R
Roselle
Guest
Well, if true, more reasons for me to live in Florida!
Some of the SlayersSorry, not buying the first link you gave. I see a couple of guys quoted in it from this team of “Slayers” and I don’t see anywhere that indicates the published an actual peer-reviewed scientific paper in a respected journal. There are literally thousands and thousands of peer-reviewed papers publish in such journals supporting the basic premisis of CO2 having a warming effect on the atmosphere.
Oliver Manuel (United States)
Emeritus Professor Oliver K. Manuel is a renowned nuclear and space scientist with over 100 refereed publications in leading research journals [Science, Nature, Physical Review, Proceedings of Lunar Science Conferences, Journal of Geophysical Research, Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, etc.] and papers presented at science conferences world-wide, including the United States, old USSR, Canada, Czechoslovakia, France, Germany, India, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Russia, Portugal, Switzerland, and Wales.
Johnson, ClaesProfessor Manuel is best known for reporting the decay products of extinct 129I and 244Pu in the Earth [Science 134 (1971) 1334], isotopic anomalies from element synthesis in meteorites [Nature 240 (1972) 99], supernova birth of the Solar System [Science 195 (1977) 208; Nature (1979) 615], mass-fractionation in the Sun [Meteoritics 18 (1983) 209], “strange xenon” in Jupiter [Meteoritics 33 (1998) A97, 5011], neutron repulsion as a source of nuclear energy [Journal of Fusion Energy 19 (2001) 93], and the Sun’s dominant influence on Earth’s changing climate [Energy & Environment 20 (2009) 131].
Dr Hertzberg has a Ph D in Physical Chemistry from Stanford, earned his B A degree, cum laude, from the Heights Campus of New York University, and was trained as a meteorologist at the U. S. Naval Postgraduate School. His honors include membership in Phi Beta Kappa, a Meritorious Service Award, a Foreign Visiting Scholar at CNRS in Orleans, France, and a Fulbright Professorship.
marshall.org/experts.php?id=176Dr. Tim Ball, one of the first Canadians to hold a Ph.D. in climatology, wrote his doctoral thesis at the University of London (England) using the remarkable records of the Hudson?s Bay Company to reconstruct climate change from 1714 to 1952. He has published numerous articles on climate change and its impact on the human condition. Dr Ball has served on numerous committees at the federal, provincial, and municipal levels on climate, water resources, and environmental issues. He was a professor of climatology at the University of Winnipeg for 28 years. He is currently working as an environmental consultant and public speaker based in Victoria and has written, with Dr Stuart Houston, 18th Century Naturalists on Hudson Bay, a book on the science and climate of the fur trade (McGill-Queens University Press, 2003)
NASIF NAHLEDr. Charles Anderson is a materials physicist with a 38-year career in the use of radiation to characterize and analyze the properties of materials. He especially enjoys the use of multi-discipline techniques to solve complex materials problems quickly and efficiently. He has worked as a laboratory scientist for the Dept. of the Navy, Lockheed Martin Laboratories, and has owned and operated Anderson Materials Evaluation, Inc. since 1995. He has an Sc.B. in Physics from Brown University and his Ph.D. was earned at Case Western Reserve University studying the surface magnetization of nickel single crystals using Mössbauer spectroscopy and Auger electron spectroscopy.
ANDWhen he was asked how often scientists reviewing his papers for probity before publication asked to see details of his raw data, methodology and computer codes. “They’ve never asked,” he said.
theregister.co.uk/2010/03…ate/print.htmlFor the first time he did concede publicly that when he tried to repeat the 1990 study in 2008, he came up with radically different findings. Or, as he put it, “a slightly different conclusion”. Fully 40% of warming there in the past 60 years was due to urban influences. “It’s something we need to consider,” he said.
It’s not just politicians and bureacrats. It’s also corporations and marketing. Do you know how much of the corn crop in this country is of the exact same genetic strain (in some cases modified)? It’s horrifying to think what would happen if a pest came along well adapted to killing that paricular grain. Same goes for many other agricultural staples (chickens, wheat, etc). Corporations LOVE homogeneity.If you look at paleozoology, creatures that specialize and faile to maintain the capacity to adapt always go extinct, precisely because the climate changes and their anatomical and physiological mechanisms are not suitable for the changing environment. I think this lends well to your theory of homogenaity. It is the push to stop our ability to adapt to changing conditions, because politicians and bureaucrats seem to think they can control everything.
Considering that the world’s populations is still increasing and that we are seeing crop failures in many different areas, ya, rough times could be ahead.
absolutelypersonally, i think the answer is to stop looking for the answer and embrace the fact that both weather and climate are weird and make sure we have a diversified approach to agriculture able to support humanity in a variety of scenarios. We like to think we’re smart enough to develop the answer, but we really aren’t.
If anything the homogenous solution approach makes us more vulnerable rather than less. Agriculture, energy, land development, education… You name it and humanity seems to be in a huge push to homogenize everything. I don’t get it.
I’m not convinced that weather is any wilder than it’s always been. There’s a reason that weather has always been and will always be a staple of small talk. What has changed is how connected we are. Nobody really used to know if a tornado levelled a small town three states away 75 years ago. Today it is national news for a week. Plus humanity has a much larger physical footprint on earth than we used to. Random weather disasters occurring at fairly constant rates will thus demolish more structures today than they did 75 years ago.
Sometimes I think that we’re between people who wouldn’t be happy until we were all living with cycle-powered lights and TVs and those who would be telling us that it’s all a liberal myth when it’s snowshoes in summer in Florida and the only possible crop in Norway is cacti.Agree 100%.
Peace
Tim
Well, I don’t really care whether it’s cows emitting methane, volcanoes or sunspots, the thing is that it wouldn’t take a lot to create an awful lot of problems.We’ve never agreed more completely (except I’m not Jewish, so who knows where I get it).
Personally, I think the answer is to stop looking for THE answer and embrace the fact that both weather and climate are weird and make sure we have a diversified approach to agriculture able to support humanity in a variety of scenarios. We like to think we’re smart enough to develop THE answer, but we really aren’t.
If anything the homogenous solution approach makes us MORE vulnerable rather than less. Agriculture, energy, land development, education… You name it and humanity seems to be in a huge push to homogenize everything. I don’t get it.
That’s not true of everywhere though, some countries have been settled a bit longer.I’m not convinced that weather is any wilder than it’s always been. There’s a reason that weather has always been and will always be a staple of small talk. What HAS changed is how connected we are. Nobody really used to know if a tornado levelled a small town three states away 75 years ago. Today it is national news for a week. Plus humanity has a much larger physical footprint on earth than we used to. Random weather disasters occurring at fairly constant rates will thus demolish more structures today than they did 75 years ago.
Some of the Slayers
omatumr.com/papers.html Professor O. Manuel
Johnson, Claes
Dr. Hertzberg
explosionexpert.com/pages/1/index.htm
marshall.org/experts.php?id=176
NASIF NAHLE
biocab.org/Academic_Curriculum.html
There are many more.
But there is one kook in the batch.Derek Alker an English factory worker.
He did a paper called Do IR budgets make sense. ???
climaterealists.com/attachments/ftp/DoIRbudgetsmakesenseFinalversion.pdf
It takes work that was commonly accepted by K. Trenberth, J. Fasullo, and J. Kiehl Global Energy Flows or budgets, and shakes it up.
So much so that Britain’s AQA officially acknowledged that henceforth the schools examinations authority will be using Derek’s work as reference material for school science examinations. The AQA (Assessment and Qualifications Alliance) has responsibility for awarding 45 percent of Britain’s high school (14–19 years of age) qualifications
Let’s see what one of the Worlds most peer-reviewd and quoted "scientist says about peer-review under oath to MP’s. Mr P Jones
AND
theregister.co.uk/2010/03…ate/print.html
I don’t put much faith in peer-review that is carried out in a vacuum.
Bumpkin question: You guys haven’t experienced urban sprawl in the last 50 years? Seriously? In the US, I forget the exact numbers, but the footprint of urbanized area has grown by something like 500% in the last 50 years while the population in those areas has only about doubled. I’ve always concluded that it is largely attributable to smaller households (more divorce and fewer children), but if you’re telling me your area hasn’t experienced a similar mismatch between footprint and demographics I may be off. Maybe I’m making too much of your short answer. You sure developed footprint area over there hasn’t increased massively in the past 50 years?That’s not true of everywhere though, some countries have been settled a bit longer.![]()
Except that urban sprawl, apart from a bit of a hiatus with the Black Death in the fourteenth century, has been going on for quite a while!Bumpkin question: You guys haven’t experienced urban sprawl in the last 50 years? Seriously? In the US, I forget the exact numbers, but the footprint of urbanized area has grown by something like 500% in the last 50 years while the population in those areas has only about doubled. I’ve always concluded that it is largely attributable to smaller households (more divorce and fewer children), but if you’re telling me your area hasn’t experienced a similar mismatch between footprint and demographics I may be off. Maybe I’m making too much of your short answer. You sure developed footprint area over there hasn’t increased massively in the past 50 years?
My point was that larger development footprint x same weather disaster frequency = more headlines to report, which makes it SEEM like weather is crazier even if it isn’t. There are just more targets to hit.
I believe that IPCC report Himalayan glaciers may disappear by 2035 ] was also the work of World Wildlife Fund - WWF?Another new study:
While releasing a comprehensive study conducted by Space Application Centre (SAC) on retreating of Himalayan glaciers, Union environment minister Jairam Ramesh on Wednesday claimed that his stand was vindicated on the controversy on pace of retreating of glaciers. Ramesh quoted the findings of the study which found that 75% glaciers are retreating, 8% are advancing and remaining 17% are stable in the Himalayan region.
“This is the largest study ever conducted on glaciers in the world. Total 2190 glaciers were studied for the span of 15years by the scientists of SAC, a unit of ISRO,” Ramesh said at SAC campus in Ahmedabad.
“As per the finding, average pace of retreat is 3.75% a year so at this pace, it would take 400 years to melt all the glaciers in the Himalayan region,” he added, debunking the earlier report of UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) headed by Dr Rajendra Pachauri, which had issued an ‘alarmist warning” that Himalayan glaciers may vanish by 2035.
“When the IPCC released its finding, I had said melting of glaciers in Himalaya is incredibly complex issue and glaciers of Europe and Himalaya have different behavior. I was criticized for my remarks but today, conclusions of this study bears out my stand on the issue,” the minister said, thanking the scientists involved in the exercise for the comprehensive work they have carried out on very contentious issue.
In January 2010, Nobel Prize winning IPCC had in its report stated that Himalayan glaciers may disappear by 2035 on account of impact of climate change and global warning.
However, the report had triggered a controversy, forcing the IPCC to retract the discussion paper from its report with admission that it was a “mistake.” Later, it turned out that the 2035 estimate came not from a peer-reviewed scientific paper but from an interview conducted in 1999 by New Scientist magazine with the Indian glaciologist Syed Hasnain.
hindustantimes.com/Himalayan-glacier-controversy/Article1-707148.aspx
hindustantimes.com/Himalayan-glacier-controversy/Article1-707148.aspxThe article, which included a “speculative” claim by Hasnain that the Himalayan glaciers could vanish by 2035, then became part of a 2005 report by the World Wildlife Fund — and that report, apparently, became the source for the IPCC claim.
Steve McIntyre has uncovered a blunder on the part of Pachauri and the IPCC that is causing waves of doubt and calls for retooling on both sides of the debate. In a nutshell, the IPCC made yet another inflated claim that:
…80 percent of the world‘s energy supply could be met by renewables by mid-century…
Unfortunately, it has been revealed that this claim is similar to the Himalayan glacier melt by 2035 fiasco, with nothing independent to back it up. Worse, it isn’t the opinion of the IPCC per se, but rather that of Greenpeace. It gets worse.
Steve McIntyre discovered the issue and writes this conclusion:
It is totally unacceptable that IPCC should have had a Greenpeace employee as a Lead Author of the critical Chapter 10, that the Greenpeace employee, as an IPCC Lead Author, should (like Michael Mann and Keith Briffa in comparable situations) have been responsible for assessing his own work and that, with such inadequate and non-independent ‘due diligence’, IPCC should have featured the Greenpeace scenario in its press release on renewables.
Everyone in IPCC WG3 should be terminated and, if the institution is to continue, it should be re-structured from scratch.
Those are strong words from Steve. Read his entire report here.
Elsewhere, the other side of the debate is getting ticked off about this breach of ethics and protocol too. Mark Lynas , author of a popular pro-AGW book, Six Degrees, has written some strong words also: (h/t to Bishop Hill)
New IPCC error: renewables report conclusion was dictated by Greenpeace
Here’s what happened. The 80% by 2050 figure was based on a scenario, so Chapter 10 of the full report reveals, called ER-2010, which does indeed project renewables supplying 77% of the globe’s primary energy by 2050. The lead author of the ER-2010 scenario, however, is a Sven Teske, who should have been identified (but is not) as a climate and energy campaigner for Greenpeace International. Even worse, Teske is a lead author of the IPCC report also – in effect meaning that this campaigner for Greenpeace was not only embedded in the IPCC itself, but was in effect allowed to review and promote his own campaigning work under the cover of the authoritative and trustworthy IPCC. A more scandalous conflict of interest can scarcely be imagined.
wattsupwiththat.com/2011/06/16/a-blunder-of-staggering-proportions-by-the-ipcc/The IPCC must urgently review its policies for hiring lead authors – and I would have thought that not only should biased ‘grey literature’ be rejected, but campaigners from NGOs should not be allowed to join the lead author group and thereby review their own work. There is even a commercial conflict of interest here given that the renewables industry stands to be the main beneficiary of any change in government policies based on the IPCC report’s conclusions. Had it been an oil industry intervention which led the IPCC to a particular conclusion, Greenpeace et al would have course have been screaming blue murder.
Thank you for the linksince we are talking studies:
New peer reviewed study: Surge in North Atlantic hurricanes due to better detectors, not climate change
Well, yes. As time goes on, urbanized footprint spreads, spaces between towns decrease until the towns meld together. Believe it or not, it’s not much different here except that the small towns are only 150 years old typically. Here in Chicagoland, there are dozens of former small towns once surrounded by farmland that have expanded in solid development until you just can’t tell where one ends and the next starts. 100 years ago, a random tornado moving through the area would most likely tear up cornstalks and a farm house or two. Same exact tornado today would cause a hundred million dollars in property damage. Same tornado, but one would have been unreported, the other national headline news. End result is that weather SEEMS like it is getting more severe.Except that urban sprawl, apart from a bit of a hiatus with the Black Death in the fourteenth century, has been going on for quite a while!
Urbanization in England, for example, is really just the loss of boundaries between towns and villages that have been there for many centuries and were not far apart to begin with …
That doesn’t preclude it having gotten weirder though, does it?Well, yes. As time goes on, urbanized footprint spreads, spaces between towns decrease until the towns meld together. Believe it or not, it’s not much different here except that the small towns are only 150 years old typically. Here in Chicagoland, there are dozens of former small towns once surrounded by farmland that have expanded in solid development until you just can’t tell where one ends and the next starts. 100 years ago, a random tornado moving through the area would most likely tear up cornstalks and a farm house or two. Same exact tornado today would cause a hundred million dollars in property damage. Same tornado, but one would have been unreported, the other national headline news. End result is that weather SEEMS like it is getting more severe.
I don’t disagree with you. I live in “tornado alley” and when I was growing up there were plenty of tornados. But the area was very lightly populated then. Tornados just didn’t often hit anything but trees out in the woods, or flatten grass somewhere out in the open. Now and then I would discover a tornado’s path through some remote woods while hunting or just roaming, and quite possibly nobody but me knew it had even been there. Tornados tend to “bounce”, or at least they’ll set down, then go back up and set down again, so a lot of times nobody even knew the whole path. You would just see one evidence of it, maybe another on the next hill, but that would be it.Well, yes. As time goes on, urbanized footprint spreads, spaces between towns decrease until the towns meld together. Believe it or not, it’s not much different here except that the small towns are only 150 years old typically. Here in Chicagoland, there are dozens of former small towns once surrounded by farmland that have expanded in solid development until you just can’t tell where one ends and the next starts. 100 years ago, a random tornado moving through the area would most likely tear up cornstalks and a farm house or two. Same exact tornado today would cause a hundred million dollars in property damage. Same tornado, but one would have been unreported, the other national headline news. End result is that weather SEEMS like it is getting more severe.
No, it doesn’t, actually. What it demonstrates is that things are more complicated than most of us suspect.That doesn’t preclude it having gotten weirder though, does it?