I think one mistake people make in answering this question is assuming that if the Reformation hadn’t happened the Catholic Church as it emerged from the Reformation would simply have been the only game in town. The post-Reformation Catholic Church was itself a product of the events of the Reformation era. One can understand why pious, traditional Catholics might forget this–it’s easy, and understandable, to skate over the complexities of historical development in one’s conviction that the essence remains unchanged. But what’s odd is that Protestants and secularists also seem to assume that if it hadn’t been for the Reformation we’d all be living under Tridentine Catholicism.Edwin
It’s fair to point out, though, that Luther and other Reformers didn’t have a problem with Tridentine Catholicism (which didn’t exist yet). They had a problem, precisely, with the Church that corresponded with
pre-Tridentine Catholicism. That is the Church (the pre-Tridentine church) that most Catholics, today, acknowledge was corrupt as well.
I tend to agree with Erasmus–the conservative backlash that became Tridentine Catholicism should be blamed (for those of us who have problems with it) on the Reformation.
I personally am much fonder of Erasmus–in terms of his temperament and his doctrines–than I am of Luther. To “blame” the Reformation in a literal sense, however, for the reaction that was the Counter-Reformation, ironically brings up one of the very things Luther and Erasmus wrangled about – the freedom of the will (I am not sure whether you were assigning blame in the strict sense of moral responsibility and of strict causality, but I’m taking the word “blame” at face value). The Counter-Reformation was how the church at that time
chose to respond to the Reformation, or what they
perceived as a necessary response. They were responsible for their reactions, not Luther. Similarly, the Reformation was how Luther
chose to respond to what he saw as corruption in the church. But if – objectively speaking – it is fair to blame the Reformation for the Counter-Reformation, then it is fair to blame the acknowledged corruption in the Church at that time for the Reformation.
What also isn’t Luther’s fault is the fact that, though there were voices within the church that wanted worship in the vernacular long before he was born, it took another 400 years (until Vatican II) for the church to swing around to it. If the attitude was, “anything Luther supported must be wrong” or “if we change now, we will give the appearance that Luther has won” or, “now that we have the Tridentine mass, God has spoken for all time” then that tells us more about the church’s own response to the phenomenon of the Reformation–or perhaps, its relationship to change–than it does about Luther himself.
If no Reformation, what would have happened? There’s no way to tell. The Reformation resulted from a very complex set of cultural, religious, economic, and social factors. One can imagine it turning out differently–but something was going to happen. What the world would look like now would depend on what happened instead of the particular set of events we call the “Reformation.”
From my perspective, it would have been nice if something like Vatican II had happened in the sixteenth century. That’s anachronistic, but not entirely so–some of the reforms were things that people had been pushing for ever since the Reformation era, and that ranges from specifics like more vernacular in the liturgy to general principles like a great emphasis on the Bible and the Fathers over against scholasticism.
The proposed reforms of Czech Catholic Jan Hus (14th century)
would have brought many of the reforms of Vatican II into the
pre-Reformation church, as some Catholics have pointed out! Hus was burned at the stake for his heretical ideas, not so much for his theology–which was acceptably orthodox by Catholic standards, even as regards the sacraments–but for having questioned the authority of the pope too vigorously. The dilemma was, how to propose those reforms
without questioning the authority of the pope to vigorously? (even Erasmus, who took sides with the Catholic church
against Luther, was later placed on the Index of Forbidden books). What Hus advocated was greater participation of the laity in all aspects of church life – including use of the Czech vernacular during church services. He also emphasized more immediate access to the Bible, I believe. As we all know, greater laity participation was a huge part of Vatican II.
My question is, “what was it about the church at that time that seems to have impeded an
internal mechanism for change?” Various individuals–Peter Waldo, Wycliff, Hus–made presumably good faith efforts to change the church from the inside, and were not successful. St. Dominic and St. Francis
also sought to reform the church from the inside–and were largely successful–but focused on improving its morals as opposed to its
policies, per se. Neither saint was preoccupied with the question of worship in the vernacular or the Bible in the vernacular, but this was an issue that Reformers and proto-Reformers felt passionately enough about to risk their lives over it (Hus lost his life over it, as did William Tyndale).
That, for me, is the problem – I don’t see that the church at that time had a sufficient
internal mechanism for change and reform; for example, nothing comparable to the system of checks and balances that we have in our own representative democracies. Change ultimately had to come from the outside, not from within (or from
both the inside
and the outside, as opposed to just from the inside). Those who tested the boundaries of reform from within, as did Jan Hus, risked the loss of life or limb in the process (as for Wycliff, his bones were dug up and burned post-mortem).
The other problem is, once violence takes place, charity is broken and antagonism is solidified. Luther no doubt
knew the fate of Hus and Tyndale when he began to voice his opinions so loudly (and, admittedly, obnoxiously); he knew his life was at risk.