World's climate warming faster than feared, scientists say

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…but when global warming really kicks in then we’ll be seeing much worst than Sandy and Katrina.
Uh, what? Who says? I suppose anything could happen. It is also possible that the Southwest will find itself with a lot more rain and able to grow a lot more crops and Canada will have a longer growing season.

Just because England and Europe will become warmer, it isn’t the end of the world. Change isn’t always bad.
 
http://static1.businessinsider.com/image/52dac240eab8ead323034ea0-800-/powell pie chart 2.png width=“200” height=“85”

So what people who doubt AGW are saying here is the 9135 scientists are wrong – because they are biased, corrupted, and evil – while one single scientist and 100 armchair bloggers are right, because they’ve got to be right.
What we have here is a very large graphic illustrating the argumentum ad populum fallacy.
But to make sure we did not miss it, there is another fallacy of the same type in the text below it.

It says much that the facts are not argued but instead an appeal to popularity is.

Perhaps we should stop spending money on science and instead start spending on an advertising campaign.
After all…4 out of 5 doctors recommend lucky strikes.
 
What we have here is a very large graphic illustrating the argumentum ad populum fallacy.
But to make sure we did not miss it, there is another fallacy of the same type in the text below it.

It says much that the facts are not argued but instead an appeal to popularity is.

Perhaps we should stop spending money on science and instead start spending on an advertising campaign.
After all…4 out of 5 doctors recommend lucky strikes.
There is a lot of MMGW promoting out there. There’s money in it, and advancement. I have seen the very timorous oil company ads “We’re environmentalists too”. But there are hundreds of billions of dollars invested in “alternative energies”, virtually all by people who do not act as if they believe in it at all. But there’s money to be made in it; largely public money.

The MMGW promoters get struck down a lot here on CAF, but just start new threads in order to spread their gospel. There are actually a lot of scientists who do not believe in MMGW or who think it’s no big deal.

But of course, there are a lot of people with reputations to make and places to gain who generate these charts and graphs. There are contrary ones, and we have seen them here on CAF.

But the left is persistent. It has to be in order to persuade people to do things that are harmful to them. Fortunately, public support for the MMGW theory is waning, and is now a minority view.

MMGW supporters would have us believe no scientists hold a contary view. But they do. hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/01/71-new-papers-reported-in-2013.html?spref=tw. Entire nations have rejected the notion, including Russia and India.

But the left has a bigger voice box, and that’s true. It has always been true. As I said, that’s necessary in order to persuade people that they shouldn’t be able to heat their homes because of the “skyrocketing” utility rates obama wants.

But other nations aren’t buying into it, and some that did are moving away from it. Right now, it’s pretty much a project of the American left and that of the thieves at the UN.
 
…but when global warming really kicks in then we’ll be seeing much worst than Sandy and Katrina. I guess that’s what many people want…sort of the way people like horror movies or gawking at bloody accidents. Maybe our lives have become hum-drum, so people want total disaster on mega-scales even scientists and sci fi writers can’t imagine. Up the ante…
One can notice that the promoters of disaster scenarios are not the MMGW doubters. That’s the exclusive domain of the theory’s promoters; the “little people” who have been scared by the “big people” like Obama, Soros, Buffett and Gore who stand to make money on it despite the fact that they manifestly don’t believe in it themselves.

Neither Katrina nor Sandy held a candle in power to Camille which hit in 1969. Fortunately for New Orleans, it’s focus was Pass Christian instead, and just basically wiped it off the map.

Well, let’s see, when was that hurricane that totally destroyed Galveston and killed thousands? 1900 wasn’t it?

And there have been a lot of Atlantic hurricanes…on average about 6/year since 1851.
 
Uh, what? Who says? I suppose anything could happen. It is also possible that the Southwest will find itself with a lot more rain and able to grow a lot more crops and Canada will have a longer growing season.

Just because England and Europe will become warmer, it isn’t the end of the world. Change isn’t always bad.
True, but I myself choose not to risk human life and a huge chunk of God’s other creatures (they say were in the 6th great extinction event),* just in case the scientists might be correct in saying it will be bad, and incorrect by underestimating just how bad it will be.

That’s just me. I’ve never been a risk-taker or gambler. I tend to expect the worst and hope for the best.

I sincerely hope you are right that a better world will come of AGW or it will fizzle out (I may believe it has fizzled out when the temps go back to pre-1980 temps), but meanwhile all my personal efforts to mitigate AGW have at the least served to help mitigate other problems and have saved me money. I have no incentive to stop my small mitigation efforts.

*I saw a program last night in which the person said they wish to help future generations well into the future, but since they will not be around then to help, what they are doing now is working to help ensure a health environment for those future generations. That’s something we can do now to help promote human life on into the future.
 
True, but I myself choose not to risk human life and a huge chunk of God’s other creatures (they say were in the 6th great extinction event),* just in case the scientists might be correct in saying it will be bad, and incorrect by underestimating just how bad it will be.

That’s just me. I’ve never been a risk-taker or gambler. I tend to expect the worst and hope for the best.

I sincerely hope you are right that a better world will come of AGW or it will fizzle out (I may believe it has fizzled out when the temps go back to pre-1980 temps), but meanwhile all my personal efforts to mitigate AGW have at the least served to help mitigate other problems and have saved me money. I have no incentive to stop my small mitigation efforts.

*I saw a program last night in which the person said they wish to help future generations well into the future, but since they will not be around then to help, what they are doing now is working to help ensure a health environment for those future generations. That’s something we can do now to help promote human life on into the future.
I don’t think anybody has the slightest objection to an individual’s saving energy in his own life. Certainly I don’t. Never have.

I do have a problem with paying people out of my tax dollars to buy things they could buy without them if they really believed in them.

I have a problem as well with a theory that does not seem to be panning out, but which the elites are pushing anyway because there is big money in it for them, and I especially have a problem with it when they don’t act in any way as if they believe it themselves, but are perfectly willing to see other people suffer because of it.

In his trip to Africa, which nobody seriously claimed had any national purpose, Obama employed about a dozen ships, dozens of heavy armored cars, and had round-the-clock overhead jet fighter protection. Probably used as much fuel in that jaunt as a small city uses in a year. Jets to Hawaii for a vacation (two jets) has a pizza sent by jet from St. Louis. The man manifestly doesn’t believe in it. And yet, he promised to make utility bills “skyrocket” and is doing everything in his power to make it do so.

The “little people” suffer so the “big guys” can have power, contributions and make billions on “alternative energies”.

Yes, we could make life miserable by assuming that catastrophic MMGW will come. Of course, there isn’t a thing we can do about it because the rest of the world doesn’t believe in “mitigating” and won’t. But we could, for better reason, also assume that we’ll be hit by a gamma ray burst sometime and make a big national effort to put everything a mile underground too. At some point, assuming the worst imaginable scenario places too great a burden on society, and when that assumption is based on highly debated foundations, we should not force everyone to act as if the assumption is correct.
 
Thank you for asking.

Not that you will consider this study by Drexel, but I have a few minutes to waste.

Climate Change Denial a Billion Dollar Industry of Fabrication Says Study

Added by Rebecca Savastio on December 22, 2013.
Saved under Rebecca Savastio, Science
Tags: Climate Change

A new study out of Drexel University in Philadelphia has exposed a billion dollar industry of fabrication-a complex construction of false information created by those engaged in climate change denial and the conservative organizations that support that denial…
Here’s the link to the study – “Institutionalizing delay: foundation funding and the creation of U.S. climate change counter-movement organizations” – to which the article refers: drexel.edu/~/media/Files/now/pdfs/Institutionalizing%20Delay%20-%20Climatic%20Change.ashx
 
Thank you for asking.

Not that you will consider this study by Drexel, but I have a few minutes to waste.

Climate Change Denial a Billion Dollar Industry of Fabrication Says Study

snip
No one else has jumped on this, so I will:

Who among the MMGWers would like to account for the BILLIONS (plural) of dollars, many of them taken from the wallets of U.S. taxpayers, that are being spent to promote their side of the debate?
 
No one else has jumped on this, so I will:

Who among the MMGWers would like to account for the BILLIONS (plural) of dollars, many of them taken from the wallets of U.S. taxpayers, that are being spent to promote their side of the debate?
Can you be a bit more specific about what the billions of dollars are being spent for. It would also be helpful to know what links you are making to tax payers. I do not doubt that money, perhaps even billions are being spent, but I am more interested in cui bono–who benefits. It will help me respond in a better way.

I wd Appreciate it.
 
http://static1.businessinsider.com/image/52dac240eab8ead323034ea0-800-/powell pie chart 2.png width=“200” height=“85”

So what people who doubt AGW are saying here is the 9135 scientists are wrong – because they are biased, corrupted, and evil – while one single scientist and 100 armchair bloggers are right, because they’ve got to be right.

What would happen if they were wrong and AGW really were happening. It just can’t possibly be happening. We’re good people. We wouldn’t do that. We love our children. We’d never do things to harm them. Never. Ergo, AGW just can’t be happening. No way.
What needs to be remembered is that quite often those who tell the truth about the falsity of man-made global warming are shut out of the peer review process. It’s a bit of an inbred community. The science simply does not add up…and it’s quite easy to see that the proponents of AGW are motivated by all that grant money they get. I ASSURE YOU…if governments offered as much money to conduct research proving global warming was NOT caused by human agency then that is where the overwhelming vast majority of the “peer-reviewed” articles would be. It’s about money and politics…NOT SCIENCE.

Perhaps we should talk about the 31,000 US scientists (including over 9000 phds) that reject the idea that humans have anything to do with global warming. Or we could talk about the fact that only 36% of geoscientists surveyed believe humans have anything to do with global warming. AGW has become a religion and a political cause…it’s not based on science. The “science” has been all wrong the models absolute failures.
 
No one else has jumped on this, so I will:

Who among the MMGWers would like to account for the BILLIONS (plural) of dollars, many of them taken from the wallets of U.S. taxpayers, that are being spent to promote their side of the debate?
Here’s how it works: Scientists, who are employed in universities or gov agencies, apply for grants to do research. Their proposals have to go through stringent peer-review and/or granting agency review, and only a small percentage are accepted. It is a very highly competitive field.

The money in the grants goes to pay for grant-related expenses:
  • some to the institution/agency to compensate for their overhead re the grant portion of work the researcher does;
  • some for research expenses, such as equipment, travel, lab assistants, etc.;
  • some to off-set that portion of the researcher’s salary that he/she will be engaged in research.
The researcher earns no extra money beyond his/her salary, except perhaps a summer salary for university researchers, in cases where no summer courses may have been assigned otherwise (or summer course salaries are very low, not equal to the regular salary).

Note that climate science is very highly competitive, and there are plenty of top experts to pull down any bogus or inadequate research or research proposals. All bona fide climate research is under heavy scrutiny for any “i’s” not dotted or “t’s” not crossed.

OTOH the climate change skeptics who have “Dr.” attached to their name (whatever their field is – dentistry, philosophy, etc) or are weathermen, etc, are given very hefty sums by the denialist industry for spewing out half-truths and outright lies in non-peer-reviewed fora, such as the internet or public speaking engagements, etc., in order to deceive the public. That’s where the real money is.

Beyond no extra financial gain for bona fide climate scientists, they are also harassed mercilessly and receive death threats, including death threats to their small children. I’d say there is no really huge incentive to go into or stay in climate science. Climate scientists who stick to their guns, despite all these problems, are the true heroes of the world today.

Just because some don’t like the message is no reason to shoot the messenger.
 
Last Warning

Avoid ad hominem posts. An ad hominem argument, also known as argumentum ad hominem (Latin: “argument to the man”, “argument against the man”) consists of replying to an argument or factual claim by attacking or appealing to a characteristic or belief of the source making the argument or claim, rather than by addressing the substance of the argument or producing evidence against the claim.

The process of proving or disproving the claim is thereby subverted, and the argumentum ad hominem works to change the subject.

Ad hominem posts are normally considered off topic and attempts to hijack a thread. You will receive infractions for them.
 
This image may help explain the situation re no real science to refute climate science – drawn by a U of Chicago climate scientist, David Archer, and his wife. I have the utmost respect for him. I know him and he’s a decent person. It’s really quite offensive that people accuse climate scientists like him of being charlatans.

(Please Note: This uploaded content is no longer available.)

Also, if one really wants to learn about global warming, they can view his on-line lectures here in a course for non-science majors (even so it’s a bit thick): Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast at forecast.uchicago.edu/lectures.html
 
Who has employed deceit?
The first five assertions have two things in common: they were pseudo-scientific claims made by the AGW community, and they are all totally bogus.
  • Polar bears as a species are in trouble … because of global warming
  • The snows of Kilamanjaro are melting … because of global warming
  • The glaciers of the Himalayas will soon be gone … because of global warming
  • The Little Ice Age (which lasted what? 400 years?) was unique to Europe
  • Global warming has led to an increase in the number and intensity of hurricanes
  • One “editor” on Wikipedia had edited virtually every article (over 4000) that touched on the subject of global warming
  • Scientists at the CRU colluded to manipulate the peer review process to exclude papers criticizing AGW
Does any of this refute all of the valid scientific work being done? No, of course not but it highlights the question I asked: if the science is so clearly on the AGW side then why were all of these questionable efforts taken?

Ender
 
The first five assertions have two things in common: they were pseudo-scientific claims made by the AGW community, and they are all totally bogus.
  • Polar bears as a species are in trouble … because of global warming
  • The snows of Kilamanjaro are melting … because of global warming
  • The glaciers of the Himalayas will soon be gone … because of global warming
  • The Little Ice Age (which lasted what? 400 years?) was unique to Europe
  • Global warming has led to an increase in the number and intensity of hurricanes
  • One “editor” on Wikipedia had edited virtually every article (over 4000) that touched on the subject of global warming
  • Scientists at the CRU colluded to manipulate the peer review process to exclude papers criticizing AGW
Does any of this refute all of the valid scientific work being done? No, of course not but it highlights the question I asked: if the science is so clearly on the AGW side then why were all of these questionable efforts taken?

Ender
It is easy to say something is pseudo. If you have examined the evidence and come to that conclusion and others who have examined the evidence come to an opposite conclusion realize that that happens frequently in scientific debate. The only point you made that I take issue with is your claim of conclusion without any valid evidence. That is a serious accusation. There are dishonest individual scientists just like in every trade and profession but to indicate that hundreds or more scientists are bogus and are in collusion goes much too far even for a forum.
 
Here’s the link to the study – “Institutionalizing delay: foundation funding and the creation of U.S. climate change counter-movement organizations” – to which the article refers: drexel.edu/~/media/Files/now/pdfs/Institutionalizing%20Delay%20-%20Climatic%20Change.ashx
It is disappointing to me that those who do not believe in MMGW disaster scenarios contribute so ($500 million according to this article) little to counter the propaganda campaigns of Soros, Buffett, Gore, Gates, Obama, etc. What’s the government spent so far? $100 billion is the last I saw. And, of course, that doesn’t count the enormous amount spent by the left wing media. If you counted their “MMGW commercials” as paid commercials, it would surely dwarf that $500 million.

And when someone writes an article “exposing” the “falsifying” of MMGW information, you know it’s just one more paid propaganda piece. Wonder what the “researcher” got paid for that?
 
It is easy to say something is pseudo. If you have examined the evidence and come to that conclusion and others who have examined the evidence come to an opposite conclusion realize that that happens frequently in scientific debate.
True, but that is not what happened. In the IPCC AR4 report, for example, the assertion was made that the glaciers in the Himalayas were melting. The reference in the report turns out to have been to a magazine article written by someone at the World Wildlife Fund. If that doesn’t constitute pseudo science I can’t imagine what would and the question again is: why does this stuff keep happening?
The only point you made that I take issue with is your claim of conclusion without any valid evidence.
I think you meant “collusion”. This appears to be what happened based on emails that were released from a CRU server. It is all part of the “Climategate” story. Based on emails written by some of the senior staff the charge of colluding to interfere with the peer review process seems quite reasonable. Were you unaware of this?

Ender
 
Climate Change Denial a Billion Dollar Industry of Fabrication Says Study
The study found that stockholders who could be affected by climate change legislation are major funders of the CCCM. Two big players are Exxon Mobil and Koch Enterprises, although, according to the study, both of these organizations have recently “pulled back” from making easily identifiable public donations and have shifted to “untraceable sources,” also called “dark money,” to disseminate funds to the CCCM.
This falls under the category of: “Frankly, Scarlett I don’t give a …” The question for both sides is: are the scientific claims being made verifiable? If they are then the reason one makes them are irrelevant. I have raised issues with the integrity of some on the pro AGW side but that doesn’t mean, even if true, that their research is invalidated. All of this huffing and puffing about the denial industry is not meant to disprove their positions but to discredit them so that they are not even considered, let alone refuted.
There is much more to the study which can goggle.
Your almost certain rebuff should be entertaining for Sunday morning reading.
Perhaps if you removed your goggles you would see there is less to this story than the screaming headlines imply.

Ender
 
True, but that is not what happened. In the IPCC AR4 report, for example, the assertion was made that the glaciers in the Himalayas were melting. The reference in the report turns out to have been to a magazine article written by someone at the World Wildlife Fund. If that doesn’t constitute pseudo science I can’t imagine what would and the question again is: why does this stuff keep happening?
I think you meant “collusion”. This appears to be what happened based on emails that were released from a CRU server. It is all part of the “Climategate” story. Based on emails written by some of the senior staff the charge of colluding to interfere with the peer review process seems quite reasonable. Were you unaware of this?

Ender
You are basing your opinion on a mistake (could have been done purposely )magazine article and a few emails from a couple of bad apples. all I can say … I can’t say anything.

That’s all for me on this thread. Have fun guys.
 
I’m still waiting for a scientific explanation of the contradiction that I raised in post #35. . .

crickets
 
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