I've been thinking.... abortion isn't the problem

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I think your’e blowin’ smoke.

Yes you did mean to insult Bob and I. And the proof is you kept doing it after you were called.

Insults are no substitute for rational debate. You have lost the debate through your ungentlemanly behavior.

End of story.
I don’t need to insult you or Bob. The truth has been far more effective. Sorry to put you through it, but it was your choice.

Perhaps you can tell us how your limited exprience with self-selected sample sets translates to the 1.2 million women who abort each year?

Ain’t this a great country!
 
I criticize misleading people. What do you think?
Actually, he misleads by his criticism.

EstesBob rightly points out that many women who have abortions do so under coersion – from parents, boy friends and so on.

Greenjeans then pretends this is a matter of statistics – and that Bob is somehow “misleading” people by presenting his own experience.

Greenjeans then goes on to make nasty remarks like:
By shameful I mean the intentional transmission of bogus information. When you and Bob do that it is shameful.
 
I don’t need to insult you or Bob. The truth has been far more effective. Sorry to put you through it, but it was your choice.
What truth? You have been challenged again and again to present your data – and you have ducked, dodged and played peek-a-boo.
Perhaps you can tell us how your limited exprience with self-selected sample sets translates to the 1.2 million women who abort each year?
First of all, a few cases is enough to make Bob’s point – it’s your pretense that this is an exercise in statistics.

Secondly, insults don’t equal rational debate.

You’ve conceded the debate through your ungentlemanly behavior.
 
Actually, he misleads by his criticism.

EstesBob rightly points out that many women who have abortions do so under coersion – from parents, boy friends and so on.

Greenjeans then pretends this is a matter of statistics – and that Bob is somehow “misleading” people by presenting his own experience.

Greenjeans then goes on to make nasty remarks like:
Actually, Bob contends his experience with a limited sample set translates to all 1.2 million women who abort each year. That is the issue. I dispute that and showed why.

Presenting his own experience as his own experience is quite valid. Presenting it as representative of 1.2 million women is statistically invald.

It is shameful for you to mislead people. It does not indicate a leader. Step back.
 
What truth? You have been challenged again and again to present your data – and you have ducked, dodged and played peek-a-boo.

First of all, a few cases is enough to make Bob’s point – it’s your pretense that this is an exercise in statistics.

Secondly, insults don’t equal rational debate.

You’ve conceded the debate through your ungentlemanly behavior.
The truth is that self-selected sample sets of women in counseling do not translate to 1.2 million women. That’s simple and true.

A few cases is certinly not sufficient to draw any conclusion about 1.2 million women.

I agree insults do not make an argument. Hence, I have presented the flaws in your notion that characteristics of self-selected sample sets translate to1.2 million women.

You keep claiming victory. A winner doesn’t have to do that.
 
The truth is that self-selected sample sets of women in counseling do not translate to 1.2 million women. That’s simple and true.

A few cases is certinly not sufficient to draw any conclusion about 1.2 million women.

I agree insults do not make an argument. Hence, I have presented the flaws in your notion that characteristics of self-selected sample sets translate to1.2 million women.

You keep claiming victory. A winner doesn’t have to do that.
What are some of the ways we could select a sample that would be representative of the 1.2 million who abort (I think they call it a randomized sample)? There are enormous pressures on some women who abort and there are also those who act like they really couldn’t care less. Statistically how could we find a way to determine the proportion of of the whole that each group comprises?
 
Actually, Bob contends his experience with a limited sample set translates to all 1.2 million women who abort each year. That is the issue. I dispute that and showed why.

Presenting his own experience as his own experience is quite valid. Presenting it as representative of 1.2 million women is statistically invald.

It is shameful for you to mislead people. It does not indicate a leader. Step back.
What’s with all this about self-selected sample-set? Did Bob claim to be a statistician with a sample-set? And where did he “contend” that his experience with women who have had abortions are representative of 1.2 million? He was asking a question to provoke reasonable doubt as to whether that amount of women,given women’s maternal instinct,would have an abortion on their own.That’s more like a hint than a contention. In any case,he would be justified to make such a contention,based on his over quarter-century’s experience and on observational reasoning. Even if statistical evidence appeared which contradicted what Bob believes,he would have justifiable reason to doubt it,because someone else’s statistics cannot overrule one’s own accumulated experience and personal observation on an issue like this.
 
Even if statistical evidence appeared which contradicted what Bob believes,he would have justifiable reason to doubt it,because someone else’s statistics cannot overrule one’s own accumulated experience and personal observation on an issue like this.
Amazing, so on the topic of abortion we simply chuck statistics out the window? Why does it have to be “someone else’s statistics”; can’t we do our own? Everything today comes down to studies and numbers; if we want to be taken seriously on any issue, we shouldn’t avoid statistics, we should use it to prove our points.
 
And in any case, the crucial point is that an unborn child is killed in an abortion. A nation that does this over and over, millions of times, is not truly worthy of being called civilized. It was legal but barbaric to have chattal slavery, and it is legal but barbaric to have abortion. There are frequent cases of slavery uncovered in this society, but many fewer than in, say 1860. If it was illegal to DO abortions, there would be many, many fewer to HAVE abortions. The effort is to help the mother and prevent some money grubbing abortionist from making money on someone else’s crisis by killing her child.
 
Amazing, so on the topic of abortion we simply chuck statistics out the window? Why does it have to be “someone else’s statistics”; can’t we do our own? Everything today comes down to studies and numbers; if we want to be taken seriously on any issue, we shouldn’t avoid statistics, we should use it to prove our points.
What’s so amazing about the idea that statistical thinking shouldn’t overrule reason based on observation and experience on this issue? Statistics are like a crutch,or a prop,or a sorry replacement for real thought. If we were discussing natural phenomena,or physics, then statistics might be more useful and reliable. But this issue involves human feelings,human morality,the killing of human life.
Everything today should not come down to studies and numbers – that just leads to more inhumanity. And who should we concern ourselves with being taken seriously by? the statisticians and those who are more impressed with numerical data than with moral reasoning? People with well-functioning moral consciences don’t need to make themselves appear “credible” in that sense; rather,they need to awaken the moral consciences of others.
 
What are some of the ways we could select a sample that would be representative of the 1.2 million who abort (I think they call it a randomized sample)? There are enormous pressures on some women who abort and there are also those who act like they really couldn’t care less. Statistically how could we find a way to determine the proportion of of the whole that each group comprises?
It will not be from verbal responses given during a time of crisis, maybe a follow up contact 2 years later?

There is something to what Green Jeans is saying, it would be easy to find 60 women who support these activities, even 60 who support after participation however the key word is “find”. Frankly I place skepticism on all the Q&A statistics from the abortion/plan parenting survey. My guess is many women who have participated would not participate in any activity other than denial.
 
It will not be from verbal responses given during a time of crisis, maybe a follow up contact 2 years later?

There is something to what Green Jeans is saying, it would be easy to find 60 women who support these activities, even 60 who support after participation however the key word is “find”. Frankly I place skepticism on all the Q&A statistics from the abortion/plan parenting survey. My guess is many women who have participated would not participate in any activity other than denial.
So the problem would be with getting a sample that’s truly representative of the whole, not anything intrinsically wrong with the application of statistics to the study of the abortion issue.

My own feeling is that the emotional response to abortion is a valid and human reaction, but to be effective in any intelligent debate we can’t just throw science out of the window. We have to understand it and use it.

Just as it’s wrong to divorce science from morality, it’s counterproductive to divorce morality from scientific fact and rational thought.
 
So the problem would be with getting a sample that’s truly representative of the whole, not anything intrinsically wrong with the application of statistics to the study of the abortion issue.

My own feeling is that the emotional response to abortion is a valid and human reaction, but to be effective in any intelligent debate we can’t just throw science out of the window. We have to understand it and use it.

Just as it’s wrong to divorce science from morality, it’s counterproductive to divorce morality from scientific fact and rational thought.
What’s wrong is in this discussion to pretend that because Estesbob has stated that many women are forced to have abortions – and backed it up with his experience from working for many years with women seeking abortions – that somehow because he didn’t do a deep study, his comments are “bogus.”

That was an insulting accusation that added nothing to the debate, and served only as a red herring.
 
What’s wrong is in this discussion to pretend that because Estesbob has stated that many women are forced to have abortions – and backed it up with his experience from working for many years with women seeking abortions – that somehow because he didn’t do a deep study, his comments are “bogus.”

That was an insulting accusation that added nothing to the debate, and served only as a red herring.
Insults (intended or unintended) aside, the fact is most of the women Estebob would have met are likely (I say likely because I have no way of knowing for sure) to have been people who were not at peace about having had an abortion. We have no way of knowing what proportion of the people whom he didn’t meet, had no such regrets or qualms of conscience.

So over 25 years, lets assume he met 1000 women, out of whom 700 reported having been forced into abortion. Assuming there were, for argument’s sake, 10,000 abortions in his geographical area during that same 25 years, we really can’t estimate how many of the 9000 women he didn’t meet were forced.

Could we just apply the ratio of 700/1000 to the 10,000 total? No, because what set that 1000 women apart is that they sought counselling, therefore they are not a sample representative of the whole. (I’m trying to keep it simple here, but of course other women could have sought counselling elsewhere).

If there was a way to randomly sample the 10,000 then we could draw meaningful conclusions about all the women seeking abortion in a particular geographical area. As it is we can only talk about the 1000 women that he saw, not generalize about the whole 10,000.

It could be that there were many more women who had been forced who did not seek counselling from Estebob. It could be that those 700 were the only ones who were forced. We can’t know more accurately unless we ask a large, representative sample (assuming we could get honest answers from them).
 
Insults (intended or unintended) aside, the fact is most of the women Estebob would have met are likely (I say likely because I have no way of knowing for sure) to have been people who were not at peace about having had an abortion. We have no way of knowing what proportion of the people whom he didn’t meet, had no such regrets or qualms of conscience.
None of which is germane to the issue – which is that many women are coerced into having abortions.

Bob knows personally of many cases. I have not had as much time, nor am I in such a heavily-populated area as Bob, but I have encountered a significant proportion of those I have helped. Other crisis pregnancy centers I have visited report the same thing.

This reminds me of Brigadier “Boy” Browning – when shown ariel photographs of German armored vehicles in the drop area for the Arnheim bridge, he discounted them – because they only amounted to three photographs out of thousands taken.

Guess what happened to the British and Polish paratroops who dropped into that area?
 
None of which is germane to the issue – which is that many women are coerced into having abortions.

Bob knows personally of many cases. I have not had as much time, nor am I in such a heavily-populated area as Bob, but I have encountered a significant proportion of those I have helped. Other crisis pregnancy centers I have visited report the same thing.

This reminds me of Brigadier “Boy” Browning – when shown ariel photographs of German armored vehicles in the drop area for the Arnheim bridge, he discounted them – because they only amounted to three photographs out of thousands taken.

Guess what happened to the British and Polish paratroops who dropped into that area?
It is germane, because generalizations were being made which we cannot show are valid (although they very well may be).
In all my years of counseling women contemplating abortion or who had had an abortion less than a half dozen made thedecision on their own. Enormous pressure is put on them by their boyfriends/classmates/parents/parents of the father of the cjild/ect
That is why I always find the idea of “choice” so ludricous. Given a Womans natural maternal isntinc do your really think 1.2 million women a year would choose to kill their child on their own?
If these assumptions are wrong and the rest of those 1.2 million really have no problem suppressing their “maternal instinct”, then our strategy may end up being wrong.

What’s so wrong in taking a scientific approach? The people who need to be convinced have been fed bad science in many cases and this needs to be counteracted by good science. Why should we be afraid to do that?
 
It is germane, because generalizations were being made which we cannot show are valid (although they very well may be).
No, it’s a red herring. It has no bearing on the truth of what Bob said.
If these assumptions are wrong
They are not “assumptions,” they are observations.
and the rest of those 1.2 million really have no problem suppressing their “maternal instinct”, then our strategy may end up being wrong.
“Our” strategy?

You are working to end abortion?
What’s so wrong in taking a scientific approach? The people who need to be convinced have been fed bad science in many cases and this needs to be counteracted by good science. Why should we be afraid to do that?
You aren’t taking “a scientific approach.” You’re using a red herring to attack someone who has worked long and hard to prevent abortion.

Now, if you want to take a scientific approach – go and do a study!!
 
Abortion is the problem.

People are always going to objectify other people to some extent. Businesses will always try to exploit workers for a bit more profit. Men will always see women as a way of getting sexual pleasure - at least, as a brief initial thought. It’s not easy or even possible to always see other people the way God sees them.

People are never going to give life the full respect it deserves. How can we possibly comprehend how great something like life is? People are always going to be tempted to ignore the sanctity of life for half a second when it is convenient.

We can’t make everyone perfect.

But that being said - even those who objectify people, sometimes, can still learn that it is wrong to kill an innocent child. We can learn to treat objects with respect, like we wouldn’t sabotage a machine, just as basic belief that it is wrong (we don’t have to stop and think every time, “right, this is someone else’s property, so I should respect it”). Similarly we can just naturally treat people with a basic level of respect for their rights (like right to life) without fully realising that they are real human beings and our equals. Hopefully such realisation will come at a later time. But for now, acknowledging their right to life will do.

Even those who can’t fully comprehend the sanctity of life can still learn that it is wrong to kill an innocent child. Non believers who come to a Catholic Mass still know not to disrupt it. Atheists still support free speech even though they don’t see it as a gift from God to mankind. People who don’t think that life is that special, still don’t just go around euthanising their unhappy friends (Arsenic and Old Lace is a fictional exception). Given this, people can not believe in sanctity of life yet still be against abortion.

Heck, even some people who would like to kill someone still wouldn’t do so - just because it’s against the law.

So you can see, we don’t need crazy feats of heart changing. That’s not really the problem. For now, we can let people go on objectifying others and not seeing the value of each and every human life (after all, that’s gonna happen whether we like it or not) - as long as they can still understand that abortion is wrong. As long as they still won’t kill people.

I don’t care that much if someone says that they think all human life is a waste of carbon and that other humans don’t have the right to be treated as his equals, as long as he doesn’t act upon these beliefs in any particularly harmful way. And even if the only thing stopping them from acting upon such ideas is that there is a law against it (eg, a law against abortion), that will do. We will have fixed the main problem which is that innocent people are being killed.
 
It is germane, because generalizations were being made which we cannot show are valid (although they very well may be).

If these assumptions are wrong and the rest of those 1.2 million really have no problem suppressing their “maternal instinct”, then our strategy may end up being wrong.

What’s so wrong in taking a scientific approach? The people who need to be convinced have been fed bad science in many cases and this needs to be counteracted by good science. Why should we be afraid to do that?
Bob didn’t make a generalization or a contention,he asked a question expressing reasonable doubt,based on observation and experience. What’s wrong with the scientific approach is that this is a human and moral issue. How is anyone going to be convinced
that abortion is wrong by science or numerical data? People need to have a functioning moral conscience for that. Statistics involving human opinions and feelings and values is itself bad science.
 
Abortion can never be stopped. It’s been going on for thousands of years.

Heck, there are even herbal abortificients.

The question is: whether or not abortion is legal and as a result, whether the government can finance it.

Having legalized, government-funded abortion AND an economy based on population growth is just plain crazy.
 
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