It is the attribution of tornadoes to AGW that is problematic, not that they are occurring.
“Attribution science” is improving by leaps and bounds. Ten years ago they used to say, “We cannot say if this particular hurricane was made more forceful by climate change, we can only say that climate change is making hurricanes in general more forceful, or the dice are now loaded for those types of extreme weather events” – which itself, vague as it was about specific storms, should have been plenty to get people to start reducing their GHG emissions … at least those people concerned about life on earth.
Now they can actually attribute such things as particular droughts, heat waves, and floods to AGW at 95% confidence.
Since I’m not a scientist requiring 95% confidence that this or that storm or drought or African famine was enhanced by AGW, I attribute all of the specific extreme weather events they say that on the whole are being enhanced by AGW to AGW, including Hurricane Andrew back in 1992. I started mitigating in 1990, well before they even reached 95% confidence AGW was happening, which the first studies reached in 1995. (I’d also forgo drinking tainted orange juice even if there were only a 20% chance it would kill me.)
Eventually they will be able to go back and either attribute the increased intensity of Andrew to AGW or not…maybe in 10 years.
So do y’all just want to wait it out with your heads buried in the sand before turning off lights not in use, etc.? From my perspective and the knowledge I have about what’s going on y’all are going to be proved wrong – and believe me I sincerely hope you are right and I am wrong and you can then laugh you’re heads off at me and I’ll be laughing too. It would be great!
Is it a game you’re playing, and you’ve taken your side and you’re not going to “admit defeat” no matter what, bec your “game-ego” or something is at stake? It couldn’t be money, since AGW measures overall save a great deal of money. So are you even willing to forgo the great savings from mitigating AGW just because you need to “win the game” or detest “admitting defeat”?
I really can’t figure you people out, why you would want things to continue to get worse and worse for the next 20 years – greater famines in Africa, etc – and even then claim, “Oh they’re only 98% confident AGW is real, so that means I win, bec there is 2% doubt about it and they couldn’t even attribute the storm that wiped out Podunk to AGW.”