Turkey 'downs Russian warplane on Syria border' - BBC

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Analysis just in this moment from the BBC:

bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-middle-east-34908469
Analysis: Moscow shows it is intent on bolstering Assad regime
Jonathan Marcus
BBC Diplomatic and defence correspondent
Posted at 16:53
**The downing of the Russian airliner by IS, and Moscow’s onslaught against IS targets appeared to suggest that Russia, the West and the moderate Arab states were coming into alignment.
But as the Russian air attacks against Turkmen positions show, Moscow is still intent on bolstering the Assad regime against some of its other opponents, whatever may be happening on the counter-IS front.**
Turkey is deeply hostile to the Syrian regime and wants to see the back of Bashar al-Assad as soon as possible. So in this sense it is at loggerheads with Moscow.
Turkey, like Iran, the Saudis and the moderate Arab states, all have a stake in what kind of Syria emerges from this crisis - as, to an extent, does Russia.
The US and its Western allies don’t much like Mr Assad and see him as very much part of the problem, but their main battle is against IS
.
 
The pilots may not have been killed, these are early reports.
I heard on the BBC that Turkish media is claiming that the Turkmen have both of the pilots alive and in their captivity. A lot of uncertainty here, only time will tell.
 
I heard on the BBC that Turkish media is claiming that the Turkmen have both of the pilots alive and in their captivity. A lot of uncertainty here, only time will tell.
Not that I wish to look for it again, (and didn’t really view it) but I’m sure there’s a video of the pilots being shot in the air, whilst parachuting down, by the rebels. I read the comments to the video, rather than watch it.
 
Not that I wish to look for it again, (and didn’t really view it) but I’m sure there’s a video of the pilots being shot in the air, whilst parachuting down, by the rebels. I read the comments to the video, rather than watch it.
Yes. That is the video I saw this morning, though I didn’t realize they were shooting at the pilots (sound off in the lobby…closed captioned). I did see that one of the commentators said that the way the pilots hit the ground, it appeared they were dead. I hope it isn’t so.
 
I heard on the BBC that Turkish media is claiming that the Turkmen have both of the pilots alive and in their captivity. A lot of uncertainty here, only time will tell.
can they be trusted to be truthful?
 
Turkey’s concerns are probably the following in order of importance:
  1. Iranian imperialist ambitions.
  2. Kurdish separatism
  3. Russian imperialist ambitions.
  4. ISIS.
Turkey is an Islamic state that used to be a secular state. Turkey undoubtedly knows how weak ISIS is as a potential adversary, and doesn’t find its Islamism all that offensive.

Turkey probably figures the Iran/Russian axis is far more dangerous to Turkey than ISIS is. And it’s probably true.

Not that I’m an admirer of Turkey. Far from it.
OR another interesting theory.

*The post-Paris rapprochement between the West and Russia in Syria, the realignment of Western and Russian objectives of destroying ISIS over ousting Assad doesn’t suit Turkish interests.

Erdogan is trying hard to put Russia and Nato in a collision course by directly running to Nato after this incident instead of calling Russia first, whose plane was shot down and pilots killed.*
 
Yes. That is the video I saw this morning, though I didn’t realize they were shooting at the pilots (sound off in the lobby…closed captioned). I did see that one of the commentators said that the way the pilots hit the ground, it appeared they were dead. I hope it isn’t so.
Unfortunately, I believe it may be…it’s about 1/2 way down the page. zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-24/russian-pilots-executed-while-parachuting-turkish-media

Now, whether they actually hit the pilots, or not, is another matter. They’d be better off dead mind you.

God bless their relatives with all this social media footage, readily accessible.

zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-24/russian-pilots-executed-while-parachuting-turkish-media
 
OR another interesting theory.

*The post-Paris rapprochement between the West and Russia in Syria, the realignment of Western and Russian objectives of destroying ISIS over ousting Assad doesn’t suit Turkish interests.

Erdogan is trying hard to put Russia and Nato in a collision course by directly running to Nato after this incident instead of calling Russia first, whose plane was shot down and pilots killed.*
Russia and Turkey both have shady inclinations where ISIS is concerned.

Russia is more interested in protecting a Syrian puppet regime that has abetted the Islamic State’s rise. It has consistently attacked the Free Syrian Army and other non-ISIS rebels. Only after the plane was downed did Putin seriously strike ISIS targets for the first time.

Turkey has only reluctantly participated in American-led airstrikes against ISIS, but has also continued to drop bombs on the Kurdish forces that have been the most effective fighters on the ground against ISIS.

So what do we make of this tangled web of intrigue? You decide.

I have no liking for the Turks or the Russians. It is a sparring match of egos between Erdogan and Putin.

BTW I’ve heard reports that the Russian airmen might both be dead. Crazy situation, so much uncertainty regarding these two men.
 
Russia and Turkey both have shady inclinations where ISIS is concerned.

Russia is more interested in protecting a Syrian puppet regime that has abetted the Islamic State’s rise. It has consistently attacked the Free Syrian Army and other non-ISIS rebels. Only after the plane was downed did Putin seriously strike ISIS targets for the first time.

Turkey has only reluctantly participated in American-led airstrikes against ISIS, but has also continued to drop bombs on the Kurdish forces that have been the most effective fighters on the ground against ISIS.

So what do we make of this tangled web of intrigue? You decide.

I have no liking for the Turks or the Russians. It is a sparring match of egos between Erdogan and Putin.
I genuinely am a history moron, so have no clue what Turkey are doing.

Assad, has a majority support from his people and that is verified through numerous newspapers articles, on google and polls. I’ve also heard it from an Irish priest, on the radio. So the fact Russia is backing Assad, does not seem shady IMO.

The Irish priest, who had returned from Syria and was fund raising for Syrian orphans, when asked what the Syrians thought of Assad - a question the priest was not expecting - said everyone he met supported him, whether they be janitors/non-professionals or doctors / lawyers, i.e. from all walks of life. He said he himself was ‘surprised’ initially but he had found that Syrians accepted the ‘regime’ system as their norm - specifically mentioning Doctors/lawyers.

What Turkey did today was insane, aside from being unconscionable. There was no call for it, for a 10-15 secs violation of airspace, when Russia is fighting a war (that they too were involved in?). 🤷

All madness.
 
I genuinely am a history moron, so have no clue what Turkey are doing.

Assad, has a majority support from his people and that is verified through numerous newspapers articles, on google and polls. I’ve also heard it from an Irish priest, on the radio. So the fact Russia is backing Assad, does not seem shady IMO.

The Irish priest, who had returned from Syria and was fund raising for Syrian orphans, when asked what the Syrians thought of Assad - a question the priest was not expecting - said everyone he met supported him, whether they be janitors/non-professionals or doctors / lawyers, i.e. from all walks of life. He said he himself was ‘surprised’ initially but he had found that Syrians accepted the ‘regime’ system as their norm - specifically mentioning Doctors/lawyers.

What Turkey did today was insane, aside from being unconscionable. There was no call for it, for a 10-15 secs violation of airspace, when Russia is fighting a war (that they too were involved in?). 🤷

All madness.
And it seems equally unconscionable that Russia would violate Turkish airspace despite receiving 10 warnings in the space of 5 minutes to desist, so as to strike at ethnic Turkish rebels fighting Assad’s forces over the border in Syria, in a region of that benighted country mere inches from a NATO ally where no ISIS targets are reputed to be active.

I cannot for the life of me understand the logic behind such perilous, high-stakes ‘risk-taking’ on NATO’s Syria-bordering southern flank.

Strange, when you think that Russia justified its invasion of Ukraine on the basis of protecting ethnic Russians. One rule for it and another for other powers?
 
Turkey is a secular state,and one which ISIS, a group predominately Arabs, despise, due to the history of Turk vs Arab nationalism. It is utterly ridiculous to suggest Turkey have any interest in helping ISIS.

The ignorance on these forums is getting ridiculous now.
Whether you like it, or believe it or not, Turkey has been supporting ISIS with weapons, money, buying oil, medical treatment, and providing a safe haven. This has all been proven beyond any doubt. Try reading the news from some source other than MSNBC for a change and you may become more enlightened about the situation.
 
Russia and Turkey both have shady inclinations where ISIS is concerned.

Russia is more interested in protecting a Syrian puppet regime that has abetted the Islamic State’s rise. It has consistently attacked the Free Syrian Army and other non-ISIS rebels. Only after the plane was downed did Putin seriously strike ISIS targets for the first time.

Turkey has only reluctantly participated in American-led airstrikes against ISIS, but has also continued to drop bombs on the Kurdish forces that have been the most effective fighters on the ground against ISIS.

So what do we make of this tangled web of intrigue? You decide.

I have no liking for the Turks or the Russians. It is a sparring match of egos between Erdogan and Putin.

BTW I’ve heard reports that the Russian airmen might both be dead. Crazy situation, so much uncertainty regarding these two men.
Good points, we know Assad has lost over half his country, befriended Jihadis in the past and that the people do not support him, refugees named the regime as being the main cause of the Exodus from Syria.

adoptrevolution.org/en/survey-amongst-syrian-refugees-in-germany-backgrounds/

His human rights record is very clear.

Yes, it is proven that Russian strikes have been probably targetting other groups more than ISIS and it looks like some things the Russian mainline state-sponsored press says can’t be trusted at all.
 
Whether you like it, or believe it or not, Turkey has been supporting ISIS with weapons, money, buying oil, medical treatment, and providing a safe haven. This has all been proven beyond any doubt. Try reading the news from some source other than MSNBC for a change and you may become more enlightened about the situation.
You make the claim. Okay.

The claim has been that Turkey had been supporting Al Nusra, that Turkey supports ISIS is more of the thing of Iranian/Russian propaganda.
 
Assad regime accused of doing business with both Al Qaeda and ISIS over oil.

warincontext.org/2014/01/29/isis-selling-syrian-oil-to-assad-regime/
**
Iraq asked Syria’s Assad to stop aiding ‘jihadists’: Former official **- See more at: middleeasteye.net/news/iraq-asked-syrias-assad-not-aid-jihadists-former-official-1553468312#sthash.HKS6SyHh.dpuf
 
And it seems equally unconscionable that Russia would violate Turkish airspace despite receiving 10 warnings in the space of 5 minutes to desist, so as to strike at ethnic Turkish rebels fighting Assad’s forces over the border in Syria, in a region of that benighted country mere inches from a NATO ally where no ISIS targets are reputed to be active.

I cannot for the life of me understand the logic behind such perilous, high-stakes ‘risk-taking’ on NATO’s Syria-bordering southern flank.

Strange, when you think that Russia justified its invasion of Ukraine on the basis of protecting ethnic Russians. One rule for it and another for other powers?
It’s not comparable, 10 warnings in 15 seconds, that would be good going. Who says they were bombing ‘ethnic turks’, prove it - How do they or anyone else identify Turks, against the other rebels?

Some damage limitation, nothing more.

ASIDE from the fact Russia’s fighting an international enemy that Turkey are also allegedly ‘fighting’. :rolleyes:

Well the Turks have been violating Greece’s airspace maybe they’ll not be as accommodating in future, to Turkish planes. twitter.com/damomac/status/669147074768838656

Only Russian/French planes have been given permission to fly over Syria - so maybe Assad will come to the same conclusion, re: airspace violation.

Russia never invaded Ukraine.
 
True…regarding NATO. It’ll be interesting to see if Turkey is still a member after this.

Or are NATO members on ISIS’s side too. 🤷

If it had been a French plane taken down, by Turkey, no doubt that would have been another matter, even though the French would have been flying to Syria for the exact same reason, as Russia is.

Also there is no evidence the jet was flying in Turkish airspace, the plane came down in Syria not Turkey.
We don’t know where the plane was exactly. According to Turkey it was.on their airspace.And They said they warned Russia several times not to.fly on their airspace. Russia it is saying it was.on.Syrian.airspace but exactly as you say that there is no evidence that it was on Turkey what is the evidence that it was on Syrian airspace? Putin saying so? That is not evidence.

As.said before Russia and Turkey have a long history of problems and.it may be completely unrelated to ISIS
 
It’s not comparable, 10 warnings in 15 seconds, that would be good going. Who says they were bombing ‘ethnic turks’, prove it - How do they or anyone else identify Turks, against the other rebels?

Some damage limitation, nothing more.

ASIDE from the fact Russia’s fighting an international enemy that Turkey are also allegedly ‘fighting’. :rolleyes:

Well the Turks have been violating Greece’s airspace maybe they’ll not be as accommodating in future, to Turkish planes. twitter.com/damomac/status/669147074768838656

Only Russian/French planes have been given permission to fly over Syria - so maybe Assad will come to the same conclusion, re: airspace violation.

Russia never invaded Ukraine.
Nothing you have said provides any adequate explanation as to why Russia, which is supposed to have entered a temporary alliance of interest with NATO to confront ISIS after the downing of the plane and the Paris massacre, is flying sorties over NATO’s southern flank and infringing on a member state’s airspace to bomb a region where there are no known ISIL affiliates but which is known to be peopled by ethnic Turks.

This rash action is highly suspicious, apart from anything else, if Russia’s number one objective in the Syrian conflict is now to crush ISIS - which of course, it isn’t - just as Turkey’s overriding interest in the war isn’t either.

Russia seems to have made an ill-fated decision to put the national interest it has invested in the Assad regime over its promise to prioritise ISIS after the downing of the airliner, by bombing non-ISIL targets off NATO’s southern flank, rather focusing all of its energies on the fight against the Islamic State.
 
Latest updates from the BBC:

bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-middle-east-34908469
**Nato chief says Russian plane did enter Turkish airspace
Posted at 18:23
In the last few minutes, Nato Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg has been making a statement in Brussels.
The Nato chief has backed Turkey’s version of the story, and said that an allied assessment shows that the Russian warplane did fly into Turkish airspace. **
He said that there had been contact between officials in Moscow and Ankara, but not between Nato officials and Russia.
Mr Stoltenberg called for calm and for the parties to deescalate the situation.
And:
**BREAKING Russian solider killed in rescue mission - military
Posted at 18:16
A Russian soldier has been killed in the search for the pilots of the downed jet in Syria, the Russian military says. **
 
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