Trump’s big new Iran deal policy is both pointless and incredibly dangerous

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I can’t read his mind, but I think he did it because he truly thinks it’s a bad deal for the U.S. and its allies, which it is.

I doubt there’s a person on this earth who really believes Iran will not become a nuclear power at the expiration of the agreement, and possibly before. In the meanwhile, and because of the agreement, the mullahs who run the place will gain more money with which to build nukes and the missiles to carry them.

What we really should be afraid of is the prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran. While the mullahs in power currently probably don’t really believe in the apocalyptic end predicted and even desired under Shiite belief, there is no certainty that they don’t, or that some later mullah won’t.

We are told that the U.S. and the Soviet Union came very close to war once because the Russians misinterpreted our actions and we misinterpreted theirs, each thinking the other intended a nuclear strike. It was narrowly averted. And that was by the two most sophisticated powers on earth who had instant communications with each other. What is the compelling reason to believe those perverse mullahs running Iran will not someday imagine some weather balloon or something as being a missile from Israel and launch Armageddon? And what is the reason to believe Israel will not launch everything it has if it sees missiles coming on a Tel Aviv trajectory?

And what is the reason to believe Iran’s achieving nuclear weapons will not lead to every Sunni Gulf state acquiring them as well. Some of the craziest people on earth all armed with nukes and with their fingers on the triggers at all times.

It won’t turn out well if it isn’t somehow stopped. Maybe Trump can prevent it, though it’s doubtful. But maybe things can change.
 
"Many congressional Republicans, including some fairly influential ones like Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton, loathe the deal, as do a cadre of Republicans grassroots activists. Cotton is already pushing a plan to act on Trump’s request to create an automatic trigger for reimposing sanctions, and his bill might very well force the US to violate its end of the agreement (though since the idea isn’t just a simple reimposition of sanctions, it wouldn’t be quality for the INARA fast-track and thus would likely require 60 votes in the Senate).

The point is that even if Trump and the GOP leadership try to stop reimposition of sanctions, it’s possible they’ll face a revolt from congressional backbenchers and the grassroots base. Decertification does not formally end the Iran deal — but it creates serious threats to its continued existence.

“We are on the very slippery slope that leads to JCPOA collapse,” says Richard Nephew, an expert at Columbia University who worked on negotiations with Iran in the Obama White House between 2011 and 2013."
 
I think Trump did it for the same reason that congress is going to want to reinstate sanctions. The fact is that our foreign policy is completely controlled by the pro-settlement faction in Israel.

Will someone please explain to me what the difference in our stance toward Iran would be if Benjamin Netanyahu was in complete control of our US government?

…That’s right, there would be no difference…

So wouldn’t it be more honest to have Mr. Netanyahu as POTUS, or at least in charge of our State dept and Military?
 
Will someone please explain to me what the difference in our stance toward Iran would be if Benjamin Netanyahu was in complete control of our US government?
Easy enough. He would have blown their program to smithereens years ago, just like he did in Syria. Obama could have done it but didn’t. That’s why Iran has a nuclear weapons program and Syria doesn’t.
 
I don’t think the average American has a clue as to what’s going on in Iran. They depend solely on what Bush and Obama said. And now Trump keeps saying it was a bad deal. So that makes it fact? Is there any way we know that any action we take will provoke or prevent a major war and incur major expenses? We’re not hearing much from the Secretary of State or Defense. Oh wait…
 
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I don’t think the average American has a clue as to what’s going on in Iran. They depend solely on what Bush and Obama said. And now Trump keeps saying it was a bad deal. So that makes it fact? Is there any way we know that any action we take will provoke or prevent a major war and incur major expenses? We’re not hearing much from the Secretary of State or Defense. Oh wait…
The deal is not hard to follow, plenty was written on it.

The deal gave everything to Iran,
their weapons program could be running again in 1 week.
They may already have it going and we won’t know.
 
Easy enough. He would have blown their program to smithereens years ago, just like he did in Syria. Obama could have done it but didn’t. That’s why Iran has a nuclear weapons program and Syria doesn’t.
Why do you think that Netanyahu has not blown the Iranian program to smithereens. Or Bush? Or Trump?
 
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The deal gave everything to Iran,

their weapons program could be running again in 1 week.

They may already have it going and we won’t know.
Thanks for the links. Of course you link to highly polemic articles. Still they don’t seem to specificaly support your claims:
The deal gave everything to Iran,
their weapons program could be running again in 1 week.
They may already have it going and we won’t know.
There is more to the story. And that includes an assessment of what it accomplished, what the real alternatives were, and what the continuing actions were to be. Try this:

 
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they point out the important components it missed.
The fact that the deal was not the coming of the kingdom was not lost on anyone. :roll_eyes:
It is a very cheap criticism to say that there were important components missed. What was is the strategy to incorporate them in a deal?
 
Hmm. Not so fast, Ridge! That move would have put the U.S. at war with Iran, but with Benjamin Netanyahu in complete control of our government, he would be concerned about putting our population at risk when the only real risk is to his own homeland Israel, where fellow Shia are oppressed by his own government.

You have to give BT somewhat the benefit of the doubt on this, Ridge, he would be much more calculating.

And in effect, his calculating is essentially manifested in our withholding taking immediate action. BT knows he can push the U.S. to bomb Iran because he is insulated from being ultimately responsible for the consequences.

On the other hand if he, representing the US, were to bomb Iran, the responsibility would be his. He would have to justify loss of American lives as an expense of the confiscation of land and resource from the Palestinians.
 
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