Judeo-Christian God would prefer someone who attempted to believe because of possible consequences and rewards rather than earnestly seeking out his or her own answers? Further doesn’t it ignore the possibility that some other theology may in fact be correct and in attempting to feign belief in your God one may exacerbate punishment from another deity and the reality that one does in fact lose much in being a believer?
Frankly, I think Pascal’s wager is arguably the worst possible argument for belief to have been imagined. That fact that it persists today is a testament to the fact that people don’t like to throw away ideas, however bad they may be.
No, it’s just a testament that you don’t like the result of the risk analysis.
Pascal’s Wager relies on the supposition that there is a monotheistic God and a Heaven and Hell. As I showed before, ontologically speaking it is rational to assume this assumption is fact due to the nature of the risk analysis. No matter what you do to explain around it, you will always return to the risk you are taking for lack of belief in a monotheistic God and a Heaven and Hell.
The issue of the possibility that some other monotheistic theology may be correct, thereby “exacerbating punishment” does not change the underlying risk analysis. All you have done is show that there may be
EXTRA risk above and beyond the underlying question whether to accept a religion that teaches one ominipotent God and Heaven and Hell. (The extra risk being whether you picked the correct religion.) Again, no matter what you do you are back to the underlying issue of belief in a monotheistic God and a Heaven and a Hell.
You have bet the farm that there is no God. That is your choice. No matter what arguments you come up with to try to deny the choice, ontologically speaking you will always have to come back to it.
As for
which religion to pick, as I showed earlier, the answer to that question lies in analyzing the claims of the religion itself. Which claim are internally self-consistent (a pointer towards Truth) and which claims are also consistent with the natural law (another pointer towards Truth) and which claims represent the claim to the highest authority (another pointer towards Truth). When analyzed in this light,
only the Catholic faith comes out the winner.
Regarding the issue of the “Judeo-Christian God would prefer someone who attempted to believe because of possible consequences and rewards rather than earnestly seeking out his or her own answers,”
to a point you are correct. Why? Because the God doesn’t change. There is no “his or her
own answers.” There is the absolute Truth, which represents simply what “is.” In your worldview, what “is” is that there’s no God. If that is Truth, then I would have to live with it regardless of whether or not I accepted it. Likewise, if God (as proclaimed by His church) is real, then you will have to live with Him whether you accept Him or not.
Additionally, you have a poor understanding of salvation. You should think less in terms of master-slave and carrot-stick. Instead, try to think in terms of relationships. We and God are friends if we keep His commands (He said so) - there is a relationship of lover and beloved. (The “command” part is required as we as limited beings must conform to Him, not vice-versa.) The carrot and the stick represented by Pascal’s Wager is merely the
beginning of this relationship - a “wake up call” to start developing that personal relationship with God.
Which brings me to your remaining objection regarding choice of belief. You can will belief. Faith and prayer is like a muscle you excersise, and your relationship with God improves with time just like your relationship with your spouse improves with quality time investment. The first step is simply to say “I believe” and then go from there.
For example, I
can will myself to marry a woman. Maybe I don’t know her or love her, but I can will for myself to enter into marriage with her. Marriage is a choice, though maybe I can’t really feel what that means. Over time, if I try, I can come to feel and understand love for my wife. The first step, though, is a basic act of will. Faith is the same way.
People can make acts of faith from radically different postions all the time. Some go from being true believers to being atheists. Some go from being hard-core atheists to becoming true believing Catholics.
Why does this happen? Something magical? No, it boils down to an act of will.