On Russia Today news, they’re saying that the mortars are coming from an area taken over by Syrian rebels. So hopefully Turkey will get wise to this and not retaliate.
This has to be verified, however. RT news is not enough to convince me, since the Russians are decidely pro-Assad.
Not saying that this isn’t the case (the rebels
may be launching the attacks) however I am not going to make up my own mind based on a biased news agency and neither can the Turkish state until there is clear proof of this evident rather than hearsay or supposition.
I do not think that Turkey is heedless enough to break into open warfare in Syria. What concerns me more is
internal conflicts within Turkey, Iran and Syria which could imperil the Middle-east and plunge it into a wider conflict.
Yes, the Turkish government is hardly subtle in expressing its solidarity with the cause of the rebels. Undoubtedly, bases on its land are transferring arms to cross the Turko-Syrian border.
However the Turks desire international action on a diplomatic level, not a unilateral declaration of war. Turkey does not want to intervene militarily.
Do you not recall the muted reaction when its aircraft was brought down by Syrian air defence in the summer? Turkey’s response was as diplomatic, peaceable minded and cautionary as can be.
Prior to the troubles in Syria and the wider Arab world, Turkey had been cozying up to Iran and the Assad regime. It saw Iran, despite its Shi’ite population, as a growing regional power which could co-operate with broader Turkic aims. Erdogan’s more unabashedly Islamic party can be naturally expected to admire many elements of Iranian post-revolutionary society with its firm Muslim foundations.
To the shock of the government, the Turkish flag was burned in the first days of the uprising in Benghazi in Libya. Relations with Iraq have deteriorated badly with the Kurdish terrorist attacks from the Iraqi side of the border. Now the Syrian troubles are causing more difficulties even with public opinion in Turkey, which seems concerned rather than totally approving of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s calls for the removal of the Assad regime.
The Turks do not want war.
As previously stated, I am no fan of the Turkish state (far from it) but I know that neither the government nor the people want a war.
And neither is Syria looking to pick a fight with Turkey. That is the last thing, I would imagine, given that Turkey is a NATO member.
So we must wait, watch and pray that tensions will be cooled.