E
EasterJoy
Guest
Occam’s Razor eliminates #3 because Donald Trump has a deeply-held belief that any group would be improved by having Donald Trump running it. If he intended to make a mess of the GOP, it is because he thinks the kind of havoc he would introduce would only improve it.
His rhetoric over the past several decades indicates that he holds to the Sun Tzu maxim espoused by Bill Belichick:* All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when we are able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must appear inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.* Real estate deal-makers do not achieve huge profits by being open about their motives and plans where the other parties to their deal are not being open.
Therefore, there is no reason to assume #1 is true. Donald Trump believes in something and has a goal, but there is no reason in the world to believe he’ll tell you what his actual beliefs or goals are.
I would say Donald Trump aims to achieve #2. After fourteen or fifteen years on cable television and decades of developing himself as a “brand,” selling his brand to his audience is his bread and butter. The Trump brand is the one thing I believe Donald Trump would not knowingly sacrifice for anything and the thing he automatically looks to enhance and protect. Therefore, I believe everything he does, including his run for president, has that goal in mind. Based on how well his brand has done, I think he’s gotten to be pretty good at that.
That does not mean he can’t make mistakes. He’s had his big losses and his big wins. He may have calculated that he can insult certain groups without harm because so many other people secretly agree with him. Votes, after all, are cast in secret. I think he may have grossly miscalculated the difference between winning in a poll and getting voters to the polls, though. The antipathy he’s sowing may drive far more people actually go to the polls and vote than the approval he’s been trying to cultivate among people who think in the ways he talks. He is inciting a lot of “someone else ought to do something about this because it is someone else’s fault” thinking. Time will tell whether that thinking gets people to take the responsibility to vote. It may be the very people he unfairly tried to blame who decide this election.
His rhetoric over the past several decades indicates that he holds to the Sun Tzu maxim espoused by Bill Belichick:* All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when we are able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must appear inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.* Real estate deal-makers do not achieve huge profits by being open about their motives and plans where the other parties to their deal are not being open.
Therefore, there is no reason to assume #1 is true. Donald Trump believes in something and has a goal, but there is no reason in the world to believe he’ll tell you what his actual beliefs or goals are.
I would say Donald Trump aims to achieve #2. After fourteen or fifteen years on cable television and decades of developing himself as a “brand,” selling his brand to his audience is his bread and butter. The Trump brand is the one thing I believe Donald Trump would not knowingly sacrifice for anything and the thing he automatically looks to enhance and protect. Therefore, I believe everything he does, including his run for president, has that goal in mind. Based on how well his brand has done, I think he’s gotten to be pretty good at that.
That does not mean he can’t make mistakes. He’s had his big losses and his big wins. He may have calculated that he can insult certain groups without harm because so many other people secretly agree with him. Votes, after all, are cast in secret. I think he may have grossly miscalculated the difference between winning in a poll and getting voters to the polls, though. The antipathy he’s sowing may drive far more people actually go to the polls and vote than the approval he’s been trying to cultivate among people who think in the ways he talks. He is inciting a lot of “someone else ought to do something about this because it is someone else’s fault” thinking. Time will tell whether that thinking gets people to take the responsibility to vote. It may be the very people he unfairly tried to blame who decide this election.