Evaluating Dembski's ID

  • Thread starter Thread starter FrankSchnabel
  • Start date Start date
Status
Not open for further replies.
How many pieces are there in the puzzle and what do you base this on? If you don’t know, you can’t make this claim.

Peace

Tim
We can simply start at the fossil record. Any paleontologist will admit we have few pieces.

Common sense tells us that there are more fossils we have not dug up and more that never fossilized to begin with.

Can you make the claim we have the complete fossil record?
 
We can simply start at the fossil record. Any paleontologist will admit we have few pieces.

Common sense tells us that there are more fossils we have not dug up and more that never fossilized to begin with.
Nope. There are zero fossils that never fossilized.😉
Can you make the claim we have the complete fossil record?
Why would you even ask that? You put a percentage on what we have and you can’t do that unless you know what the ultimate total is.

We don’t have every fossil nor do we know how many fossils there are. We don’t know how many different types of plants/animals have lived during the history of life on earth.

We don’t have a good fossil record of many types of plants or animals, but what we do have fits the theory. That is why the theory is what it is - it is based on the evidence.

Peace

Tim
 
Regarding actual tests of the Explanatory Filter (EF)…

I’d like to ponder this for a liddle bit.

Dembski sez (p. 96 of Design Revolution: “Where direct, empirical corroboration is possible, design actually is present whenever specified complexity is present.”
So far all tests of the EF have been done on human design. Extending the EF to non-human design may not be valid. Quite how we would get an agreed example of non-human design presents a problem for ID.

As far as I am aware almost all tests of Dembski’s EF were done in the early days of ID. I will admit to having done a couple of examples of the EF myself: here and here. I am not aware of any recent developments of the EF to automatically process RNA or DNA sequences, to take an obvious example. It is absurdly easy to produce designed and non-designed DNA or RNA sequences for testing. There are even examples of living organisms with designed DNA sequences in them - many genetic engineering laboratories write their names in the DNA of the organisms they produce to mark them in case of dispute.

As a simple example, here are two RNA sequences, one designed and the other not:
Code:
Designed: ACUCAUAUAUCCUAGAGAAAUGCCUAAAUUUCGUGAGACCAAAGUAUCGGUAACCAGGAU
Random  : AUGUAUAAGUGGCCCUUUCCAGCUAAGAUUGCAGUGCUUAACACAACAAGAUUGAUCUUG
The ID side need to work on the EF so that we can automatically apply it to RNA sequences such as the two above.
ID therefore asserts that we can infer design any time we find SC, even when we don’t have access to the causal history.
We do not always have full access to the causal history, nevertheless we can make reasonable assumptions about it. So far ID has failed in all of its attempts to show that certain organs, or organelles, could not have evolved. We do not know who Seth’s wife was, nevertheless we can reasonably infer her existence from the genealogies in Genesis. Unless we have some very strong evidence to the contrary we can reasonably assume that Seth fathered Enosh in the usual way. ID needs similarly strong evidence to overturn the reasonable assumption that evolution produced the whole variety of life on earth from simple beginnings about 4.5 billion years ago.
So this suggests two lines of attack against ID. First, you attack the premise. Set up experiments in which something with a known causal history is only apparently designed.
Snowflakes are a good example, and one where the known causal history is of crucial importance. Without a knowledge of their causal history it is possible that snowflakes, with their high degree of symmetry, would register as designed.
Let the ID guys apply the EF to it, and, after they make their design inference, bring out the proof that it was produced only by chance and necessity.
That requires a lot of work on the ID side to refine and develop the EF. I have not seen much development of it since Dembski first proposed it some years ago. There has been more recent work from the ID side on Behe’s IC than there has been on Dembski’s EF.
Second, with respect to actual biological phenomena, you produce the causal history which shows how it was produced by purely natural processes.
Unlikely, because you are asking for more detail than is available. We may well all be descended form Adam, but none of us can produce a precise genealogy, complete with birth certificates, proving our descent from Adam.

rossum
 
Why would you even ask that? You put a percentage on what we have and you can’t do that unless you know what the ultimate total is.
The claim was that “the theory of evolution” is far from complete. But at the same time there is “no conflict” with what has been observed. This suggests that we already have all of the fossils needed to complete the puzzle. There would be no “gaps” (I asked rossum to provide examples of the gaps that make evolutionary theory “far from complete” but you could do so also).
We don’t have a good fossil record of many types of plants or animals, but what we do have fits the theory. That is why the theory is what it is - it is based on the evidence.
In other words, everything that has been observed in nature fits Darwinian theory perfectly. There would be no need to find any more fossils because we already know how all species evolved.
 
There are still things that are not known, but all of the observations that we have at this time affirm the theory. If any observations were in conflict, either the theory would have to be modified to fit the evidence or would have to be replaced with a different theory that not only explains the rogue observation but also all of the other observations that do fit the current theory.
What are the “things that are not known” with regards to evolutionary theory?

Again, it seems that you’re asserting that everything that has been observed in nature fits Darwinian theory perfectly well and there are no conflicts at all with what has been observed.

Where are the “gaps” in Darwinian theory that rossum said made the theory “far from complete”? What is the nature of the gaps, how many are there and how could they be gaps ***in the theory ***if there is no conflict with anything we’ve observed thus far?
 
The claim was that “the theory of evolution” is far from complete. But at the same time there is “no conflict” with what has been observed. This suggests that we already have all of the fossils needed to complete the puzzle.
No it does not.
There would be no “gaps” (I asked rossum to provide examples of the gaps that make evolutionary theory “far from complete” but you could do so also).
There are plenty of questions out there regarding the details of evolution that we don’t have that scientists are still working on.

Your focus on gaps is interesting. Do you have the same concerns about gaps in our understanding of gravity? Do you require that ALL possible evidence be collected and analyzed before any theory is proposed?
In other words, everything that has been observed in nature fits Darwinian theory perfectly. There would be no need to find any more fossils because we already know how all species evolved.
So far, we don’t have any evidence that doesn’t fit within the theory of evolution. We clearly know that all species evolve. The theory is about how that evolution has come about and is subject to change if we find evidence that doesn’t fit the theory. Therefore, the search continues.

Peace

Tim
 
No it does not.
What does it suggest then?
There are plenty of questions out there regarding the details of evolution that we don’t have that scientists are still working on.
What are some of the “plenty of questions” regarding the theory of evolution that we don’t have answers for?
Your focus on gaps is interesting. Do you have the same concerns about gaps in our understanding of gravity?
I can see that you don’t like the question and you’ve decided to counter-attack instead. That’s ok – I can understand why someone would not want to talk about the weaknesses, gaps, lack of knowledge, far-from-completeness, or “plenty of questions” regarding evolution. I can understand that you wouldn’t even want to mention one of the “plenty”. I’m not trying to put you on the spot. But why shouldn’t I catalogue all of the gaps in evolutionary theory?

As for the concerns about the theory of gravity – yes, that’s precisely why I asked rossum to explain how he measured the comparative certainty of the two theories.

He readily explained the gaps in gravitational theory.

I want to know what the gaps are in evolutionary theory so I could better evaluate the comparison.
So far, we don’t have any evidence that doesn’t fit within the theory of evolution.
Ok, according to you, everything we have ever observed in nature fits perfectly with Darwinian theory. There are no gaps and no conflicts with observations.
The theory is about how that evolution has come about and is subject to change if we find evidence that doesn’t fit the theory. Therefore, the search continues.
Yes, you seem to be saying that we have not found anything in nature that does not fit the theory.
 
What are the “things that are not known” with regards to evolutionary theory?
We don’t have a clear evolutionary line of hominids. We can see from the evidence that humans have evolved from an earlier form and we have some of the pieces of the puzzle, but we don’t have all the peices.
Again, it seems that you’re asserting that everything that has been observed in nature fits Darwinian theory perfectly well and there are no conflicts at all with what has been observed.
So far that is correct.
Where are the “gaps” in Darwinian theory that rossum said made the theory “far from complete”? What is the nature of the gaps, how many are there and how could they be gaps ***in the theory ***if there is no conflict with anything we’ve observed thus far?
Lack of information does not equate conflict. The nature of the gaps is, for example, fossils of every species that has ever lived. For example, it may turn out that we only have every third or so species in an evolutionary line. The fossils that we have fit in with what is predicted by the theory of evolution. The theory, with regards to that evolutionary line, is affirmed. That doesn’t mean that we will stop looking for other transitional species that may or may not exist because finding any other species in that lineage will only help give us a more complete understanding of the history of life on earth.

Peace

Tim
 
What does it suggest then?
That we don’t have all the answers.
What are some of the “plenty of questions” regarding the theory of evolution that we don’t have answers for?
Hominids.
I can see that you don’t like the question and you’ve decided to counter-attack instead. That’s ok – I can understand why someone would not want to talk about the weaknesses, gaps, lack of knowledge, far-from-completeness, or “plenty of questions” regarding evolution. I can understand that you wouldn’t even want to mention one of the “plenty”. I’m not trying to put you on the spot. But why shouldn’t I catalogue all of the gaps in evolutionary theory?
Good try, reggie. I am doing my best to avoid what you just did. I am trying to civily answer your questions. I am not counter attacking. I am not attacking at all. Please help yourself to your catalogueing of the gaps. Since we don’t know all possible gaps, you will be busy for a long time.

But you seem to equate “gaps” with “problems”. If you are, you are wrong.
Ok, according to you, everything we have ever observed in nature fits perfectly with Darwinian theory. There are no gaps and no conflicts with observations.
Really? I said there were no gaps? Hmm. I guess you have a very short memory since that is what you and I are CURRENTLY discussing.

Yes there are gaps. No there are no conflicts. Gaps don’t equal conflicts.
Yes, you seem to be saying that we have not found anything in nature that does not fit the theory.
That is correct.

Peace

Tim
 
Yes there are gaps. No there are no conflicts. Gaps don’t equal conflicts.That is correct.
You’re talking about gaps in knowledge (data) and I’m talking about gaps “in the theory”.
 
Yes there are gaps. No there are no conflicts. Gaps don’t equal conflicts.That is correct.
You’re talking about gaps in knowledge (data) and I’m talking about gaps “in the theory”.

For you, there is nothing that we ever observe in nature that does not fit perfectly with Darwinian theory. There are no anomalies, conflicts, mysteries, unexplained phenomena that Darwinian theory cannot explain.

This is different from saying that we haven’t found every fossil.

It’s saying that Darwinian theory is absolutely correct in every possible observation of nature known to man thus far.

It’s like if I have a heavy object and I drop it. 100% of the time it falls to the ground.

I have “gaps” in this experiment because I haven’t tested every heavy object on earth.

But the important thing is that there is nothing that has ever been observed in life or nature that does not perfectly fit the Darwinian model. Darwinian-materialism explains the development of all of nature. Does that include human life as well?
 
What would be some examples of “gaps” in this case? Also, why would those gaps mean that the theory of evolution is “far from complete” and has no conflicts with observations?

If we knew where the pieces of the puzzle should go, the puzzle would be done. If we don’t know where the pieces go, then the pieces conflict with our observations.
Don’t push the analogy too far. The current theory explains all the data we have so far. There are gaps because we do not have all the data available. There are some invertebrate phyla for which there is no fossil record at all so we will have to rely entirely on DNA evidence, when we get round to sequencing tham all.

If any new data requires a change in the theory then the theory will be changed to include the new data. That is the way science works. Currently there are no conflicts between the theory and our observations, but we know that there are gaps in our data.

rossum
 
You’re talking about gaps in knowledge (data) and I’m talking about gaps “in the theory”.

For you, there is nothing that we ever observe in nature that does not fit perfectly with Darwinian theory. There are no anomalies, conflicts, mysteries, unexplained phenomena that Darwinian theory cannot explain.
First off, not everything in nature is evaluated in light of evolution. Second, to my knowledge, there is no evidence that does not fit into the existing theory. Third, unexplained phenomena being explained by anything is kind of like a fossil that didn’t fossilize!😉
This is different from saying that we haven’t found every fossil.

It’s saying that Darwinian theory is absolutely correct in every possible observation of nature known to man thus far.
I am unaware of any evidence (observation) that contradicts the theory. Do you have any evidence that would contradict the theory?
It’s like if I have a heavy object and I drop it. 100% of the time it falls to the ground.

I have “gaps” in this experiment because I haven’t tested every heavy object on earth.

But the important thing is that there is nothing that has ever been observed in life or nature that does not perfectly fit the Darwinian model. Darwinian-materialism explains the development of all of nature. Does that include human life as well?
Why do you feel that you need to inject, at the end of our post, materialism into the theory?

Yes, humans evolved from another life form. I say that based on the evidence available to us. You see, all the evidence we have points to that being true. If you have evidence that contradicts the theory, I would be interested in seeing it published.

Peace

Tim
 
First off, not everything in nature is evaluated in light of evolution. Second, to my knowledge, there is no evidence that does not fit into the existing theory. Third, unexplained phenomena being explained by anything is kind of like a fossil that didn’t fossilize!😉 I am unaware of any evidence (observation) that contradicts the theory. Do you have any evidence that would contradict the theory?
You made the bold statement that there was no evidence and that there is nothing in nature that is not perfectly explained by Darwinian theory. Now you’re saying that you’re “unaware” if there are any contradictions. What kind of certainty is that? You’re a scientist and you have never seen any evidence anywhere in observations of nature that does not fit Darwinian theory perfectly. Now you’re asking me to show you something. I was looking to you for answers. It’s a yes or no. You made an incredibly strong statement of certainty, but now it appears that you don’t know for sure. Have you not studied this enough to simply support your affirmation? You just need to sign on to the statement that there is nothing in nature that is not perfectly explained by Darwinian theory. There are no anomalies, no mysteries – everything we have ever observed in nature is explainable by Darwinian theory.

Proteins with cruise control provide new perspective

The authors sought to identify the underlying cause for this self-correcting behavior in the observed protein chains. Standard evolutionary theory offered no clues.

Chakrabarti and Rabitz analyzed these observations of the proteins’ behavior from a mathematical standpoint, concluding that it would be statistically impossible for this self-correcting behavior to be random.
 
There are some invertebrate phyla for which there is no fossil record at all so we will have to rely entirely on DNA evidence, when we get round to sequencing tham all.
What’s significant is the fact that one successfully predicts the other to a very high level of precision.

How would DNA predict that transitional whales were most closely related to even-hoofed mammals, before the transitionals were even known?

That’s a huge problem for creationism.
 
Proteins with cruise control provide new perspective
The authors sought to identify the underlying cause for this self-correcting behavior in the observed protein chains. Standard evolutionary theory offered no clues.
You should know the difference between a phenomenon not yet explained by a theory, and one that contradicts a theory. This one is the former, not the latter.
Chakrabarti and Rabitz analyzed these observations of the proteins’ behavior from a mathematical standpoint, concluding that it would be statistically impossible for this self-correcting behavior to be random.
As you should know, Darwin’s great discovery was that evolution was not random. So that fits nicely into evolutionary theory.
 
You made the bold statement that there was no evidence and that there is nothing in nature that is not perfectly explained by Darwinian theory. Now you’re saying that you’re “unaware” if there are any contradictions. What kind of certainty is that?
Sigh. Here we go again. Reggie, if you have evidence that contradicts the theory, please present it. Otherwise, you are blowing smoke just as all creationists do.
You’re a scientist and you have never seen any evidence anywhere in observations of nature that does not fit Darwinian theory perfectly.
I have never seen any evidence that contradicts the theory. Have you?
Now you’re asking me to show you something. I was looking to you for answers.
No, you weren’t. You are rehashing a conversation we have had before. You are looking for a gotcha moment because you don’t have any evidence that contradicts the theory of evolution.
It’s a yes or no. You made an incredibly strong statement of certainty, but now it appears that you don’t know for sure. Have you not studied this enough to simply support your affirmation? You just need to sign on to the statement that there is nothing in nature that is not perfectly explained by Darwinian theory. There are no anomalies, no mysteries – everything we have ever observed in nature is explainable by Darwinian theory.
I know of no evidence that contradicts the theory of evolution. Is that clear enough?
Proteins with cruise control provide new perspectiveThe authors sought to identify the underlying cause for this self-correcting behavior in the observed protein chains. Standard evolutionary theory offered no clues.Chakrabarti and Rabitz analyzed these observations of the proteins’ behavior from a mathematical standpoint, concluding that it would be statistically impossible for this self-correcting behavior to be random.
Are you really going to use that article to argue against the theory of evolution? Really?

From the article:

"Chakrabarti said that one of the aims of modern evolutionary theory is to identify principles of self-organization that can accelerate the generation of complex biological structures. “Such principles are fully consistent with the principles of natural selection. Biological change is always driven by random mutation and selection, but at certain pivotal junctures in evolutionary history, such random processes can create structures capable of steering subsequent evolution toward greater sophistication and complexity.”

“The discovery answers an age-old question that has puzzled biologists since the time of Darwin: How can organisms be so exquisitely complex, if evolution is completely random, operating like a ‘blind watchmaker’?” said Chakrabarti, an associate research scholar in the Department of Chemistry at Princeton. “Our new theory extends Darwin’s model, demonstrating how organisms can subtly direct aspects of their own evolution to create order out of randomness.”

Is this the gotcha moment you are looking for, reggie?

Peace

Tim
 
Are you really going to use that article to argue against the theory of evolution? Really?
Tim – I’m very sure you didn’t understand the article.

The authors sought to identify the underlying cause for this self-correcting behavior in the observed protein chains. Standard evolutionary theory offered no clues.

You appear to believe in evolution as if it is your religion – or at least a personal ideology.

It’s obvious to me, and I’m not even a scientist, that you really took no time to evaluate what the article was really saying and you bought-into the rhetoric and smoke screens in the language.

Here are some comments I found elsewhere:

Basically the researchers are saying “We know this looks like an engineered feedback control loop. We analyzed it and found it statistically impossible to have come about through a stochastic processs. But we will strenuously object to anyone calling it evidence of design.”

From the article: The scientists do not know how the cellular machinery guiding this process may have originated

And yet, “Control Theory” is Engineering discipline, a manifestation of intelligent design by engineers. “Control Theory” isn’t random chance, it is the engineering practice of using deliberate pre-planned designed-in mechanisms to effect desired pre-determined outcomes.

Having a AA degree in instrumentation; I know that This control is no small thing: the feedback (proportional; integral; derivative) pid equation for each controller is set to many independent “finely tuned” parameters for each individual process to be controlled. Not to mention the precise setting/engineering for each sensing mechanism and the precise setting/engineering for each actuator mechanism that has to implemented into each control loop that is utilized. Seeing as many proteins have different “folding” rates I can easily see where each and every protein would have to be carefully accounted for in the design of the loops.

How in the world can they possibly claim this:

“the proteins were exhibiting behavior consistent with a system managing itself optimally under evolution.”

The system is managing itself optimally period. Control loops are set to precise UNCHANGING setpoints for a desired output that will will fall within a precise 0 to 100% range, again with no change built in. The fact that the control loops exist in fact adds countless layers of poly-functional complexity to the life system that makes it extremely more resistant to any “random evolutionary changes” of the proteins themselves. i.e. the proteins are being precisely controlled to within a specific tolerance…This Control Loop is a extremely anti-Darwinian finding to say the least.

Self-organization? We’re not talking about the inherent properties of some chemicals that produce complexity or structures under certain circumstances. We’re looking at an information-based system which has a function, with the programmed goal of tweaking information via guided self-modification to correct the damage done by mutations.
 
You appear to believe in evolution as if it is your religion – or at least a personal ideology.
If we could just get you guys to realize that science endorses evolution, not because it is a good idea, but because the (E-word) shows that it’s true, it would be a major enlightenment.
 
Tim – I’m very sure you didn’t understand the article.

The authors sought to identify the underlying cause for this self-correcting behavior in the observed protein chains. Standard evolutionary theory offered no clues.
The scientists that conducted the research disagree with you reggie. Ranting about my reading comprehension doesn’t change that fact.
You appear to believe in evolution as if it is your religion – or at least a personal ideology.
That didn’t take too long. You have done this before. I challenge you to show anyone on these fora that I have ever taken a position contrary to the Church. EVER. If you cannot, I will expect an apology for your continued attack on my faith.
It’s obvious to me, and I’m not even a scientist, that you really took no time to evaluate what the article was really saying and you bought-into the rhetoric and smoke screens in the language.
A big part of the problem, reggie, is that you are not a scientist yet you seem to think that you know more about science than scientists do. The two scientists who did this research know more about this than you do. They used language to let the rest of the scientific world know what they found (by the way, we are discussing a webpage article, not the scientists’ paper). You may think that they are trying to put up smoke screens to keep the truth from coming out, but they were very clear about their findings. You just don’t want to hear what they said. Obviously.

Peace

Tim
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top