Oops, how inconvenient … posted today … another convert from warmism:
[this is on
www.climatechangedebate.org … but you need to sign in and use your real name]
A public confession from Mike Haseler … [had to cut and spread over more than one post to fit to maximum size.]
He mentions Jesus, by the way …
The Global Warming Scam
How a former believer in AGW realized his error.
Global Temperatures & CO2
The Failure of the Theory of Manmade Global Warming
February’s Update news: According to revised official Met office1 figures,
January 2008 was still the coldest month globally in 14 years2. At only
0.056°C higher than the nominal reference3 We must look back to February
1994 to find a colder month. Global temperatures peaked in February 1998 at
0.75°C and with February coming in at 0.194°C there is a definite and
accelerating cooling trend of -0.1°C/decade.
By the Met Office’s own statistics it is highly unlikely that the forecasts
could be consistently too high by chance and therefore this is clear proof
of a consistent error in the forecasting model. That is to say, the cooling
temperature clearly contradicts the theory of manmade global warming,
because although CO2 levels continue to rise, global temperatures have
cooled.
Year Temp**
(°C) Met Office Predicted Confidence Temp Higher
2000 0.238 >0.33 >80%
2001 0.400 >0.42 >75%
2002 0.455 >0.47 >50%
2003 0.457 >0.50 >75%
2004 0.432 >0.47 >75%
2005 0.479 >0.48 >75%
2006 0.422 >0.45 >50%
2007 0.402 >0.49 >75%
Met Office predictions consistently high
1 For Official Met Office monthly data click the graph
2 Initially reported as 0.037°C
3 relative to the average temperature for the period 1960-91
4 Monty Python and the Holy Grail
Now stand aside, worthy adversary4
There was a time (around the turn of the millennium) that I thought anyone
who didn’t believe in Global warming was a deluded, oil-industry paid
Charlie-ton! And, I had a point, because at that time the evidence was
clearly showing a rise in temperature in the latter half of the 20th century
and there were some people who simply would not admit that temperatures had
risen and that there was reason to be concerned. But then again, there was a
time when we all thought the world was going to end at midnight 31st
December 1999, because what the experts told us was the “an impending
disaster” known as the millennium bug. Strangely, the millennium bug never
happened, and we all seem to have forgotten how close we were to the end of
western civilisation!
Looking back now, it wasn’t just the “deniers” as the global warming brigade
call them who were deluded, it was sensible, scientifically trained people
like me who were wrong. My excuse? In life, even if you are a trained
scientist, you simply cannot check every detail yourself and you have to
judge arguments based on the authority and credibility of people presenting
those arguments. Even someone trained in the most rigorous science (physics)
like me has to rely on others and unfortunately, sometime we misjudge
people.
My “tipping point”?
It happened when I tried to engage a group of these “climate experts” in a
simple discussion. Working in the wind industry, I had met numerous of these
so called experts at conferences and whilst some of what they said seemed a
little over the top, the simple fact that temperatures had risen seemed to
suggest there was a lot of truth in what they were saying. Moreover, I saw
these people as “lovable underdogs” in a way seeing them as those
eco-warriors “fighting the capitalist tyranny of the oil companies”. When
you see the “pro-warming” group as the honest underdog, and the anti-warming
as being in the pay of the oil-lobbyists you tend to listen to those you
think are “honest”. Then through my interest in energy matters, I read that
there wasn’t enough oil and gas to cause global warming and try as I might I
couldn’t find any mention of this by the “pro-warming lobby”, so I wanted to
see how this fitted in with their calculations. It seemed an innocent
question and fairly obvious that if CO2 causes temperature increase, and the
amount of manmade CO2 is limited by the amount of fossil fuel, then there
must be a physical limit to the amount of warming that is possible, and I
simply wanted to know what the worst case scenario was if all the accessible
fossil fuel was burnt.