T
timotheos
Guest
The more I look into this, the less convinced I am that these proposed programs have been adequately researched.
I have not found original reports of the clinical trials re: efficacy of this vaccine, but there is some abstracted infomation out there. It appears that some of the trials are based on followup of around 2 years, and statistical power of the results are partly based on the new HPV infection rates in the placebo arm.
The rate of new infections in the placebo arm appear to run around 0.6 to 1.5%. That’s infections, not cancers.
Even if left undetected, very few of these infections would lead to cancer. However, detection by pap allows for treatment of infections, and nearly eliminating cancer risk.
The cost of preventing 1-2 infections per 100 young women over 2 years is about $360 per vaccine series x 100 = $36,000. (BTW, this benefit may not be long-lasting; the anti-HPV antibodies in response to the vaccine drop significantly by 3 years. It is not clear if the preventative effect drops as well, but periodic boosters may be necessary.)
Cost of vaccinating 98-99 young women who apparently wouldn’t have gotten an HPV infection anyway = $35,280 - $35,640.
Texas must have money to burn.
I have not found original reports of the clinical trials re: efficacy of this vaccine, but there is some abstracted infomation out there. It appears that some of the trials are based on followup of around 2 years, and statistical power of the results are partly based on the new HPV infection rates in the placebo arm.
The rate of new infections in the placebo arm appear to run around 0.6 to 1.5%. That’s infections, not cancers.
Even if left undetected, very few of these infections would lead to cancer. However, detection by pap allows for treatment of infections, and nearly eliminating cancer risk.
The cost of preventing 1-2 infections per 100 young women over 2 years is about $360 per vaccine series x 100 = $36,000. (BTW, this benefit may not be long-lasting; the anti-HPV antibodies in response to the vaccine drop significantly by 3 years. It is not clear if the preventative effect drops as well, but periodic boosters may be necessary.)
Cost of vaccinating 98-99 young women who apparently wouldn’t have gotten an HPV infection anyway = $35,280 - $35,640.
Texas must have money to burn.
