So now you are using the argument “Well he hasn’t done it yet, but he might later on…”
And since Putin has been in control for 15 years now, you wanna tell me just how long it will take?
I can play this game too: “Well the Prime Minister of Japan hasn’t admitted he is a reptilian alien from the Andromeda Galaxy, but that doesn’t mean he won’t in the future…”
Russia’s actions in Chechnya, Georgia and Crimea have all been aggressive.
Its actions in this example are clearly illegal and expansionist. So no, I am not in any respect arguing that.
Putin has been using soft power over Eastern European nations for years. Gas supply cuts, harsh import and export policies…you name it. He has bullied and threatened these smaller countries in more ways than I can tell.
Since the Georgia debacle in 2008, however, he has begun to take a much more aggressively militarist turn.
Hitler, Mussolini and Stalin all started off using soft power.
In 1939, when Stalin invaded Finnland and the Baltic states after seizing the window of opportunity granted by Hitler’s distraction of the West with the invasion of Poland and the start of the European Theatre of War, he had been in power since 1924. 15 years, longer than Putin and for that entire time there was not a hint of the Iron Curtain that was later to fall across Europe.
He had done practically nothing aggressive in his foreign policy. In fact he had repelled an aggressive invasion by Japan in early 1939. Most of his policies were internal to the Soviet Union, industrializing it so that it could one day make its mark on the world stage (and murdering 3 million Ukranians in a man-made famine, as well as uncountable numbers of his own people, dissidents etc.).
Then in 1939, he tried to occupy Finnland, took part of Poland to “defend Soviet citizens” there in collusion with Hitler’s occupation of the other part of the country and invaded the Baltic states.
By late 1945, Stalin was in
de facto command of all of Eastern Europe. In the last five years of the 40s decade he set about creating Stalinist totalitarian terror regimes in every single one of them, which he had had “liberated” from the Nazis (in truth, Hitler planned to murder roughly 50 million Slavs and depopulate their lands, so at the very least Soviet rule still left these countries in existence but it was a frightful, terrifying, joyless existence with secret police, terror squads and armed occupation by the Soviets in Hungary 1946 and Czechoslovakia 1968 if any country tried to liberalize).
Putin idolizes Stalin.