Donald Trump Presidential Campaign Thread

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She’s outspending him 8:1, and yet the gap in most polls is right around the margin of error. Looks like the businessman knows how to spend money effectively.
Only if he wins. Otherwise everything he spent might has well have been squandered on the **** tables in Vegas for all the good it will have done.
 
There’s a new headline in the Washington Post:

“Trump’s top example of foreign experience: A Scottish golf course losing millions”

That’s quite a resume when it comes to foreign experience!

The Donald Trump show is turning out to be a comedy…
How do you get to post hateful comments and get away with it? I’ve gotten in trouble for less.🤷
 
I see. So, do you feel NZ has skin in the game when the US is forming policies on how to fight ISIS? Are NZ soldiers going to go to Syria and be boots on the ground? Will you spend your money on it?

So, while you are certainly welcome to your opinion, no, you do not have much (if any) skin in the game.
We have been involved in other conflicts that you have started.

But I was thinking more about the effects that Trump’s trade policies would have on us. I call that skin in the game.

Definition (from ProgrammerInterview.com) :

“If someone is said to have some “skin in the game”, it usually means that person has something to lose (whether it’s some form of ownership, money, property, or just respect) in a given situation – and that situation is usually something business related”.
 
No US soldiers are going to go to Syria and be boots on the ground. At most, the US would bomb the place. Other countries could certainly have an opinion about whether the US should be bombing Syria. It’s not our country after all and other countries around the world would have a right to approve or object to our intervening in another country. Objections might legitimately be made in the UN or the Security Council or by foreign ambassadors in Washington.
I seem to remember every Republican candidate in one of the debates saying they would put on the ground and that would be in Syria. So, it’s not such a far-fetched idea that it will happen under a Republican President. After all, who would have thought that Bush would get the US into the quagmire of Iraq and yet he did.

So, I take issue with people with no skin in the game insisting that the US should take a course of action that will cost American lives and fortune but are saying this from some foreign country that certainly will do their best to cut and run the first chance they get if they become involved at all.
 
We have been involved in other conflicts that you have started.

But I was thinking more about the effects that Trump’s trade policies would have on us. I call that skin in the game.

Definition (from ProgrammerInterview.com) :

“If someone is said to have some “skin in the game”, it usually means that person has something to lose (whether it’s some form of ownership, money, property, or just respect) in a given situation – and that situation is usually something business related”.
I think worrying about trade policies is reasonable and I can certainly see why you would care for that. I think I explain myself in the post above this one.
 

Try to think of him differently and recognize that your fascination may be due to something that makes you uncomfortable. If it is rudeness or vanity that you suspicion is your turnoff, imagine that he is not intending to be rude or vain in a harmful way and his personality is not really any harm to you. Perhaps you could offer advice on his presentation. His stated goals are certainly good for America and it is a positive that Hillary Clinton is totally unsuitable. You may find you feel more comfortable toward America’s fight against the enemies within.
He doesn’t make me uncomfortable anymore, he just makes me laugh (unintentionally on his part).
 
We get it. You have been heard so you can quit letting everyone know your feelings.
 
We get it. You have been heard so you can quit letting everyone know your feelings.
Sorry I didn’t mean to offend. Last comment: I was going to add, I don’t actually disagree with all of his statements and positions he advocates, I just don’t think he’s in any way shape or form conservative. I’ll bow out now.
 
Well, I would prefer if the American media just reported the news without opinion, but we both know that is never going to happen since all news is intermixed with opinion, particularly on the wretched cable news channels. Personally, I just find it odd when people show up on this site and start going on about what they think America should do when they have no skin in the game. It’s be like me going on the Brexit site and telling Brits they are stupid to stay in the EU. It’s their country, they can do what they want.
Opinion would include the polls I feel. Polls should be eliminated as many are opinions of a minimum of 400 people. I simply can not see the accuracy of polls and choose to ignore them. ANY OPINIONS ON POLLS???
 
Muslims are not a race and illegal immigrants are not a race. How does the unelected billionaire-owned media claim Trump is a racist?
 
Opinion would include the polls I feel. Polls should be eliminated as many are opinions of a minimum of 400 people. I simply can not see the accuracy of polls and choose to ignore them. ANY OPINIONS ON POLLS???
I find them interesting as a math problem. Statistically, a well-chosen random sample can give a good picture on the population at large. That said, the biggest failure of modern polls have been changes in technology and demographics along with an inability to predict who will actually come out to vote (no matter what the sample says). In recent years, we have seen issues with failure to call cell phone users in survey and hence, undersampling young voters. A new issue is surveying in English where many new immigrants do not speak English.

The big thing I’ve noticed so far is a disconnect between the national polls, that are showing Clinton with a 5-6 point lead and state polls in swing states that do not correlate with the national polls. Quinnipiac and PPP have shown a much closer race in Ohio. Pennslyvania than one might expect based on national polls. That said, Quinnipiac showed Clinton with a lead in Florida in line with national polls and PPP had a NC poll that seems to better align with national polls (Trump up by 2 which is the same that Romney won by in 2012, when Obama won nationally by 4 points).

I wouldn’t get especially excited by the polls until August.
 
I wouldn’t get especially excited by the polls until August.
Polls are unnecessary. Apparently one guy has already figured it out (note this article is from February before the primaries were decided):
usnews.com/news/articles/2016-02-26/trump-will-become-president-statistical-model-says
The odds are ever in Donald Trump’s favor.
Helmut Norpoth, a professor of political science at Stony Brook University, has developed a statistical model that predicts a 97 percent to 99 percent chance that Trump will win the 2016 presidential election if he wins the Republican nomination, The Blaze reports.
Norpoth’s model has correctly predicted the outcome of every single presidential election since 1912 – save one, the election of 1960, which some believe was rigged. It uses a candidate’s performance in their party’s primary coupled with electoral cycle patterns to determine the likely outcome of the general election.
Of course, you can go with the school who has predicted every election correctly since 1975 - Western Illinois:
mediaite.com/print/guess-who-wins-the-presidency-according-to-school-with-100-prediction-history/
Western Illinois University, home of the Fighting Leathernecks, has been engaging with political prediction polls for decades. And since 1975, the school has managed to accurately predict the winner of every single Presidential election in a statistic that is likely to make even Nate Silver jealous.
So with the newest installment tallied and in the books, who does Western Illinois University believe will be taking the stage to declare victory the night of November 8th, 2016?
None other than President-Elect Bernie Sanders, with Vice Presidential candidate Martin O’Malley right by his side.
It doesn’t really matter - Hillary, Bernie, or Donald. They’re all one and the same. The only One Who will save this country/world is Jesus Christ through His blessed Mother and His Holy Catholic Church.
 
Muslims are not a race and illegal immigrants are not a race. How does the unelected billionaire-owned media claim Trump is a racist?
Alternatively, whenever bigoted comments are made against Catholics, we should be able to claim racism
What’s good for the goose is good for the gander 😉
 
Although a different issue, I think there are questions about the accuracy and reliability of polls when you look at what happened with various EU referendum polls and how they turned out to not be reflecting reality of what has happened with the voting. This article was posted three days ago, and it talks of the possibility of “shy leavers” not wanting to tell pollsters because being associated with Nigel Farage (by the way I did not like that immigration poster that Nigel Farage stood behind, but I’m not going to go into that too
much), and as I think I heard on Fox News, perhaps from host Steve Doocy, a similar sort of thing could be happening with Trump, where people don’t want to tell pollsters they would vote for him, and therefore polls might be understating his support.
 
After a momentous event like Britain’s vote to leave the EU, what does Trump think:

“I think it’s a great thing that happened. People are angry, all over the world. People, they’re angry…

"When the pound goes down, more people are coming to Turnberry [Trump’s golf course], frankly. For traveling and for other things, I think it very well could turn out to be a positive.”

He’s thinking, of course, of himself and his golf course and how much more money he’s going to make.

And when asked a few weeks ago about Brexit by reporter Michael Wolff:

Trump: “Huh?”

Michael Wolff: “Brexit”

Trump: “Hmm”

Michael Wolff: “The Brits leaving the E.U.”

Trump: “Oh yeah, I think they should leave”

It’s so reassuring to have a person that is so knowledgeable about foreign affairs, such a profound thinker, as the nominee for one of our two major parties. :rolleyes:
 
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