Wozza:
I think what qwertygirl is suggesting is that you cannot change your mind without further evidence. That changing your belief is not possible unless you have been convinced that you were wrong in the first place.
I don’t know if I’d agree with the statement that one has to “be convinced they were wrong” before they change their belief. There are certainly times when that is the case. I mean, if an alien shows up in my backyard tomorrow, I’m going to start believing in aliens.
But that’s not always the case. Lots of people choose to abandon beliefs (especially religious beliefs) because they simply become unhappy with what they perceive as the cost of adhering to those beliefs. Other succumb to peer pressure. Their decision is based less on a measured, objective analysis of the evidence than it is on simply assessing the cost of holding onto the belief versus abandoning it.
That’s why I asked the initial question. It is, essentially, asking someone to answer why they chose that outcome in Pascal’s Wager.