Is Pope Francis right on climate change?

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Do you know how much Solyndra has advanced technology in solar power? It revolutionized it despite the opposition from the republicans.

npr.org/2014/11/13/363572151/after-solyndra-loss-u-s-energy-loan-program-turning-a-profit

And I already mentioned before how we need to bring clean energy such as solar power to third world countries who can’t afford to pay for fossil fuel technology. We also need to teach them about how to deliver clean water so they won’t be dying from what they drink and they have water to drink.

Chinese proverb goes like this… If you give a man a fish he eats for a day, if you teach him to fish he eats for a lifetime. We have to do something besides just giving them money, we have to get them to live in a more self-sustained way and clean energy is the way.
That’s interesting that the program is turning a profit. I’d just taken the denialists’ word for the program being a big loss without looking into it or responding…since it would be like a “my daddy’s bigger than your daddy” argument. Esp re new tech companies that often do fail.

However, one could also point out the tremendous amount spent on military tech that is a failure… Solyndra pales by comparison, and military tech is for killing people, while solar, etc is to help save lives and reduce property harms and using up of finite resources.
 
Do you know how much Solyndra has advanced technology in solar power? It revolutionized it despite the opposition from the republicans.

npr.org/2014/11/13/363572151/after-solyndra-loss-u-s-energy-loan-program-turning-a-profit

And I already mentioned before how we need to bring clean energy such as solar power to third world countries who can’t afford to pay for fossil fuel technology. We also need to teach them about how to deliver clean water so they won’t be dying from what they drink and they have water to drink.

Chinese proverb goes like this… If you give a man a fish he eats for a day, if you teach him to fish he eats for a lifetime. We have to do something besides just giving them money, we have to get them to live in a more self-sustained way and clean energy is the way.
Economically, large scale solar pv can only be practical in the highest solar insolation locations on the planet, and due to transmission and BOS costs, may not be. Solar CSP, even in the highest insolation areas may never reach “parity” with fossil fuels due to the fact that while there is some efficiency yet to be squeezed (low hanging fruit is long gone) from the collector technology, the turbine technology is very mature, and will not help on the cost/experience curve. This is not technology that the developing world can afford and grow with, and they know it.
 
That’s interesting that the program is turning a profit. I’d just taken the denialists’ word for the program being a big loss without looking into it or responding…since it would be like a “my daddy’s bigger than your daddy” argument. Esp re new tech companies that often do fail.

However, one could also point out the tremendous amount spent on military tech that is a failure… Solyndra pales by comparison, and military tech is for killing people, while solar, etc is to help save lives and reduce property harms and using up of finite resources.
There is always another side to the story, right? Take this, for example:

forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2014/11/15/the-department-of-energy-is-not-going-to-make-an-economic-profit-on-the-greentech-program/

It would appear that the DoE gets to define what success is, although a similar VC investment portfolio would not look so rosy, or claim a profit.
 
Economically, large scale solar pv can only be practical in the highest solar insolation locations on the planet, and due to transmission and BOS costs, may not be. Solar CSP, even in the highest insolation areas may never reach “parity” with fossil fuels due to the fact that while there is some efficiency yet to be squeezed (low hanging fruit is long gone) from the collector technology, the turbine technology is very mature, and will not help on the cost/experience curve. This is not technology that the developing world can afford and grow with, and they know it.
sps please, It seems like you have no faith in technology. We’ve turned a room size computer into something that can fit inside a watch. Solar technology hasn’t even really been tapped into all that much when you think about it. Solyndra and other companies have kick started the technology and look how far its come… Now we have decorative lights that so common that people are buying run on solar power. And guess what some are winter lights. . And many of these drought stricken places have LOTS of sun…
 
Actually you are on to something re conspiracy theories, but here is the real conspiracy theory (taken from another thread post of mine):

Who are these “Dominators,” you ask, who are spinning lies that AGW is a hoax and mitigating it will harm not help people? Just see how utterly effective they are in “Climate of Doubt” at pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/climate-of-doubt/
I watched your pbs climate of doubt show. Regarding conspiracies, tis fair to say people are conspiring on both sides. I was not surprised but still dismayed that PBS whitewashed Climategate. The emails contained proof that Jones, Mann et all conspired to violate FOIA laws and tamper with journals. Beyond doubt. But do such facts perturb your confidence and trust in Jones et al in the least bit? If not, why not?

cordially,

ferd
 
AGW is a myth and it is not binding on any Catholic to believe that exhaling will cause all of us to die and the earth along with us. Plants love CO2,maybe we should plant more trees!
Trees wont grow unless they have water, nutrients and sun and not concentrated in only some parts of the world but in the parts that need it. I’m glad I believe in AGW because I’m inline with what my Pope believes… I believe he’s right on the money and I hope he keeps on fighting the good fights for the poor in the world.
 
sps please, It seems like you have no faith in technology. We’ve turned a room size computer into something that can fit inside a watch. Solar technology hasn’t even really been tapped into all that much when you think about it. Solyndra and other companies have kick started the technology and look how far its come… Now we have decorative lights that so common that people are buying run on solar power. And guess what some are winter lights. . And many of these drought stricken places have LOTS of sun…
I have as much faith in technology as I need to, and is prudent. I learned never to treat it with contempt, and to always respect it.

No offense, but you are confusing technology, which consumes energy, with a primary energy source. Solar, wind, hydro are all energy harvesting technologies, not energy itself. An energy source that powers a country, supplies energy for heavy and light industry and it’s population must be economical. The reason that solar is not economical, except in the narrowest sense, and in the highest insolation areas on earth, are sound. I invite you to provide an alternate explanation that favors your view.
 
FYI: to all enthusiasts for the carbon dioxide theory of climate change.

Use of the word “denialist” does not promote rational conversation and is unchristian to boot. For my part I will try and abstain from using similarly defamatory terms.
 
I have as much faith in technology as I need to, and is prudent. I learned never to treat it with contempt, and to always respect it.

No offense, but you are confusing technology, which consumes energy, with a primary energy source. Solar, wind, hydro are all energy harvesting technologies, not energy itself. An energy source that powers a country, supplies energy for heavy and light industry and it’s population must be economical. The reason that solar is not economical, except in the narrowest sense, and in the highest insolation areas on earth, are sound. I invite you to provide an alternate explanation that favors your view.
Okay I’m thinking of our town. We pay much less for our electricity than the neighboring townships because we buy our own electricity and 20 percent of our electricity comes from wind power. Now what I’m hearing is that alternative energy costs are cheaper than fossil fuels.

irena.org/News/Description.aspx?NType=A&mnu=cat&PriMenuID=16&CatID=84&News_ID=386

nytimes.com/2014/11/24/business/energy-environment/solar-and-wind-energy-start-to-win-on-price-vs-conventional-fuels.html

As with everything, when something is new it cost more and as it gets more in common use it becomes cheaper and more common place. Fossil fuels are bad, They’re costly, bad for the environment, they’re bad for peoples health, they’re going to run out, they cause wars, so who wants to be reliant on them? We have to think smarter and wiser about our energy.
 
Okay I’m thinking of our town. We pay much less for our electricity than the neighboring townships because we buy our own electricity and 20 percent of our electricity comes from wind power. Now what I’m hearing is that alternative energy costs are cheaper than fossil fuels.

irena.org/News/Description.aspx?NType=A&mnu=cat&PriMenuID=16&CatID=84&News_ID=386

nytimes.com/2014/11/24/business/energy-environment/solar-and-wind-energy-start-to-win-on-price-vs-conventional-fuels.html

As with everything, when something is new it cost more and as it gets more in common use it becomes cheaper and more common place. Fossil fuels are bad, They’re costly, bad for the environment, they’re bad for peoples health, they’re going to run out, they cause wars, so who wants to be reliant on them? We have to think smarter and wiser about our energy.
Fossil fuels are good They have lifted billions out if poverty The invention of the internal combustion engine has been the greates boon to Nanking in history
 
The article is utter nonsense Thet defaulted on 535 million they got from the taxpayers went bankrupt and now the Left wants us to believe the turned a profit???!!
The Left? Is this about politics? I thought we were talking about the Pope and AGM?

It’s business. The Government lent money to Solyndra and other companies which kickstarted investments into alternative energy and that’s grown exponentially as the wave of the future… Bob, I think I’d invest in alternate energy if I were you…😉

So what you in fact are saying is that you are driven by party politics rather than what the scientists are saying… Am I right?

I don’t believe the Pope is driven by politics… I believe he’s driven by Jesus Christ and the truth…
 
Fossil fuels are good They have lifted billions out if poverty The invention of the internal combustion engine has been the greates boon to Nanking in history
Fossil fuels are killing people in poverty… That’s not good…😦
 
Do you use AC? Heat your home in the winter? How are your groceries delivered to the supermarket? What powers your computer?
Well Bob, partly nuke plants, part wind… but that’s now, when we get smart about energy my energy will be clean not dirty. That’s why so many are investing in our future, we need to clean up our world …Theres a few engineers in my family working on it right now. What have you done to go in that direction?
 
Well Bob, partly nuke plants, part wind… but that’s now, when we get smart about energy my energy will be clean not dirty. That’s why so many are investing in our future, we need to clean up our world …Theres a few engineers in my family working on it right now.
There is more than enough fossil fuel to keep us going.
 
Okay I’m thinking of our town. We pay much less for our electricity than the neighboring townships because we buy our own electricity and 20 percent of our electricity comes from wind power. Now what I’m hearing is that alternative energy costs are cheaper than fossil fuels.

irena.org/News/Description.aspx?NType=A&mnu=cat&PriMenuID=16&CatID=84&News_ID=386

nytimes.com/2014/11/24/business/energy-environment/solar-and-wind-energy-start-to-win-on-price-vs-conventional-fuels.html

As with everything, when something is new it cost more and as it gets more in common use it becomes cheaper and more common place. Fossil fuels are bad, They’re costly, bad for the environment, they’re bad for peoples health, they’re going to run out, they cause wars, so who wants to be reliant on them? We have to think smarter and wiser about our energy.
What you are attempting to describe are two different concepts. One is economies of scale, and the other is a cost/learning curve. Solar pv does not benefit much from eos because the silicon costs the same no matter the amount, Chinese pv dumping not withstanding. The cost learning curve is usually expressed in a price reduction per doubling of production. The world wide cumulative pv capacity is something over 180,000 MWe, which took over 15 years to get to. To get a price reduction, production capacity would have to go to over 360,000MWe, so as you can see,we are already well into the fat tailed curve, and further reductions are going to be small.

The IRENA report does not lend itself to comparative analysis very well, but if you look at the spread of cost per kW and assuming standard capacity factors, the total costs in $/MW-h is lower than the EIA report:

eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/electricity_generation.cfm

You may quibble over which report you prefer, but if you split the difference, the LCOE for solar pv and csp is still higher than that of conventional coal. You could speculate that the price of fossil fuel will rise due to scarcity, market distortions due to FITs or subsidies, but that would be nothing more than an accounting gimmick. At some point in that game, one realizes that you still need fossil fuel to manufacture pv, csp and wind. The money graph shown in the IRENA report is on page 95, and shows the effects on electricity pricing due to energiewende policies distorting market pricing.

The other thing that must be considered is location. It is likely that solar pv may be achievable at LCOE’s comparable with coal, but only at high insolation regions. You may not like fossil fuels, but other than nuclear, they are really the best source of energy if your society is interested in manufacturing, general industry, and civil services.

Lastly, the IRENA report glosses over BOS costs, and admits that this is a problem this will affect all pv/csp installations in the future. This is due to the fact that BOS components are mature, and resist downward price pressures due to their position the the cost/experience curve. One must always keep in mind that there is no free lunch out there.
 
I watched your pbs climate of doubt show. Regarding conspiracies, tis fair to say people are conspiring on both sides. I was not surprised but still dismayed that PBS whitewashed Climategate. The emails contained proof that Jones, Mann et all conspired to violate FOIA laws and tamper with journals. Beyond doubt. But do such facts perturb your confidence and trust in Jones et al in the least bit? If not, why not?

cordially,

ferd
You have NO IDEA of which you are speaking re “climategate.” “Hide the decline” was about the decline in the tree ring proxy data (which denialists hate so much anyway) – for which I think I might have an answer* – which did not jive with the more accurate instrumental data, which showed an increase in temps. The “trick” referred to the method used to splice those two data sets (proxy and instrumental) together – not at all to some trick to deceive the public, for heaven’s sake.

You people are totally clueless re the evil deceit of the oil-funded denialist industry.

The Bible says to be as shrewd as serpents and as gentle as doves, NOT as clueless as babes in the woods and as rough as vultures.

The way I look at things is if scientists are telling me everything is fine and dandy, I have suspicions and look at their funding source, etc. (There are some industry scientists who even falsify their science to the point of getting sent to prison).

If scientists tell me things are bad, I take them more seriously and do some investigation myself – not “blog science,” but in scientific journals, and even contact the scientists myself… Which is what I did when I first got into AGW more seriously in 1989 (I had some vague knowledge of it since the 60s).

*In my research re crop harm from AGW I found out that the minimum diurnal or night temps were warming faster than the maximum diurnal or day temps (sort of a nighttime “blanket effect” of hot, humid nights), which was having a negative impact on crops, while the increasing day temps were at this point still having a positive impact (the countervailing effects cancelling each other out).

This is unlike earlier heat spells not under the GH effect in which the cooler night temps allow plants to rest or recuperate from the high day temps, not having a negative effect. So it is possible that the tree ring proxies in recent decades were affected by this blanket effect and failed to be good proxies the last few decades of the 20th century.

I did contact some scientists, including Mike Mann, about this but they didn’t really know why tree rings started failing to be good proxies in recent decades, but were interested in the research I had dug up.

See: Welch, J., J. R. Vincent, M. Auffhammer, P. F. Moya, A. Dobermann, and D. Dawe. 2010. “Rice Yields in Tropical/Subtropical Asia Exhibit Large but Opposing Sensitivities to Minimum and Maximum Temperatures.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107(33): 14562-14567. pnas.org/content/107/33/14562.full.pdf
 
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