Republican Primary

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Man, when the tax returns come in I think I’m going to put up the donation money to get me a sweater vest.
  • Marty Lund
I am trying to not wake my wife from my laughter!!!
My wife bought me a sweater vest for Christmas.
I have refused to wear it. She is really mad.
She even pointed out last week that Santorum wears one.
I am going to wear it Sunday in honor of Santorum, and your post.

I will not tell her why!
Major brownie points.
 
Whew Rick Santorum Wins Colorado!!!

(yes… I had to watch CNN to learn this first apparently…)
Were you watching CNN when they talked about Huckabee winning some states 4 yrs ago after McCain basically wrapped up the nomination in FL that yr?
 
Facing a sweep, humbled Romney congratulates Santorum - LA Times

Santorum’s trifecta raises new doubts about Romney

“Yes, Colorado and Minnesota were caucus states — the turnout is skewed in such contests toward a more conservative electorate. Yes, Missouri’s primary was a “beauty contest” and didn’t award any delegates. But what Romney won’t be able to explain away is just how much more poorly he did tonight in those three states than in his 2008 showing — when he lost the GOP nomination for president.” - John Fund
Code:
Mr. Romney is not a strong enough candidate that he can afford more nights as bad as Tuesday -[ Nate Silver](http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/08/g-o-p-race-has-hallmarks-of-prolonged-battle/)

 "The mountain west was supposed to be a stronghold for Romney and given his money and organizational advantages, he should have coasted to victory. If he can lose in Colorado, he's theoretically beatable anywhere." - [Washington Examiner](http://campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com/blogs/beltway-confidential/scattered-thoughts-romneys-terrible-tuesday/364231)
“From Missouri to Minnesota to Colorado the Republican electorate sent a very clear signal — they want conviction over electability. They do not like Mitt Romney. They see Santorum as authentic. They see Mitt Romney as a fraud. Rick Santorum swept the races. Romney, the front runner, got crushed by conservatives.” - RedState
Code:
"Mitt Romney lost. He lost to a guy who lost his home state by 18 points the last time he was on the ballot there. There's a technical term in political consulting for a performance like that: it's called sucking. If Romney can't beat Rick Santorum, he needs to find another party to run in." - Paul Begala at the [Daily Beast](http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/02/07/paul-begala-santorum-spanks-romney-in-midwestern-primaries.html)
…but NPR still bets on Romney: “Romney has the money and organization to play it big in the lead up to Super Tuesday — it’s hard not to think that it will change the momentum of the Republican presidential primary race.”

Santorum should get ready for a wave of negative ads from Romney - Weekly Standard

Jonathan Tobin warns Romney against going negative (again): “The spectacle of the frontrunner trying to demolish the character of another conservative rival may not go down well with the GOP grass roots, especially since Santorum has avoided the sort of class warfare and personal attacks that Gingrich launched at Romney.”

Byron York says Santorum has re-emerged because of Romney/Gingrich mudslinging: “I think this started in Florida, when Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich went at each other with such personal attacks,” says Chuck Laudner, a longtime ally of Rick Santorum, calling late on election night from Minneapolis. “They weren’t really on the issues. It was investments and name calling, and I think it turned people off. People here looked at that and said there’s got to be an alternative.”

“Of the eight nominating contests so far, Mr. Santorum has now won four, while Mr. Romney has won three and Newt Gingrich one—a tally that seemed unlikely on a few days ago.” - WSJ | New York Times

**Gingrich and Santorum should co-operate before Super Tuesday and then once they’ve proved the “anti-Romney” candidate can win they should showdown against each other **- Robert Stacey McCain for the Weekly Standard
Code:
Santorum needs Gingrich to drop out - [Ross Douthat](http://douthat.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/06/santorums-turn/)
Colorado turnout turndown sends flashing alert about voter enthusiasm - WSJ

Gingrich focuses on Ohio - New York Times

“The Republican presidential contest dips into a lull now. The candidates will not have a chance to rekindle their supporters’ enthusiasm until a debate in Arizona on Feb. 22, and the next voting will not be until Feb. 28, when Arizona and Michigan hold primaries.” - New York Times

Average national ratings: Romney 34.5%, Gingrich 23%, Santorum 17.5%, Paul 14.3% - RCP
 
President Obama’s approval numbers are still “underwater” but he’s closer to the surface than last year and closer to being re-elected - Charlie Cook for National Journal
Code:
Barack Obama’s decision to embrace his super PAC is only the latest example of the president setting his ideals aside and resigning himself to pragmatic political realities - [Roll Call](http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_92/Obama-Gives-In-to-Pragmatism-212203-1.html?pos=hftxt)
Obama runs roughshod over religious freedom - Kathleen Parker for the Washington Post

The foreign policy team briefing Romney - RCP

A new book, “Coming Apart,” by Charles Murray, says that a retreat from marriage among the working class is a key factor in the growing economic divide in America - Fox
Code:
 Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum decried court decision striking down California's ban on same-sex marriage as an example of judicial activism that highlights the need for a Republican in the White House - [USA Today
](GOP hopefuls slam court ruling on gay marriage)

“The lack of common ground between left and right on abortion, same-sex marriage and contraception shows just how seriously we take these issues” - Ross Douthat
 
Santorum really kicked butt! Where does this put the delegate count?
My understanding is that none of the 3 contests immediately awards delegates. Missouri is a “beauty pageant” in that its real caucus is in March. In Minnesota and Colorado, the process is similar to that of Iowa–voters are participating in a non-binding straw poll while also picking delegates to county and regional conventions (so presidential delegates are divvied up later, I guess). washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/colorado-minnesota-missouri-what-matters-what-doesnt/2012/02/07/gIQAUp0GwQ_blog.html?wprss=rss_campaigns

Regardless, it was obviously a great night for Santorum and a bad one for Romney.

Voter turnout is a big part of this story. I can’t find any good stats on it right now, but as I was watching the results last night, commentators were stunned at how many fewer voters there were across the board compared to 2008. I remember seeing one screen that was showing Romney receiving several tens of thousands less votes than 4 years ago (I forget which state). Lack of enthusiasm is definitely playing a role here, and is helping to shape the percentages.
 
Rick is just another big government Republican.

Rick is a domestic and foreign interventionist.

Rick takes an unconstituitonal, federalist, status-quo approach to the issue of legal abortion and therefore gaurantees that abortion will be legal for a very long time. The federal interventionist approach that Rick preaches, will be used by Democrats time and time again to neutralize any short-term gains…
Sour grapes much?
 
Time for Paul to drop out. Caucus States are supposed to be his strength and he got stomped.
 
Time for Paul to drop out. Caucus States are supposed to be his strength and he got stomped.
That will not make any difference to me. I will vote for him anyway in March. I do not let the decisions of other states alter my vote.
 
My understanding is that none of the 3 contests immediately awards delegates. Missouri is a “beauty pageant” in that its real caucus is in March. In Minnesota and Colorado, the process is similar to that of Iowa–voters are participating in a non-binding straw poll while also picking delegates to county and regional conventions (so presidential delegates are divvied up later, I guess). washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/colorado-minnesota-missouri-what-matters-what-doesnt/2012/02/07/gIQAUp0GwQ_blog.html?wprss=rss_campaigns

Regardless, it was obviously a great night for Santorum and a bad one for Romney.

Voter turnout is a big part of this story. I can’t find any good stats on it right now, but as I was watching the results last night, commentators were stunned at how many fewer voters there were across the board compared to 2008. I remember seeing one screen that was showing Romney receiving several tens of thousands less votes than 4 years ago (I forget which state). Lack of enthusiasm is definitely playing a role here, and is helping to shape the percentages.
It will also influence the vote in many of the upcoming states. My state’s caucus is coming up soon. 🙂
 
Well, during this campaign season, I chose to give my money to Newt Gingrich, but tonight I found myself giving my prayers to Rick Santorum.

I prayed for voters in Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado to vote for Santorum somewhere between 6 and 10 times… I would say that every practicing Catholic at least subconsciously supports Rick Santorum…

And, IF Rick Santorum does win Colorado… he’s ahead right now. That would mean he’s 3 for 3 tonight. That would be huge. Possibly, Possibly huge enough to get Newt Gingrich to drop out.
Thanks. I prayed too as I voted for Santorum and convinced my mom to vote for him too (since I’m her ride to the polls :D).
 
:clapping: I’m very glad Rick won tonight. No make that ecstatic. :extrahappy: If I thought God was a registered Republican, I might even pray for more Santorum wins in the Republican primary. So I was thrilled but I watched his speech and he kept referring to Missouri in one sentence as “Missoureeee” and in the next as “Misouraaaa”. I suppose he was just trying to pacify both sides of the state though. And he kept refering to Obama as not listening to the American people as if the conservative voters in Republican contests tonight were somehow solely representaive of the American people. But I suppose it plays well with the base.
I guess that makes it okay to say I hope Obama’s policies fail. 😦
 
My understanding is that none of the 3 contests immediately awards delegates.
Colorado and Minnesota, like many other states including Iowa, have “non-binding” caucuses in which they “pledge” delegates to the candidates rather than “bind” them. Basically pledged delegates can reneg at the convention. The practical application of this is that if the nominee awarded the delegates drops out of the race the delegates don’t have to automatically vote for him anyway at the first round of voting at the convention. For example, Rick Perry’s delegates from Iowa are free to vote for Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum now that Governor Perry is out of the race.

The delegates are still selected based on the results. So people who have pledged to cast their convention vote for Rick Santorum have been selected as a result instead of people who have pledged to vote for Romney. They could reneg without legal ramifications, but the delegates are “awarded” already for every practical sense.

Missouri, on the other hand, has a primary election vote and then selects actual delegates in a caucus next month.
  • Marty Lund
 
I guess that makes it okay to say I hope Obama’s policies fail. 😦
Can’t go along with that entirely. Some of his foreign policy has been very good, especially those that were originally Bush’s and which he continued.
 
Overall, Romney has 107 delegates, including endorsements from members of the Republican National Committee who automatically attend the party’s national convention and can support any candidate they choose. Santorum has 45 delegates, Newt Gingrich has 32 and Ron Paul has nine.
foxnews.com/politics/2012/02/08/santorum-jumps-into-second-place-in-delegate-race/

There are 13 more state-wide delegates from Minnesota yet to be awarded, but at current support levels all would be awarded to Santorum as well.

1,144 delegates are needed to secure the nomination.
  • Marty Lund
 
**
Barack Obama’s decision to embrace his super PAC is only the latest example of the president setting his ideals aside and resigning himself to pragmatic political realities - Roll Call**

Didn’t Obama decry superpacs? Now he is soliciting them.
Jim Messina, Campaign Manager of Obama for America, sent out an email today (which is direct copy from his blog on the President’s re-election website). He points out that Iowa showed there is no clear member of the GOP candidates for President in the lead. He speaks of “unprecedented spending” on the part of both candidates and superPACs. He decries these corporations and anonymous donors.
 
Can’t go along with that entirely. Some of his foreign policy has been very good, especially those that were originally Bush’s and which he continued.
My point was that CMatt wanted Santorum to win because he would lose against Obama. I dislike that mentality as much as I dislike people hoping Obama will fail. I was speaking tongue-in cheek. (:p)
 
I’m not sure if the meme of the day should be “Rick Rolls” or “You’re the Vest Around.”
  • Marty Lund
 
Santorum claims strong fundraising after Tuesday wins
“We’re doing very, very well raising money,” Santorum said on CNN’s “Starting Point with Soledad O’Brien.” “I think last night we raised a quarter of a million dollars online. So we’re doing really well and we feel like going forward we’re going to have the money we need to make the case we want to make.”
politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/08/santorum-claims-strong-fundraising-after-tuesday-wins/
 
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