T
tifischer
Guest
Actually in probabilities the total space would be the denominator so when the denominator gets larger than the numerator then the probability gets smaller. Space is less dense with matter than a child’s room. Thus the probability of the legos coming together based on distance and time is greater.This is a very strange argument. You seem to be using and analogy of legos in a child’s room to show that the probability of life arising is very small. But the smallness of the child’s room and the number of legos is exactly what makes the probability of the legos coming together to form some design very small. The larger the universe, the larger those odds become. So your analogy does not apply the way you were hoping.
Actually the existence of life and evolution are both based on random chance. And the catch-22 of evolution is that it is dependent on the existence of life in the first place making the probability of occurrence even lower…can’t have evolution of life without life first.But we should recognize that the question of the origin of life itself is a separate question from the question of evolution. They may be related, but it is certainly possible for a person to hold one view of the origin of life and a somewhat different view of the theory of evolution. So you cannot use the problem of the origin of life to discredit Darwinian evolution.
You can calculate probability mathematically considering the number of objects moving in a particular space. If you calculate the amount of space occupied with matter subtract it from space at a given time compared to amount of space total…this will give the probability of finding space without matter. The difference from 1 is the probability of finding space filled with matter. This is the probability of you finding matter in space. The probability is so low that it would be essentially 0 and a mathematician would not consider there to be any correlation between finding matter and being in space. And the amazing part is that we know that life is only a very small part of that matter that does exist. Thus, the probability of life in the universe is even less than finding matter.And if I could make a comment about using the language of probability:… The term “probability” has a very definite technical meaning in science and mathematics. It does not just mean “that feels improbable or probable to me”. In particular, probability only makes mathematical sense when you have a probability space - that is, a collection of instances of the thing to which you wish to assign a probability. So if you wanted to calculate the probability of rainy day, you could look at all the days in the past, or some subset of them, and consider how many of them were rainy. But if you want to calculate the probability that the gravitational constant would be such and such, or that the size of the universe would be such and such, you cannot really use probability. That is because there is no probability space. We don’t have a myriad of universes to examine. We only have one. We can imagine other universes, but that’s not the same thing. Imaginary universes do not count. So until we find 10 or 12 other planets on which life has arisen, we cannot calculate any rigorous probability for life having arisen. It makes no sense to talk about this question as if you were calculating the odds of getting three of a kind in poker.