C
Caldera
Guest
Gov. Noem was on Fox & Friends Wednesday:
It’s been linked to 290 cases across 12 states, not 250,000.That would imply there may be even more coronavirus cases from the Sturgis rally than the ones they traced. Are you sure you want to go there?
See, I did hear of this one man who died who went to Sturgis.It’s been linked to 290 cases across 12 states, not 250,000.
The OP research is fake news / junk science, call it what you will but it was extremely partisan and dishonest work.
What the MSM Was Afraid to Tell You
74,268 views
Published on Sep 11, 2020
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The article I posted cleared says the study has not been peer-reviewed. I did not “fall” for anything. I realize the inaccuracies inherent in the statistical inferences made from covid-19 case numbers in counties with Sturgis visitors. Still, it is interesting, no? It is not surprising at all that the estimate in this study is vastly different from the count of know covid cases directly traceable to Sturgis. The directly traceable ones do not count the cases where visitors to Sturgis came back and spread the virus to others before being detected as having the disease. And many of them with the infection, if it was not very bad for them, may not have even reported it or knew it themselves. It was only after it showed up in their community statistics and became untraceable by direct means. So these figures are not even all that surprising, even if they not nearly as precise as direct counting. But that is understood in such statistical studies.@LeafbyNiggle When I consider how you promoted the importance of peer review in numerous other threads, I’m surprised you fell for this partisan slop hook, line and sinker. Seems to me that peer review can be dispensed with when the article supports your narrative. If someone produced similar slop about the effects of the protests, you would have been all over it.
It’s been over three weeks since the rally ended.
Your caveat is noted.The article I posted cleared says the study has not been peer-reviewed. I did not “fall” for anything. I realize the inaccuracies inherent in the statistical inferences made from covid-19 case numbers in counties with Sturgis visitors. Still, it is interesting, no? It is not surprising at all that the estimate in this study is vastly different from the count of know covid cases directly traceable to Sturgis. The directly traceable ones do not count the cases where visitors to Sturgis came back and spread the virus to others before being detected as having the disease. And many of them with the infection, if it was not very bad for them, may not have even reported it or knew it themselves. It was only after it showed up in their community statistics and became untraceable by direct means. So these figures are not even all that surprising, even if they not nearly as precise as direct counting. But that is understood in such statistical studies.
Please present those back of the napkin calculations. I love back of the napkin calculations, and being mathematically inclined have been known to make them myself.But a few back of the napkin calculations should have shown you just how far off and how much baloney these numbers were. Like at least three orders of magnitude off. But somehow that didn’t that trigger the bull manure detector that you’ve displayed numerous times in other contexts?
Judging from your past posts across many topics, it’s clear you don’t fancy back of the napkin math. Or you would not have fallen for this so hard. You’re very orthodox in your belief in the authorities and in others who push your favored narratives, hence it rarely occurs to you to question their numbers.Please present those back of the napkin calculations. I love back of the napkin calculations, and being mathematically inclined have been known to make them myself.
Honestly, I have no idea what you are talking about, and I doubt that anyone else does either. It sounds to me like you are not talking about back of the napkin calculations (which are based on crude estimates, but still of some value) but gut intuition (which is based on nothing but feelings.) Besides, I’m sure the potential peer-reviewers of this study will appreciate the huge headstart you would be giving them in writing their review, if is as obvious as you say.LeafByNiggle:![]()
Judging from your past posts across many topics, it’s clear you don’t fancy back of the napkin math. Or you would not have fallen for this so hard. You’re very orthodox in your belief in the authorities and in others who push your favored narratives, hence it rarely occurs to you to question their numbers.Please present those back of the napkin calculations. I love back of the napkin calculations, and being mathematically inclined have been known to make them myself.
Everyone should have at least enough math to do this sort of thing on their own so they can evaluate numbers presented by all sides for their realism. You’re invited to try this out yourself. You already have enough math to start, you don’t need me to show you how.
CONSERVATIVE REVIEW SEPTEMBER 01, 2020
Horowitz: Coronavirus casualties from Sturgis biker rally super-spreader event don’t make news because they didn’t happen
DANIEL HOROWITZ
Over 460,000 motorcyclists descended upon the Black Hills of South Dakota for the annual Sturgis motorcycle rally, the largest event in the entire country this year – without masks or sacred social distancing protocols. Yet no epidemic of coronavirus was ignited by this mother of all mass gatherings, contrary to media predictions.
With nearly every state still partially shut down, South Dakota, like Sweden, never had a shutdown or a mask mandate. Then, in the second week of August, the state hosted the largest, most raucous event in the country. Initially, the media laid the groundwork to spread pandemic panic porn about the impending spread of the virus. Now you don’t hear much about it. Why not? Because there is no epidemic to speak of.
Meanwhile, countries with the strictest lockdowns and mask mandates, like Peru and the Philippines, have more deaths than any other country. The enduring lesson? Lockdowns and mask mandates play absolutely no role in mitigating a virus that seems to spread where it spreads, when it spreads, and to whom it spreads based on its own patterns.
South Dakota . . . Governor Kristi Noem refused to implement lockdowns or mask mandates. The state ranks #40 in coronavirus deaths per capita and has the best economy in the country to show for it.
The media and public health officials predicted the state would blow its streak by allowing a large national gathering to take place from August 7 to August 16. “Come mid-August to late August, early September, Sturgis will have one hell of an imprint on this country,” warned Michael Osterholm, head of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the neighboring University of Minnesota. . .
. . . So where is the monumental imprint on the country? There are zero deaths reported, and I have only seen one hospitalization alleged to be associated with Sturgis attendance. The epidemic generated by the rally was so powerful that they evidently had to conduct mass testing to discover a “CASEdemic” of over 100 cases – and all those tested in one city were asymptomatic . . .