Climate Change News collection

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I think you are missing the point, which is that the models completely miss this trend.

It’s not an attack on GHG physics, it’s just pointing out how poor the models work.
 
The MIT News article cited by Peebo did not say the models “completely miss this trend.” I think that is a Steve interpretation.
 
According to Steve, whoever he is…?
According to Leaf, whoever she is…?

Steve McIntyre is actually quite well-known and has been an effective critic of the received narrative. Controversial, for sure, but he has made very effective points in the debate.
In 2007, McIntyre started auditing the various corrections made to temperature records, in particular those relating to the urban heat island effect. He discovered a discontinuity in some U.S. records in the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) dataset starting in January 2000. He emailed GISS advising them of the problem and within a couple of days GISS issued a new, corrected set of data and thanked McIntyre for “bringing to our attention that such an adjustment is necessary to prevent creating an artificial jump in year 2000”.[27] The adjustment reduced the average temperatures for the continental United States by about 0.15 °C during the years 2000-2006. Changes in other portions of the record did not exceed 0.03 °C; it made no discernible difference to the global mean anomalies.
Steve McIntyre - Wikipedia
 
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LeafByNiggle:
According to Steve, whoever he is…?
Steve McIntyre is actually quite well-known…
Just because he has a Wikipedia page about him? There is nothing in that page to make his blog more authoritative or trustworthy than NASA. What you then quoted was a bunch of things Steve claimed. But still no reason to trust his opinions over NASA.
 
Just because he has a Wikipedia page about him? There is nothing in that page to make his blog more authoritative or trustworthy than NASA. What you then quoted was a bunch of things Steve claimed. But still no reason to trust his opinions over NASA.
And we still have no reason to trust that you are any more “authoritative or trustworthy” than Steve McIntyre. He, at least, has a Wikipedia page about him. As far as we know, you do not, so your level of authority and trustworthiness does not even rise to the level of Steve McIntyre’s. A little humility here might be in store, no?

Besides, the auditing of the key GISS dataset was apparently corrected in view of McIntyre’s assessment. That is evidence that his work is credible as far as the Goddard Institute is concerned, despite that you don’t find his work credible.

So, here we have a choice,
  1. believe you, an anonymous CAF commenter regarding McIntyre’s credibility and bona fides, or
  2. trust the Goddard Institute for Space Studies, in lieu of the fact that they corrected their own dataset based upon McIntyre’s effective critique.
In your own words "… still no reason to trust his [your] opinions over NASA [Goddard].

See how your own words undermine your own point?
 
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The MIT News article cited by Peebo did not say the models “completely miss this trend.” I think that is a Steve interpretation.
You don’t seem to be able to distinguish one “interpretation” from another interpretation.

Read this point from Peebo’s cited article quoting Kostov…

“Our paper suggests that the first process — the northward transport of colder water — dominates this fast cooling response, but then over longer time scales, we have this build-up of heat below the surface that impacts the slow timescale of response — the gradual warming,” Kostov says.

If the explanation for short term cooling response in the Southern Ocean can only be “suggested,” and that very tentatively, then to presume the paper can say anything about the gradual warming of the ocean over “longer time scales,” other than that those claims can only be “suggestive,” at the very best.

I think you are making a Leaf interpretation of what the paper of Kostov actually can claim.
 
For me to believe Steve, I would have think NASA is full of idiots, because they do not agree with all of his conclusions. Source integrity matters. NASA has put men on the moon. Steve has just spent time looking for data to disprove global warming. I’m not saying this on my own authority. This is easily seen for yourself. So don’t try to make this about my credibility, because it isn’t. If you think Steve’s conclusions are so trustworthy, find a group of known authority who can vouch for him. Why do you think NASA does not go along with him? Are they all idiots ?
 
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Climate Change politics is nothing more than boring, angry, unsuccessful people who have no life to have a way of controlling others.
 
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For me to believe Steve, I would have think NASA is full of idiots, because they do not agree with all of his conclusions. Source integrity matters. NASA has put men on the moon. Steve has just spent time looking for data to disprove global warming. I’m not saying this on my own authority. This is easily seen for yourself. So don’t try to make this about my credibility, because it isn’t. If you think Steve’s conclusions are so trustworthy, find a group of known authority who can vouch for him. Why do you think NASA does not go along with him? Are they all idiots ?
The individuals who put men on the moon were not the same ones who currently staff NASA. NASA has moved its focus away from what made it great years ago. Ergo, your argument doesn’t hold.

The option isn’t that if they don’t agree with Steve they must, therefore, be idiots. The question of why intelligent persons do not relate or support the complete truth about things is a complicated one. The entire issue of global warming is complicated. Beginning with a mistaken premise or two can get you into deep error territory very quickly. Also, there is a great deal to be gained financially, politically and reputationally by going with the current politically supported narrative, and a great deal to be lost by not doing so. Your reduction of the problem to one of either brilliance or idiocy is simplistic.
 
The individuals who put men on the moon
The guys that did the moon jobs etal are on record against NASA’s current position.


49 former NASA scientists and astronauts sent a letter to NASA Administrator Charles Bolden last week admonishing the agency for it’s role in advocating a high degree of certainty that man-made CO2 is a major cause of climate change while neglecting empirical evidence that calls the theory into question.

The group, which includes seven Apollo astronauts and two former directors of NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston, are dismayed over the failure of NASA, and specifically the Goddard Institute For Space Studies (GISS), to make an objective assessment of all available scientific data on climate change. They charge that NASA is relying too heavily on complex climate models that have proven scientifically inadequate in predicting climate only one or two decades in advance.
 
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Steve has just spent time looking for data to disprove global warming. I’m not saying this on my own authority. This is easily seen for yourself.
And this is a bad thing?

Wasn’t so long ago that such an enterprise – searching hard to disprove a thesis – was the hallmark of good science. Propose a theory or hypothesis and spend your last waking minute trying to disprove it from every possible angle. even if the theory was your own to begin with.

Now, science seems to be about enshrining a politically correct hypothesis in unbreakable glass, protecting it with all possible assets, insuring that everyone agrees with it a priori, and commandeering every peer reviewed publication by banning or calling names – deniers or dissenters – anyone who even raises a question about the thesis.

Science certainly has become unrecognizable, methodologically speaking.
 
And this is a bad thing?
I’d say he’s spending time looking for data that questions the climate models. This is not the same as questioning the basic physics of global warming.

I’m confident Steve believes 100% that CO2 and H2O are both green house gasses.
 
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LeafByNiggle:
For me to believe Steve, I would have think NASA is full of idiots, because they do not agree with all of his conclusions. Source integrity matters. NASA has put men on the moon. Steve has just spent time looking for data to disprove global warming. I’m not saying this on my own authority. This is easily seen for yourself. So don’t try to make this about my credibility, because it isn’t. If you think Steve’s conclusions are so trustworthy, find a group of known authority who can vouch for him. Why do you think NASA does not go along with him? Are they all idiots ?
The individuals who put men on the moon were not the same ones who currently staff NASA.

NASA has moved its focus away from what made it great years ago.
It is just your opinion that NASA is not reputable now. I think they are. And so is NOAA, which also does not agree with Steve.
The question of why intelligent persons do not relate or support the complete truth about things is a complicated one.
Your “question” assumes something that has not been agreed to, namely that the intelligent persons at NASA and NOAA do not relate or support the complete truth.\
The entire issue of global warming is complicated. Beginning with a mistaken premise or two can get you into deep error territory very quickly. Also, there is a great deal to be gained financially, politically and reputationally by going with the current politically supported narrative…
Nope. You are not going to convince me that there is an incentive for NASA and NOAA scientists to support a deceptive narrative. But as for incentive, I think Steve has far more incentive to stretch the truth, since he has staked his reputation on discrediting global warming from the beginning.
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LeafByNiggle:
Steve has just spent time looking for data to disprove global warming. I’m not saying this on my own authority. This is easily seen for yourself.
And this is a bad thing?
No, it just doesn’t particularly add to his reputability.
Wasn’t so long ago that such an enterprise – searching hard to disprove a thesis – was the hallmark of good science.
It still is. And it is done scientifically, not by publishing a blog.
Now, science seems to be about enshrining a politically correct hypothesis in unbreakable glass…
No. Legitimate climate scientists are still investigating global warming, and even publishing (as we saw in the MIT report cited earlier) data that challenges the current understanding. Steve is not part of this process. He’s got no credentials that would make the average person have to take him seriously.
 
 
A very short while ago you didn’t even know who Steve was.
According to Steve, whoever he is…?
And now you are suddenly an expert on all things Steve and without hint of bias have ruled that he’s “got no credentials.”
Steve is not part of this process. He’s got no credentials that would make the average person have to take him seriously.
You appear to have no preconceptions or proclivities regarding the “authorized” and “expert” view which you accept fully on the basis of the reputation of those who promote that view. And since anyone who does not accept that view cannot be considered, by you, to have any repute or credibility, the absolutely closed circular reasoning of your view thus immunizes you against any possibility of doubt about the “expert” position.

Isn’t science gloriously infallible when it functions like the jaws of a pit bull that cannot be opened until they have completed their bite?

Are the experts correct because they are experts or are they experts because they are correct?

According to your position, it appears being experts and being correct amount to the same thing. And since you recognize both the expertise and the correctness in the same instance, you have assumed to yourself the final say on both questions at the same time. Nice.

From now on, we’ll skip both questions and just go straight to you for the final word. It will save a great deal of time and discussion. 🤔
 
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And now you are suddenly an expert on all things Steve and without hint of bias have ruled that he’s “got no credentials.”
I haven’t seen any yet that would qualify him to have his word taken over NASA. But of course I am open to being proven wrong, if such stellar credentials show up.
You appear to have no preconceptions or proclivities regarding the “authorized” and “expert” view which you accept fully on the basis of the reputation of those who promote that view.
I do place a lot of stock in reputation. That is true.
And since anyone who does not accept that view cannot be considered, by you, to have any repute or credibility…
…a false assumption, which invalidates the conclusion you draw from it.
Isn’t science gloriously infallible…
I will assume this is sarcasm, and you really mean “isn’t science quite fallible.” The answer is that science has proven to be less fallible than any other means of discovering how the physical world operates. In fact, it has been getting better and better as the network of scientists grows and results are examined and challenged by more and more scientists.
Are the experts correct because they are experts or are they experts because they are correct?
They are experts because they have proven themselves to be the most competent in their field.
 
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