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These numbers are all current. The fact is we don’t know what would happen with Trump in the general. If these numbers fluctuate at all toward him it is a whole new ball game. I am just warning against complacency, that is all. That is what it looks like from over here. And I do think Trump would be competitive in Michigan, Ohio and Florida; he may not get them all of course; if he does, he wins, simple as that. He could compete in Pennsylvania, California, the Northeast, the Southwest, you name it. Containment - that is where you go. Now, if that is even possible.In the 2008 primary season, Obama did not win OH, PA, MI or FL. And yet he carried all 4 in the general.
Hillary has done quite well among African Americans.
80% of Latinos have an unfavorable view of Trump.
50% of women view him very unfavorably.
Won’t it be something when we see the DNC and the RNC leaders meet in mid October to pick and run a compromise candidate.