2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

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mary_bobo said:
I have said before, and I’ll say again, don’t worry about Palin. She is not going to get the nomination.
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I agree. she has about the same chance as Paul getting the nod. I thought it was interesting that the article regarding her bad reviews from likely Republican voters used Ron Paul as a low water mark. But, whether or not she has a chance to win the nomination is not my concern. Like you, I don’t think she has a very good chance. My problem is will she or won’t she run. I find her very difficult to predic t and that bothers me. It’s an ego thing I suppose.
 
Big_Ro said:
I agree. she has about the same chance as Paul getting the nod. I thought it was interesting that the article regarding her bad reviews from likely Republican voters used Ron Paul as a low water mark. But, whether or not she has a chance to win the nomination is not my concern. Like you, I don’t think she has a very good chance. My problem is will she or won’t she run. I find her very difficult to predic t and that bothers me. It’s an ego thing I suppose.
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I think if she does it will be pure strategy. It wouldn’t surprise me if her and Perry are collaborating or have collaborated on a plan. She’s not as dumb as you guys believe her to be.
 
bbarrick8383 said:
I think if she does it will be pure strategy. It wouldn’t surprise me if her and Perry are collaborating or have collaborated on a plan. She’s not as dumb as you guys believe her to be.
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I’m sure you’re excluding me when you say, “you guys”. Unless you can cite a single post where I have said she’s “dumb”, which you can’t, I would appreciate not being painted with that brush whether it is intentional or not. Thank you in advance.
 
bbarrick8383 said:
I think if she does it will be pure strategy. It wouldn’t surprise me if her and Perry are collaborating or have collaborated on a plan. She’s not as dumb as you guys believe her to be.
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Pray tell, what is the object of the strategy?
 
Big_Ro said:
I’m sure you’re excluding me when you say, “you guys”. Unless you can cite a single post where I have said she’s “dumb”, which you can’t, I would appreciate not being painted with that brush whether it is intentional or not. Thank you in advance.
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Smart people don’t quit, right? She is, by your own definition, a quitter.
 
gallup.com/poll/149213/Tea-Party-Supporters-Backing-Perry-GOP-Nomination.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=syndication&utm_content=morelink&utm_term=All%20Gallup%20Headlines%20-%20Election%202012%20-%20Government%20-%20Political%20Parties

Tea Party Supporters Backing Perry for GOP Nomination

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“The poll finds that 58% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents identify themselves as supporters of the Tea Party movement, with 36% saying they do not consider themselves supporters. Included among the group of Tea Party supporters is a smaller group – representing 12% of Republicans – who say they are “strong” supporters of the movement. Among this smaller group, Perry’s lead is even greater, 46% to 16%, over Bachmann, with all other candidates in single digits.”

Like I said, the Tea Party is in firm control of the Republican nominating process.
 
“I think if we bomb in New Hampshire, then we are not worth our salt.”

– Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), quoted by NBC News, highlighting the importance of the first primary state to his presidential campaign.

Ron Paul wants to bomb NH. I thought he was opposed to military intervention.
 
magellanstrategies.com/index.php/2011/08/26/south-carolina-2012-republican-presidential-primary-survey-082611/

South Carolina 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey (08/26/11)

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 637 likely 2012 Republican primary voters in South Carolina. The survey finds Rick Perry leading Mitt Romney by 11 points. Among all voters, Rick Perry has 31%, Mitt Romney has 20%, and Michele Bachmann is third with 14%. The rest of the Republican field rounds out with Herman Cain with 9%, Newt Gingrich with 5%, Ron Paul and the “Other Candidate” with 4%, Rick Santorum and Jon Huntsman with 2%, and 9% undecided.
 
Big_Ro said:
Yes, I do believe she is a quitter.

quitter ˈkwɪtə]
n
a person who gives up easily; defeatist, deserter, or shirker

thefreedictionary.com/quitter

quit·ter
noun \ˈkwi-tər\

Definition of QUITTER
: one that quits; especially: one that gives up too easily : defeatist

merriam-webster.com/dictionary/quitter

It’s not just my definition.
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In that case, you won’t mind forwarding me a half a million now, maybe half a million in another six months and who knows, maybe I’ll be happy by then. Should be easy, right?
 
politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0811/Romneys_earlystate_advantage.html

Romney’s early-state advantage

Alex Burns says Romney may not need to worry about Perry quite yet:

No matter how strong Perry’s national lead looks right now, Romney has a strong foothold in several early primary states that could allow him to hold back the momentum Perry’s picking up nationally.

In the last New Hampshire poll, Romney was ahead of Perry by 18 percentage points. A Mason-Dixon poll of Florida published yesterday gave Romney a 7-point lead there.

There’s been no recent polling in Nevada, but between the large Mormon population and the fact that he’s the only candidate to give the state real attention so far, Romney is expected to have a solid advantage there. And if Michigan keeps its early primary date, Romney would also be expected to hold a clear edge in the state where he was born, where his father was governor, and where Mitt won an important primary victory in 2008.

That’s either three out of five of the earliest states, or four out of six, where Romney is in a position to beat back Perry, even at this early and strong-looking moment for the Texas governor. In that kind of early-state split, the primary would likely go into a much longer, marathon race, perhaps with an advantage for Romney at the outset.
 
ishii said:
There is a lot to like about Palin, such as her committment to the sanctity of life. But I would prefer a candidate that is both pro-life and can speak and argue authoritatively and coherently on other issues such as foreign policy.
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You may have missed her Chris Wallace interview, and her many postings on foreign affairs. Stay tuned in the coming weeks, and you and millions of others might be stunned by what you are about to hear from her. :popcorn: Rob
 
Caldera said:
Sorry RACJ, I had no intention of belittling her. I think she is great. I meant that she should join the race already and bring her enthusiasm. I don’t, however, think she has a good chance to win at this point, but you never know. The thing that bothers me is why she would wait so long to enter the race if she really was serious about becoming President.

There is too much at stake in the next election. But again, whoever wins the GOP nomination gets my vote.
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I guarantee you that she is shoring up on strategies and policies. She is giving the undertaking the gravity that it deserves. There are also reams of regulations that one must adhere to once a candidacy is official. And compliance costs plenty of money. Right now she is free to move about and spend time with her family as she pleases. The day she announces, all hell will descend upon her, and she is wise to get her life in order first. The wait IS frustrating to excited partisans such as myself, however! It'll all soon be worth it. :wink: Rob
 
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