You might be right, but I’m not yet persuaded that you are, and not for the long term. I still think if Trump does it right he can appeal to more blacks, especially working black men, than many would think. There’s really no difference between, say, a white blue collar worker and a black blue collar worker. They do the same things, they are on the same pay scales, they face the same job perils, they want decent homes for their families and expect to work hard to get them.
And too, there is more animosity between blacks and Hispanics than the media (anybody’s favorite media) feels comfortable talking about. But it’s there, it’s serious, and it’s mutual.
Long term, I think the Dem control of Hispanic vote can’t last. I don’t know every Hispanic immigrant, but I know a goodly number of them. Nearly every one of them is a “Republican under the skin”; very ambitious, thrifty, family oriented, religiously conservative, and more resentful of government barriers to their ambitions than most Anglos are. And while it’s not a peculiarly Repub trait, they are more “politically incorrect” than just about anybody in this society.
Most blacks, from what I have heard, are more conservative than most whites I know. Likely most Hispanics are, and most definitely most Asians are.
In terms of social values, I imagine most people with third world heritage are more socially conservative than your average white North American. I concur that your own perception and experience with Hispanics would likely be correct, and that that goodly amount of Hispanics would be Republican (aka conservative) under their skin. My own experience would lead me to the same understanding of the world.
So why would the people who are the most socially conservative vote for the more liberal option?
I would say that this is because the leftist medium has been able to effectively sell the message of Identity politics, and “Danger on the Right!!”
The nomination of Trump does not dispel that misconception. His nomination confirms that misconception, to where it becomes very, very difficult for conservatives as a whole to argue the fact that is is a misconception.
It was always an uphill battle for conservatives to argue that the message of the left was wrong , and that what Prager calls SIXHIRB was nothing more than leftist alarmism…
The problem is that so many conservatives who could make that argument before Trump are now having a hard time believing that such an argument is authentic, precisely because Trump was nominated.
The problem is not that Trump is either a racist or a xenophobe. The problem is not that Trump is even a worse excuse of a human being that HRC I personally don’t believe he is either a racist, or a xenophobe, or of lower character than Hillary.
The problem is that he was able to sell a message of xenophobia so effectively as to win the nomination. When even so many white conservatives start to wonder if we have been aligning ourselves with xenophobes, how is it going to be possible to sell Hispanics or any number of non-whites on the idea that they are welcome members of the Republican party?
