Do hacked e-mails show global-warming fraud?

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I actually haven’t seen any climate scientist claims that the mediveil warming period and the mini ice age didn;t exist. They are just not the big hump dip in more recent constructions as they were in old one(s).
Please note that there is no MWP or ILA phenomenom in the hockey stick graph.

Here are some interesting points to consider:

From Rashit Hantemirov, Russian Dendrochronologist, who collected Briffa’s Yamal tree rings: “There are no evidences of moving polar timberline to the north during last century.” (filename=907975032.txt e-mail to Briffa about the Yamal larch core series; i.e., no signs of warming in last 100 years.)

This panorama shows dead bristlecones far above the present treeline (Snow Mtn bristlecone study series used by Mann and other hockeystick promoters; i.e., it was much warmer in the past, dated to the MWP.)
virtualguidebooks.com/SouthCalif/EastOfTheSierra/Patriarch/DeadBristlecones.html
And that bottom graph seems to only be about Europe are both the graphes only about European temperatures? But as I understand it that bottom graph is an old graph that mainly used data from northern europe a lot of it from central England.
Do you not see the logical flaw in such an argument? Regardless of whether the bottom graph is just northern Europe or even just central England, it covers a broader area then the Yamal trees in Briffa’s study. One cannot logically argue (as they have) that the old graph is only an isolated phenomenom and then turn around and claim that Yamal represents a world-wide phenomenom. It is not logical.

Moreover, they do not have temperature data for all their grids. Gigantic swaths of land and ocean have no data, let alone long-term data. If they are going to claim that MWP and ILA are geographically-isolated occurances, then how do they know if other geographically-isolated occurances of cooling/warming are not occurring and off-setting each other? I’ll answer it for you: they do not know.
 
The raw data sets are no good. “Lost” data sets, lost metadata, untrackable merged/purged sets, no chain of evidence, no QA system. Even their own computer guy says they are hopelessly corrupted.

The models are no good. The code is undocumented, unmaintainable. The techniques used are demonstrable garbage. Good science and good statistics are missing.

The results are no good. They’re non-repeatable.

Their (name removed by moderator)ut data, their models, and their results are completely fubar.
 
This is enlightening. This article is just from today.

timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article6936328.ece
SCIENTISTS at the University of East Anglia (UEA) have admitted throwing away much of the raw temperature data on which their predictions of global warming are based.
It means that other academics are not able to check basic calculations said to show a long-term rise in temperature over the past 150 years.
In a statement on its website, the CRU said: “We do not hold the original raw data but only the value-added (quality controlled and homogenised) data.”
The statement page is currently down, but the statement is still available in this Google cache. Just do a page search for “raw data”
 
Three things you absolutely must know about Climategate
First, the scientists discuss manipulating data to get their preferred results. The most prominently featured scientists are paleoclimatologists, who reconstruct historical temperatures and who were responsible for a series of reconstructions that seemed to show a sharp rise in temperatures well above historical variation in recent decades…

Secondly, scientists on several occasions discussed methods of subverting the scientific peer review process to ensure that skeptical papers had no access to publication. In 2003, Tom Wigley of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, complained that paleoclimatologist Hans von Storch was responsible for “the publication of **** science ‘in order to stimulate debate’” and that they “must get rid of von Storch” (1051190249) as an editor of the journal Climate Research (he indeed subsequently resigned)…

Finally, the scientists worked to circumvent the Freedom of Information process of the United Kingdom.
This is an excellent post and I’m shocked that it took 4 pages to get to some key factors…first, the attempt to circumvent the FOI process…which is in and of itself telling. The second and in many ways most important aspect of this is that there was a clear effort by the MMGW crowd to manipulate the peer review process. Those who have questioned MMGW have for YEARS been complaining about being closed out of peer review…now we see from the source that thre was an active effort on the part of the MMGW folks to subvert one of the most important parts of the scientific process. Hand in hand with that, it seems clear there was an attempt to manipulate data…a claim that has been made since Mann’s “hockey stick”.
 
When Results Go Bad …

29 11 2009
by Willis Eschenbach

One of the claims in this hacked CRU email saga goes something like “Well, the scientists acted like jerks, but that doesn’t affect the results, it’s still warming.”
I got intrigued by one of the hacked CRU emails, from the Phil Jones and Kevin Trenberth to Professor Wibjorn Karlen. In it, Professor Karlen asked some very pointed questions about the CRU and IPCC results. He got incomplete, incorrect and very misleading answers. Here’s the story, complete with pictures. I have labeled the text to make it clear who is speaking, including my comments.

read the rest:
wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/29/when-results-go-bad/#more-13373
 
Check out this funny post here from one year ago (even though the guy is banned now):
Here’s my prediction. Within 18 months everyone here who likens climate change to some radical liberal myth will admit that it is a real and immediate problem.
forums.catholic-questions.org/showthread.php?t=287598&page=4

Well, something big happened within 18 months… :o

Looks like we have just 6 months left before all of us deniers finally wake up and see the light. :rolleyes:
 
Check out this funny post here from one year ago (even though the guy is banned now):

forums.catholic-questions.org/showthread.php?t=287598&page=4

Well, something big happened within 18 months… :o

Looks like we have just 6 months left before all of us deniers finally wake up and see the light. :rolleyes:
***“How can I keep from singing?”
My work uniform company attaches a tag on a replaced button that says, “We care, We repair.” But, I’ve been told one can get in trouble for caring!
As a pre-teen and teenager I used to care about the Dichlorodimethyltrichloroethane (DDT, which was still being widely used as an insecticide) that Rachel Carson would speak against in her “Silent Spring” and used to map out songbirds’ and others’ nesting locations for several years. Also took an interest in George Washington-like surveying and some meteorological recordkeeping. Thousands of high and low temperature observations were put onto fine grid graph paper to display trends expected and unexpected, varying with the seasons and years. Although lying about the facts never entered into my mind or psyche, I did play with various types of averaging of large amounts of data to see a different picture of what had been observed in small bits of data.
Interestingly, the Baltimore Oriole arrival times in Spring fell into a strong Bell curve distribution centered on the eighth of May in our area, a bit north of the 45th parallel. Also, some of their songs, which they seem compelled to sing, changed with the passage of a few years and must have been learned as they associated with their “snowbird” friends in Cuba or other locales in the winter.
If scientists or other humans associate with and are influenced by those who are driven too strongly by the short-term profit motive, perhaps it could be understandable to see corrupted data and conclusions. As my wife says, and I can’t help but agree wholeheartedly, “the oldest profession is a cop-out”.

 
There’s actually a third theory.

wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/23/the-crutape-letters%C2%AE-an-alternate-explanation/
Many have begun to think that the zip archive FOI2009.zip was prepared internally by CRU in response to Steve McIntyre’s FOI requests, in parallel with attempts to deny the request in case the ability to refuse was lost.
Security policies often fail as users take advantage of shortcuts to simplify their day to day activities. One of these shortcuts is to share files using an FTP server. Casual shortcuts in these instances may lead to gaping security holes. This is not necessarily intentional, but a consequence of human nature to take a shortcut here and there. This casual internal sharing can also lead to unintentional sharing of files with the rest of the Internet
 
Check out this funny post here from one year ago (even though the guy is banned now):

forums.catholic-questions.org/showthread.php?t=287598&page=4

Well, something big happened within 18 months… :o

Looks like we have just 6 months left before all of us deniers finally wake up and see the light. :rolleyes:
Exoflare:

There has been this tendency to conflate “Global Climate Change” with “Anthropogenic Global Warming”. Global Climate Change is a fact, because the Earth’s Climate changes. “Ice-Core Samples” have shown that the Earth has had Glacial Periods and Interglacials along with periods of Warming for the past 15 Million years. In fact, there have been periods in the past 8,000 years when the average Global Temperatures have been 1-2 Deg C warmer than during the past decade. One feature most historians like to note about the Medieval Warming Period is that the French were complaining that the English WINE Industry was growing so much Inexpensive High-Quality Wine they were PUTTING THEM OUT OF BUSINESSES! Another they refer to is that a Viking expedition under Leif Erikson found WILD GRAPES VINES between L’Anse aux Meadows on Newfoundland and Narragansett Bay (RI/MA)

I defy anyone to grow wine grapes in most areas of the U.K. without using a hothouse. Same for New England. I don’t think there’s anyway anyone can honestly say that it’s warmer now than it was during the Medieval Warming Period.

I’m not saying that we don’t have an effect on the Climate, but the effect is much smaller than those of Natural Processes, such as variation in Solar Output, The Precession of the Equinoxes (Also known as “The Earth’s Wobble”) & Volcanism. Most CLIMATOLOGISTS agree that our effect on the Earth’s Climate is actually quite small when compared to these other causes.

This doesn’t alleviate us from our responsibility to care for the Creation God has given over to our care and Stewardship. This doesn’t mean we can use this planet as a sewer, a garbage bag or a huge incinerator/smokestack. It is God’s, and He will eventually require an accounting for what we have done and failed to do.

Your Brother & Servant in Christ, Michael
 
Ugh I know this is probably pointless , But eh I am bored. First of all about the hockey stick not showing the little ice age and medievel warming period. this is an interesting page on temperature reconstructions. cce.890m.com/temperature-reconstructions/

And a recent post on skeptical science skepticalscience.com/Was-there-a-Medieval-Warm-Period.html So what evidence we do have still suggests that while in there was a warm period in certain areas of the world and a cold period aftrer in certain parts of the world neither seems to have been a global phenomenon.

Another post by skeptical science on the tree ring divergence problem.skepticalscience.com/Hockey-stick-divergence-problem.html I like this as it discusses possible reasons as to why we see this with certain sets of tree rings

As to the issue of did the scientists at the university of East Anglia dump a bunch of raw temperature data. littlegreenfootballs.com/article/35233_Did_Climate_Scientists_Destroy_Data_A-_No

I thought this was the most relevant part though.

The data is still there — you can still get these stations from the [NOAA] National Climatic Data Center.”

I thought this was a good post by greenfyre too. greenfyre.wordpress.com/2009/11/30/crude-hack-meme-and-the-smoking-gun/#more-7335

I thought these lines rang especially true based on my experience in this debate:

**The meme works because it preys on multiple elements of public ignorance about climate science. Some of the mistaken ideas are ‘natural’ and some created or nurtured by the Deniers. These include the mistaken ideas that the science is:

exclusively model based
done by only a handful of scientists
limited in scope
conducted largely by (US) government researchers
all recent **

But read the whole article especially since it deals heavilly with the recent hacking event.

Oh and on that New Zealand temperature record thing. hot-topic.co.nz/nz-sceptics-lie-about-temp-records-try-to-smear-top-scientist/

Ok it’s almost 1:30 am here and I have lost interest again anyway lol.
 
Ugh I know this is probably pointless, But I am bored.
Instead of being bored, try being a little skeptical. You keep going back to the poisoned well.
First of all about the hockey stick not showing the little ice age and medievel warming period. this is an interesting page on temperature reconstructions. cce.890m.com/temperature-reconstructions/
I recommend reading it critically. It uses the same flawed logic and tainted sources as pointed out before.
And a recent post on skeptical science skepticalscience.com/Was-there-a-Medieval-Warm-Period.html So what evidence we do have still suggests that while in there was a warm period in certain areas of the world and a cold period aftrer in certain parts of the world neither seems to have been a global phenomenon.
Your link actually quotes a Mann study!! Too funny. 😛
You have to stop going to the poisoned well!

Mann uses one proxy (with strong MWP and LIA signatures) that is actually inverted in hs compilation. The net effect is that it cancels out the MWP and LIA signatures of the other proxies. Shameless.

In contrast to the deeply flawed paper by the tainted Mann, many studies outside the AGW circle show the the MWP and the LIA were global phenomena.

Summaries of 21 published papers that provide evidence of warming during the MWP. (Europe, North Atlantic, and elsewhere on the planet.)

Graphic shows 43 independent studies (i.e., not funded by anti-capitalism statists or flogged by a PR firm for leftists causes behind realclimate) that have found global evidence of the Medieval Warming Period (i.e., it was not a geographically-isolated event). And they show the late 20th century temps as non-unique and cooler then the MWP. The real “consensus” is that there is no unusual GW now, let alone AGW.

I have also provided you with video evidence.

I have also shown you how the arguments of global MWP deniers are logically flawed and in turn can be used to disprove AGW. Even the CRU researchers were aware of it. But it didn’t fit into their narrative. Could it be that global MWP and LIA means no AGW research grants?
Another post by skeptical science on the tree ring divergence problem.skepticalscience.com/Hockey-stick-divergence-problem.html
Several things are wrong with this summary. There is not a universal linear relationshp between tree rings (width and/or density) and temperature. Many factors affect it. Certain trees are better than others. Many of the tree series used by the “hockey team” are particularly flawed. Their techniques for showing a relationship are flawed. That is why Briffa’s proxies diverged from reality once they left the “calibration” period. No amount of re-calibration will fixed the flawed methodology.
As to the issue of did the scientists at the university of East Anglia dump a bunch of raw temperature data. littlegreenfootballs.com/article/35233_Did_Climate_Scientists_Destroy_Data_A-_No

I thought this was the most relevant part though.

The data is still there — you can still get these stations from the [NOAA] National Climatic Data Center.”
I take it you’ve never dealt with large data sets. Read the comments of the UEA/CRU computer guys.

First, the storage of the data could have been handled by at most a handful of tapes. There was no lack of storage space. I would have found it much more plausible if Jones had said he had just lost them in the move or they were accidentally tossed. Jones’ statements appear to be specious.

Second, the data sets that they did keep are hopelessly compromised. Their internal comments say they’ve merged, purged, sliced, diced, and adjusted data sets so often they had no idea what is what. “Hopeless state” is how it was described.

Third, they made so many data changes that they cannot reconstruct their data manipulation pathways. It is impossible for them to reconstruct an original working data set. The data sets are too big, the changes too complex, and the methodologies completely undocumented and unverified. They must start from scratch.

Fourth, while the national data sets are still available, they in turn have also been adjusted in the interim. A reconstruction of original CRU data would necessarily involve deconstructing those data sets (which in turn have been shown to be flawed by outside studies).

It is completely impossible to reconstruct original work, let alone validate it. They’ll have to start from scratch.
As with many data sets, the “global warming” signature in the data is due almost entirely to manual adjustments. Oddly, older thermometers are adjudged to report too hot and so must be adjusted down. New thermometers are deemed to report too cold and must be adjusted up. They would have us believe newer thermometer technology became less reliable, leading to ever increasing needs to adjust it. And voila, AGW is the result.

As Ender stated to you earlier: “This challenge should be simple to disprove.” Yet NIWA hasn’t. Skepticism is the smart stance to take at this point.
 
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