Also to add here it seems that a few degrees difference in temperature can make a big difference.
climate.weather.com/science/global-warming/faqs/faq07.html
**An increase of a few degrees won’t simply make for pleasantly warmer temperatures around the globe. Even a modest rise of 2°- 3°F (1.1°-1.7°C) could have dramatic effects. In the last 10,000 years, the Earth’s average temperature hasn’t varied by more than 1.8°F (1.0°C). Temperatures only 5°-9°F cooler than those today prevailed at the end of the last Ice Age, in which the Northeast United States was covered by more than 3,000 feet of ice.
Scientists predict that continued global warming on the order of 2.5°-10.4°F over the next 100 years (as projected in the IPCC’s Third Assessment Report) is likely to result in:
a rise in sea level between 3.5 and 34.6 in. (9-88 cm), leading to more coastal erosion, flooding during storms, and permanent inundation
severe stress on many forests, wetlands, alpine regions, and other natural ecosystems
greater threats to human health as mosquitoes and other disease-carrying insects and rodents spread diseases over larger geographical regions
disruption of agriculture in some parts of the world due to increased temperature, water stress, and sea-level rise in low-lying areas such as Bangladesh or the Mississippi River delta. **
What good are a bunch of computer models from which the output is so unstable? Such a HUGE range of forecasts is utterly and totally worthless.
If IPCC really knew what they were doing, then they would have only ONE computer model.
The most likely scenario according to IPCC is ONE DEGREE … over the next century … ONE DEGREE PER HUNDRED YEARS. One one-hundredth of a degree per year. We cannot measure temperature that closely. [We can take a bunch of measurements and average them and come up with something, but that won’t tell us if the average temp went up … it will just tell us that our instruments aren’t very precise.
[OH! I ALMOST FORGOT. Visit the Web site that has audited the thermometer locations. The data going into the model(s) is really bad, poor quality data. So, it means that the output from the model(s) is really bad, poor quality output info.
www.surfacestations.org ]
Very important to make sure the data is absolutely the best possible data. And the data we are using is NOT good data. It’s off from 1 degree to 5 degrees and strangely, it reads HIGH.
On top of that, the IPCC task was to evaluate only man-made causes of global warming NOT ALL causes of global warming … JUST MAN-MADE causes.
So, they at IPCC are excluding the sun. And IPCC is excluding the hundred thousand or so volcanoes [the vast majority of which are under the oceans]. And IPCC is excluding all of the natural cycles … about which we know almost nothing in terms of causation.
The planet Earth has been through so many warming and cooling cycles and we really don’t know what causes any of them. But we do know that glaciers covered much of the Earth at one time. Maybe at more than one time. We do know from examining the geological record that the Earth’s magnetic field has flipped many times AND when the magnetic field goes to zero between flips that the magnetosphere no longer protects life on Earth from charged particles from outer space … from our own Sun and from cosmic rays, etc.
By the way, increased temperature results in HIGHER agricultural output, not lower agricultural output.
Any increase in sea level, if it happens at all, would be very slow and gradual … not like in the movies. Folks would have time to get out of the way … in fact they would have DECADES to get out of the way.
AND, malaria and other diseases occur in all kinds of climates. As long as there are mosquitoes, there are potential disease vectors.
Of course, if we continue to ban DDT, then we may very well have mosquito-borne diseases, but that won’t be because of the temperature.
) — What if you are wrong? What if the changes that are being proposed really have to be made? As someone who has tried to make personal choices that reflect this belief in my responsibility I certainly don’t want to be in a position to say - ‘Told you so!’ if it all goes horribly wrong… better to ‘act as if’ and I believe this is what the Church is calling us to do~