R
Ridgerunner
Guest
The reality is that nobody truly understands foreign affairs other than those who have been in the intelligence business for years, and even then it’s only approximate.But Trump can work around his lack of specific knowledge about foreign policy. He can talk about Hillary’s corruption, her lack of judgment in voting for the Iraq War in the first place, her lack of energy, stamina, strength, his own priority of destroying ISIS, and, most of all, his desire to make America’s Foreign Policy Great Again! Don’t forget that Trump is a master at kibitzing (to put it kindly), or BS’ing (to be more blunt).
Most dealing with foreign affairs is “keep strong, get as much information as you can, and act rationally after receiving advice from the best experts you know”. Think about this for a moment. When George W. Bush took office, the last thing he expected was to be a wartime president. He was all into “compassionate conservatism” whatever that is. Most likely he had notions of reducing deficits, as he said.
Then 911 happened. In the meantime, Saddam Hussein was repeatedly breaking the terms of the truce and intelligence from all over told him Saddam was working on WMD. The military really wasn’t prepared for either situation, so a lot of buildup, diplomacy with allies, etc, etc, etc. took his time, effort and resources. If the truth were known, his failure to curb excess spending by both parties was probably part of the price of pursuing the wars, in which he probably really believed. Almost certainly his mistakes were in believing a stable state could be made of Afghanistan and in believing the Iraq effort would be maintained prn by his successor.
In the outcome, though, he was vilified by an already-hostile media and probably accomplished few of the goals he really had in mind for the country internally.
Obama’s successes in getting his (misguided, in my view) internal policies accomplished came at the price of seeing American foreign policy collapse in the face of Islamic aggression, a tougher China, a revanchist Russia and a shabby economy.
As between Trump and Hillary Clinton, the question is not going to be who has the wisest foreign policy. Neither of them has a crystal ball, and neither has any idea what things are going to happen abroad in the next four to eight years. The question is who is going to tell a story that people will believe.
Trump’s handicap is that he has not studied public persuasion/deception for decades the way Hillary Clinton has. Her handicap is that she really does have a trail of failures in foreign policy, perhaps borne of corruption, perhaps only borne of ordinary foolishness.