I think the previous administration dropped the ball in perusing Project Constellation. Why do we need to return to the moon again when we have been there before and can send satellites there as needed? For a lunar base to study lunar geology? For a pathfinder to Mars twenty years from now? I don’t see the point. Probes are cheaper and less risky. Maybe a manned mission to Mars may make sense one day, but I don’t think the technology is up to it yet.
Right now, space flight is in desperate need of innovation. Chemical rockets used for launch vehicle technology don’t cut it cost-wise. It costs between $10k-25k per kilogram to launch something into orbit. I think its worthwhile to amp up technology programs that seek other ways to improve on or revolutionize launch technology. Things like space elevators may be impractical right now, but we need to break the paradigm of chemical LV technology eventually. Giving incentives to private industry and funding military programs is a good start.
In the meantime, we have a commitment to a manned space flight presence on the ISS. Developing Ares I and canceling the remaining launch vehicles might make sense. So could using Soyuz, although that has political implications.
I agree. When I saw the kludge that was Constellation, I thought, “It’s Apollo all over again. Except far uglier.” Where the Command/Service Modules and Lunar Module were strikingly beautiful vehicles, the Constellation concepts looked like a CSM with a hormone deficiency and a lunar lander made out of bathtubs welded together.
There’s no reason to go to the moon again for political reasons. For that, we do need private industry to **give **us a reason. Mining. Energy collection. Sports in 1/6G. Heck, build the world’s coolest retirement community. One-sixth gravity and a window to heaven itself would make the last years quite awesome.
I’m still fond on going to Mars if nothing else than to say we went…but now we’re mature enough in spaceflight that we can exercise a commercial reason to go as well, *and *get private industry to sponsor it.
In my opinion, the best LEO option that would reduce costs was one of the original concepts for the STS system itself:
A manned, completely reusable booster and orbiter. Just add fuel. Or, expand on SpaceShipOne/Two’s idea (adapted from the X test flights such as the X-15) and drop a basic LEO crew shuttle from high-altitude.
I’m sure Rutan would be happy to adapt a new SpaceShipThree as a crew vehicle. Can it be that hard if money is the only problem and the STS tech has already been proven? Really?
For supplies, well, let’s just keep funding the
Automated Transfer Vehicles from ESA. These appear to work very well.