What do you think of climate change?

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I know what the glaciers are doing and I know what kind of rain events they’re getting in Houston.
Houston’s problem is urban sprawl, not climate change. Though it’s man made, the fix isn’t a carbon tax.

When are these trends you worry about going to start? The temp has been flat in the US for close to two decades.
 
Agreed.
The droughts in the west are nothing new. The huge population growth is, with too much water being wasted. California shoots itself in the foot with its environmental laws preventing new reservoirs from being built and letting good fresh water run into the Pacific in the name of saving one small fish.
Most of California has always been a desert and drought is not unusual. The huge population growth has gone unchecked, which leads to water shortages.
 
California shoots itself in the foot with its environmental laws preventing new reservoirs from being built and letting good fresh water run into the Pacific in the name of saving one small fish.
sigh,… yet another idiotic-deniers-theory that is being spread on “teh interwebz” as legitimate scientific gospel truth
in the relentless pursuit of creating an agribusiness friendly environment, we presently have a government in CA w/ a 5:1 “over promised” ratio of assigned water rights to average annual rain fall runoff,… which brings to mind an enron style accounting system or fabulous returns that might be promised “suckers” in a “ponzi scheme” (before the inevitable fall)



POTUS “we have a water problem that is so insane and so ridiculous,…” BUT the problem isn’t “a certain kind of three-inch fish,” its politicians/lawyers and deniers who time and time again demonstrate similar brain power to “a certain kind of three-inch fish”

as I have tried to point out,…
seems Breitbart and/or Mr. Watts only add fuel to the “religious” battle for hearts/minds/souls
truth be told,… social media too often ignores the basic science and math,… which explains the root cause of problems in the first place,… AND continuing to ignore what basic science is saying, only exacerbates the issue(s)

FWIW

SUMMARY of TRENDS (key to understanding the logic of drought in CA)
“precipitation” ~ DOWN
“groundwater (reserves)” ~ DOWN
“water use” ~ UP
“population” ~ UP
“infrastructure” ~ DOWN
“economy/wages (for majority)” ~ DOWN
“political bull$hit” ~ UP

SUMMARY CONCLUSION
a goal [of unscientific “solutions” being implemented] without a “scientific” plan is just a wish [that will end up being a living nightmare]

bottom line the CA drought problem will not be solved because the public is,… NOT REALIZING that there is an allocation of 370 million acre-feet of water rights BUT PUBLISHED DATA states in an average year there is only about 70 million acre-feet of freshwater runoff

http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article2607102.html

http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084012

in other words,… “DEMAND (370 million acre-feet of water) > SUPPLY (70 million acre-feet of freshwater runoff)” isn’t the simple straightforward basic science explanation donald, agribusiness lobbyists and the rest of the CC deniers camp,… want to recognize as fact!!!
 
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Houston’s problem is urban sprawl, not climate change. Though it’s man made, the fix isn’t a carbon tax.

When are these trends you worry about going to start? The temp has been flat in the US for close to two decades.
We’re not just talking about flooding events. We’re talking about a volume of water per unit time over a certain area: extreme rainfall events. Those extreme rainfall events are becoming more common. Likewise, the number of extreme heat events are becoming more frequent. It isn’t either/or, then. There is no reason it cannot be both.
Agreed.
The droughts in the west are nothing new. The huge population growth is, with too much water being wasted. California shoots itself in the foot with its environmental laws preventing new reservoirs from being built and letting good fresh water run into the Pacific in the name of saving one small fish.
Most of California has always been a desert and drought is not unusual. The huge population growth has gone unchecked, which leads to water shortages.
Is the huge population growth making the West’s glaciers retreat, too, lol?
There is no reason that proving increased demand disproves a thing about whether there are droughts. (And yes, I know the West has suffered from lots of extended droughts in the last 1000 years. That also does not prove that historically high carbon dioxide levels are in no way problematic.)

I wonder why I keep coming back to this thread. How many identified cases of a single person accepting a single new piece of information have we had?

Life is short, people…
 
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Is the huge population growth making the West’s glaciers retreat, too, lol?
Glaciers have grown and shrunk over the millennia. They’re current shrinking cycle offers no proof of man made warming.
 
Glaciers have grown and shrunk over the millennia. They’re current shrinking cycle offers no proof of man made warming.
There are people here denying that there even IS warming. Then when there is evidence that yes, there is warming and there is climate change, the objection changes to “OK, so what? What proves we caused it?”

This isn’t a theory that was made up in 1970. The theory that carbon dioxide could have this effect was proposed in 1860 and the theoretical underpinnings were published by Svante Arrhenius in 1896. (Yes, that Arrhenius.) Carbon dioxide is not the only atmospheric gas that has that effect; methane has a similar effect.


https://history.aip.org/climate/co2.htm
and especially


This thread has been a monumental waste of time. Why? Because there is no evidence that anybody here is going to accept. It is not rational to refuse to accept even the possibility that the level of combustion that happens on this planet for year after year cannot POSSIBLY be having an effect on the climate. Sorry, but it is way too much the denial around whether smoking was bad for the health that kept on and on after the science was well-established. The denial I’m hearing now sounds mostly like that denial–we don’t care what essentially every science society in the US says, because they’re all either lying or biased, but we have dispassionately looked at the evidence and we know better. Sorry, the accusations against the science are just that baldly off-base. This isn’t a fad. It isn’t a political invention. The scientists are all lying for…I don’t know why people think they’re lying. No, they are not.

Hey, I know where my money is. I could be wrong, but unfortunately I have to accept that the odds are far better that the deniers are living in denial.
 
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I could be wrong, but unfortunately I have to accept that the odds are far better that the deniers are living in denial.
Yes, you could be wrong. So could we. The odds would be far better for all of us if serious communication could take place without the far reaching prognostications and labeling those who disagree “deniers.” Real science means seeking the truth. It means looking at the science of those who refute your findings to understand where the differences lie. Not trying to shame them as invalid research or whatever terms were used. It means rather than trying to use a political party to impose their ideology of socialism or more government control, that real science would work within the existing government/economic structures to bring about any changes need. Capitalism is more likely to find new methods to reduce any real pollution, as it has been doing in the US for many years.
 
The odds would be far better for all of us if serious communication could take place without the far reaching prognostications and labeling those who disagree “deniers.”
The charge doesn’t come from disagreeing. The charge comes from denying scientific conclusions based on whether or not the conclusion is acceptable or not rather than who has the better evidence.
The findings have been objected to but not refuted.
Again, I am NOT saying that a certain scientific conclusion automatically implies capitulation to a certain political proposal that is being sold as a solution. It is possible both to propose the wrong thing for the right reasons and to propose the right thing for the wrong reasons.
As for whether or not capitalism is likely to find new methods, capitalism is currently held hostage to a short-sighted “yield profits now” paradigm that determines business ethics according to what yields the highest profits. That means that publicly-held companies will find ways to reduce pollution exactly to the degree that it is deemed likely to increase profit margins or lower losses. That reality unfortunately plays right into the “social engineering” model of politics.

The legitimate need for a fair opportunity to earn a return on effort and investment and a stable economic environment that allows prudent business decision-making is not in charge of American capitalism or politics. Mammon is in charge, and that is not a party-specific problem. And yes, philosophies of social engineering that are unmoored from the Gospel also have a very big influence. That makes it extremely difficult to reconcile Christian morality with political reality. I suppose that should be another matter than deciding how to be ready for weather events that profoundly affect both life and business, but in the end I think that is the actual problem.
 
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HarryStotle:
The narrative is that many scientists are very concerned with making their work significant, so they rationalize their endeavors by pointing at the “consensus” among scientists that support a specific viewpoint. So if the “consensus” of scientists agree that global warming is an issue, it must be so.
Also a false narrative. But a very attractive one to those whose don’t like the consensus.
Or do you want to go back and actually deal with points made by Delingpole?
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LeafByNiggle:
You get just one. Pick the “best” one. I don’t have time for a “boatload” of claims.
The actual data from the past 150 years shows…
The climate alarmists seek to disallow …
This fails to account for the fact that since the 19th century…
… when many scientists were proclaiming “another ice age”…
…global temperatures we have experienced in the past 20 years are nowhere near…
The alarmists ignore those, or interpolate them away using computer AL-GORE-ithms…
…or this on, or numerous others show a “boatload” of examples…
of how the historical records have been altered ostensibly to “prove” CO2 is the cause of warming.
The climatedata.ca website demonstrates that even the Government of Canada…
I said you only get one. A boatload of invalid claims does not amount to one good claim. I have generously offered to address one claim from the video you cited. Now strip away all the right-wing propaganda and cute phrases (like Al-GORE-ithsms) and hyperbole and present just one single scientific claim from that video that you think is most solid and most damaging to the climate science consensus, if you can.
Pick one of those, then.

Barring that, why don’t you provide one scientific claim that you would propose to be the one that convinces you the most that global warming is a problem at the moment.

Then we can address one question that is to YOUR liking.
 
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phaster:
…activists and their political followers on [the] left in general do not understand basic science
Call ref for sweeping generalization.
ref[eree] ???

(Please Note: This uploaded content is no longer available.)

…if this is the case, then I would point out a study/published-paper(s) that indicates the public in general is “scientifically illiterate”


AND WRT the issue of climate change, seems there is zero understanding of the basic science
Why Doesn’t Everyone Believe Humans Are Causing Climate Change?

…Climate illiteracy isn’t just limited to the general public, either. Ranney recalls a scientist’s presentation at a recent conference which said that many university professors teaching global warming barely had a better understanding of its mechanism than the undergraduates they were teaching. “Even one of the most highly-cited climate change communicators in the world didn’t know the mechanism over dinner,” he says.

…When Ranney surveyed 270 visitors to a San Diego park on how global warming works, he found that exactly zero could provide the proper mechanism.


www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/article/climate-change-acceptance/

www.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/tops.12187
AND sadly the subject is not being taught in schools
Most Teachers Don’t Teach Climate Change; 4 In 5 Parents Wish They Did

More than 80% of parents in the U.S. support the teaching of climate change. And that support crosses political divides, according to the results of an exclusive new NPR/Ipsos poll: Whether they have children or not, two-thirds of Republicans and 9 in 10 Democrats agree that the subject needs to be taught in school.

A separate poll of teachers found that they are even more supportive, in theory — 86% agree that climate change should be taught.

These polls are among the first to gauge public and teacher opinion on how climate change should be taught to the generation that in the coming years will face its intensifying consequences: children.


www.npr.org/2019/04/22/714262267/most-teachers-dont-teach-climate-change-4-in-5-parents-wish-they-did
so,…
as I’ve mentioned I’ve been fortunate to have had some key figures walk me through the basic science of CC and I’m here to share and outline that knowledge with open minded catholics (conservative or liberal) who don’t have a formal hard science background,… and have the courage to face the climate change issue(s) head-on
www.TinyURL.com/HowBigIsTheEarth
 
We’re not just talking about flooding events. We’re talking about a volume of water per unit time over a certain area: extreme rainfall events. Those extreme rainfall events are becoming more common. Likewise, the number of extreme heat events are becoming more frequent. It isn’t either/or, then. There is no reason it cannot be both.
Nope, I’ve not seen any studies that indicate a long term trend increase.
Studies that compare back to say 1996 are junk science

 
when many scientists were proclaiming “another ice age”…
OK, you said pick any one of them, so I pick the one above.

The fact is “many” is three, and they were all working together. Their failure means nothing. The only reason you know about this is that Time magazine made it a cover story once, because sensational stories sell more magazines than boring ones. The fact is most published research on climate change is deadly boring.
 
I know what the glaciers are doing and I know what kind of rain events they’re getting in Houston. You can quibble about whether that was the norm 200 years ago or 100,000 years ago. The truth remains that we’re poorly prepared for a continuation of the trends we’re seeing.
First, this completely ignores the point I was challenging which was about “geologically-unusual” temperature changes. Second, vague references to harmful “trends” are just more assertions without substance. Virtually none of the scary “trends” being mentioned are actually happening.
Actually, I don’t think it is that important if it is change that is unprecedented in the last 10,000 years or just the last 100.
Truth matters; facts matter. False alarms should be called out and demolished. If your claims aren’t true you shouldn’t make them. Doesn’t it bother you that much of what you believe can be shown to be false? Like “geologically-unusual” warming? Like rainfall, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes et al rising dramatically? None of this is true.
 
Truth matters; facts matter. False alarms should be called out and demolished. If your claims aren’t true you shouldn’t make them. Doesn’t it bother you that much of what you believe can be shown to be false? Like “geologically-unusual” warming? Like rainfall, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes et al rising dramatically? None of this is true.
The planet is getting warmer. It is true. This is having an effect on the weather. It is true. The increased levels of CO2 are also lowering the pH of the oceans, which is already having an adverse effect on creatures such as shell-fish. That is also true. The explanation that this is caused by the measurable increase in atmospheric CO2 and tracing that back to the tremendous amount of human-caused combustion of carbon-based fuels is the best scientific explanation for it. Bad-mouthing the scientists who say so or inflating the possibility that some other explanations are more plausible when they aren’t is not going to change that.

What bothers me is the lengths that people are willing to go to in order to find an answer to concerns about global meterological measurements that doesn’t support the conclusion that humans would do better if we were consuming a lot less petroleum, as if they were defending the Faith. It is like the rhetoric that makes taxes out to be theft, as if people are entitled to a stable society but have no responsibility to contribute to its maintenance.
 
The planet is getting warmer. It is true. This is having an effect on the weather. It is true.
The issue is not whether these things are happening (which is more debatable than you obviously believe) but whether man made CO2 is the cause.
The increased levels of CO2 are also lowering the pH of the oceans…
The issue is the cause of global warming. Throwing in other disaster scenarios is simply a distraction from the tenuousness of the primary claim.
What bothers me is the lengths that people are willing to go to in order to find an answer to concerns about global meterological measurements …
Legitimate concerns have been raised that are not resolved by dismissing them as being generated in bad faith. Why the concerns are raised is irrelevant. The only meaningful question is whether they are valid.
 
Got about 5 minutes to see what an MIT Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Sciences has to say?

 
What bothers me is the lengths that people are willing to go to in order to find an answer to concerns about global meterological measurements that doesn’t support the conclusion that humans would do better if we were consuming a lot less petroleum,
I completely disagree.

Humans are doing significantly better since we increased our use of carbon fuels. It’s revolutionized the standard of living and life expectancy in every country that has electrified and adopted the combustion engine.

I’m all for increasing our efficiency, but it’s foolish to pretend we will be better off without access to cheap power and transportation.
 
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There is no doubt we are having a destructive impact on our planet. Just look at the deforestation of the Amazon, and the Aral Sea disaster.

There is something anti-human about a lot of (most?) environmentalism these days, especially the political circus around it; but there is legitimate Christian concern for the environment as well. The church’s mission is about spiritual health, but we also should find a way to keep our planet physically healthy, because our own health also depends on it. There will be a lot of needless suffering if we are ignorant about how powerful we have become through modern industry and our influence on shaping nature. I think being a good custodian of the earth is like a corporal work of mercy writ large.
 
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There is no doubt we are having a destructive impact on our planet. Just look at the deforestation of the Amazon, and the Aral Sea disaster.
You are cherry picking. We’ve also reforested much of the US and were able to clean up our lakes and rivers, some so polluted they caught fire. The global problem isn’t with what the US is doing to our ecology.

The Amazon fires are a concern, but they’ve also been misreported


Yes it’s sad that Russia and the countries around the Aral Sea are more interested in growing cotton than preserving the lake and the fishing it supported. They need economic development I understand, so they can afford to redirect the water back to the ‘sea’.

 
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