I genuinely know practically nothing about US politics, however due to the current global economic crisis, I still think Obama will win this. Mostly due to the fact that most people are out of work, and even aside from Romney’s 47% quote, a ‘labour’ type government usually gets voted in, in these global conditions.
I used to live across the strait form you in Scotland. Nice place. I’ll try and explain this a little more so you can see where I am coming from.
A lot of the 47% are people who are on unemployment provided by the government, and it’s maybe a few hundred dollars, maybe up to around 1000 a month.
We are talking about people who may have been making well over 100,000 Euros a year and are now working part-time at 8 Euros/hour.
It’s probably fun for a couple weeks. You can take a vacation, golf do whatever. But sooner or later the bills start to pile up.
Property taxes in the USA are also high due to our largely unionized education system and an incessant need to build athletic facilities for football teams. People on unemployment are going to have a difficult time making ends meet.
It’s also one reason why Asian nations are soaring past us in fields like math and science.
40 years ago, the USA was the biggest lender on the planet. Today we are the biggest borrower.
America is not as economically liberal as say Europe, Japan or Canada formerly was. We can’t afford to be because no one else is covering our defense, for one, and secondly, it’s just a different culture.
The media, on the other hand, is very liberal but is not representative of the nation as a whole. Most of their publications would probably be out of business if dentist office waiting rooms and libraries didn’t subscribe to their daily or weekly readings.
The other big difference between Europe and America is that European nations aren’t afraid to drill for oil or use nuclear power. Here in America, the left is at war with fossil fuels and nuclear in favor of wind and solar. This adversely affects union coal miners, who have been a key portion of the democrat base for decades, but now the left is turning on them to coddle trust-fund environmentalists.
The media in the UK isn’t afraid to take a critical stance against the left, except when it comes to Islam.
Here in America, the media is in the tank for Obama. Have been for over 4 years. Some of that has to do with white guilt. They think that by supporting Obama, the crimes of their ancestors (even though only 2% of Americans today had ancestors who owned slaves, some of them were even African or Native American) can be absolved.
If they were even balanced in the slightest, this election would be over instantly.
The other biggie we have that other nations do not is a housing entitlement program called Dodd-Frank.
This bill forced banks to loan out money to minorities, single women and poor people all in the name of not being discriminatory.
Turns out these groups are disproportionately unable to pay back loans which is the real reason why they were originally unable to get home ownership.
When the loans weren’t paid back, houses were foreclosed and guess who got the blame? The banks, of course.
The same politicians who told the banks they had to do this and if they went under the taxpayers would bail them out blamed the banks, not their bill.
If Obama is re-elected, within a year if not months republicans and independents will be calling for his impeachment.
The economy will contract in the biggest way since the Great Depression, unemployment will soar, energy costs will multiply, China, Japan and private bond holders will stop lending money, there will be massive inflation, interest rates will go from 2-3% to 20% to counter it and there will be a run on the dollar.
Big cities will also probably be under martial law as a result from the ensuing panic.
Americans will be sitting glued to their TV sets and radios getting a crash course in real world economics wondering how this could have happened only to learn it is too late and that Barack Hussein Obama and the democrat party will have succeeded in cutting America down to size to show all those “greedy”, successful people what it’s like.
As a result, the defense around the free world will collapse overnight and Russia, China and Iran the Muslim Brotherhood will be the new powers.
As for the liberals on here and elsewhere?
They’ll still blame republicans.