D
drpmjhess
Guest
No, Doug is absolutely correct. The majority of humanity have no idea what they are in for beginning in a few years.Looks like you’re zero for whatever, so far, Doug.
No, Doug is absolutely correct. The majority of humanity have no idea what they are in for beginning in a few years.Looks like you’re zero for whatever, so far, Doug.
I really had high hopes humanity will use utilize technology to solve its problems, but it seems we cannot reach Kardashev I if that horrible event happens.No, Doug is absolutely correct. The majority of humanity have no idea what they are in for beginning in a few years.
That’s because A) we gave car manufacturers too many choices and B) the environmentalist movement exists.I really had high hopes humanity will use utilize technology to solve its problems, but it seems we cannot reach Kardashev I if that horrible event happens.
My statement was that Doug’s box score was zero for whatever.No, Doug is absolutely correct. The majority of humanity have no idea what they are in for beginning in a few years.
Al, you’re a crank. Your abiotic stuff is enough for me to hold that view.
Even if petroleum production stays flat there’s the little problem of exporting countries increasing usage of their own production.
What you end up with, is exported oil declining faster then regional declines.
Jeffrey Brown, Dallas geologists, analysis of Mexico’s declining production along with increasing homegrown usage estimates exports out of Mexico (to the US) could end in 5 years. Mexico is the US’s second largest supplier behind Canada. A similar thing is happening in Saudi Arabia.
Brown isn’t alone in this asessment: research.cibcwm.com/economic_public/download/occrept62.pdf
Oh, sorry, I forget you won’t open that link because it’s evil.
We use to get (name removed by moderator)orts from England’s North Sea. England is no longer an exporter but an (name removed by moderator)orter.
Charitable includes reading another’s link which became too obvious that you were not doing. And “evil” was something I dream up about what my links were after you dreamed up claims of me promoting abortion, euthanasia, and somethink else.First, posters are requested to be charitable.
Second, please quote me accurately. I never used the word “evil” … I merely said I had no confidence in the opinions of someone who is on the payroll of the Saudi “oil machine”. [aka Armaco]
See you later.
There is so much information available on the abiotic theory of petroleum origination.
this has already been debunked. it’s as silly as that russian theory of geosynclines.Here is an interesting partial quote … the source is extensive … but interested folks can do additional research:
Charity means discussing the topic and not discussing the posters. It also mean not sinking to the level of name-calling.Charitable includes reading another’s link which became too obvious that you were not doing. And “evil” was something I dream up about what my links were after you dreamed up claims of me promoting abortion, euthanasia, and somethink else.
see you later
We do know that there are some unexplained sources of petroleum.this has already been debunked. it’s as silly as that russian theory of geosynclines.
there is nothing mysterious about crystaline basement reserviors. they could be caused by faulting or having source directly rock above a fractured basement.
Here is described a recent exploration project on the flanks of the Dnieper-Donets Basin which has been conducted in explicit recognition of the modern theory. This specific project has been chosen from many others because it is a "pure" modern project: the geological area explored is one which had been extensively studied in the past and had been previously condemned (according to the perspective of an hypothesis of a biological origin for petroleum) as possessing no potential for petroleum production; the exploration techniques applied, from the initial work-up, through the well planning, to the production tests have been carried out in ways peculiar to such for abiogenic hydrocarbons in crystalline environments; and the scientific tests upon the petroleum produced were specifically designed to test the assumption that the oil and gas originated at great depth in the Earth.
The Dnieper-Donets Basin runs in a NW-SE direction between 30.6°E-40.5°E; its northern and southern borders are traced from 50.0°N-51.8°N and 47.8°N-50.0°N, respectively. For the first 45 year period of the geological study of the Northern Monoclinal Flank of the Dnieper-Donets Basin, its sedimentary, metamorphic, and igneous rock had been condemned as possessing no potential for petroleum production for reasons of the complete absence of any "source rock" (so-called) and the presence of active, strongly-circulating artesian waters. Recently the area was reexamined according to the perspective of the modern theory of deep, abiotic hydrocarbon origins.
Because the modern theory of hydrocarbon origins recognizes hydrocarbons as primordial material erupted from great depth, the exploration process began with a detailed analysis of the tectonic history and geological structure of the crystalline basement of the Northern Monoclinal Flank of the Dnieper-Donets Basin. The exploration and drilling project which followed resulted in the discovery and development of 12 fields with oil reserves equal to 219 million metric tons of oil equivalent, the major part of which is produced from the Precambrian crystalline basement. These petroleum fields have been discovered in a narrow strip approximately 30-35 km wide and 400 km long near the Northern Marginal Deep Fault where the oil and gas bearing rocks are Middle and Lower Carboniferous period sandstones and Precambrian granites, amphibolites, and schists of the crystalline basement complex. This exploration project generated also the discovery of a new gas producing area within a region 30 km wide and 100 km long near Khark for which the producible gas in place has been calculated to be 100 billion cubic meters.
Of a total number of 61 wells drilled, 37 produce commercial quantities of oil or gas, an exploration success rate of 55%. The initial flows from the productive wells varied between 40-350 metric tons per day of oil and 100,000-1,600,000 cubic meters of gas per day. The specific gravity of the oil from the upper sedimentary levels ranges between 25°-48°API, that from the Precambrian crystalline basement rock between 28°-48°API. The sulfur content of the oil is uniformly less than 0.3%. The gas from the Precambrian crystalline basement contains also condensates. The specific formations and depths from which petroleum has been discovered and is now being produced are as follow:
The trapping strata for the reservoirs in the Carboniferous period sandstones are shallower shale formations, as is typical for sedimentary reservoirs. The trapping strata for the reservoirs in the Precambrian crystalline basement are impervious, non-fractured, essentially horizontal zones of crystalline rock which alternate with the fractured, uncompacted, bed-like zones of granite and amphibolite.
Following the discovery of these petroleum reservoirs, a series of quite different scientific investigations have been carried out to test the initial assumptions that the oil and gas have entered the reservoir formations from great depth. Those laboratory analyses are described here briefly.
These results, taken either individually or together, confirm the scientific conclusions that the oil and natural gas found both in the Precambrian crystalline basement and the sedimentary cover of the Northern Monoclinal Flank of the Dnieper-Donets Basin are of deep, and abiotic, origin.
For this work, the present authors responsible for the discovery of these 12 fields were awarded the State Prize of Ukraine in the field of Science and Technology in 1993.
Furthermore, the exploration drilling is still in progress and continues to yield success. Today (15 February 1994), there are 20 commercial new oil and gas fields under development. One of these new fields is the Khukhrya field with reserves of 18 million metric tons of oil. Another is the Yulyovskoye oil and gas field for which the presently discovered petroleum reserves have been calculated to be 27 million tons of oil equivalent.
published in: Krayushkin, V. A., T. I. Tchebanenko, V. P. Klochko, Ye. S. Dvoryanin, J. F. Kenney, (1994). Recent applications of the modern theory of abiogenic hydrocarbon origins: Drilling and development of oil & gas fields in the Dneiper-Donets Basin. VIIth International Symposium on the Observation of the Continental Crust through Drilling, Santa Fe, NM, DOSECC.
There are two other, peripheral issues regarding / challenging the whole notion of imminent peak oil:
Here’s the order book so far:
- The purchase by MidEastern countries of large numbers of A380 Super Jumbo Airbuses.
15 customers, including: Singapore Airlines (launch customer with an order for 19 aircraft and five options), Lufthansa (15), Emirates (47), Air France (12), Qantas (20), Malaysia Airlines (six), Virgin Atlantic (six) International Lease Finance (ten), Kingfisher Airlines (five), Qatar Airways (five), Korean Air (five), Penerbangan Malaysia Berhad (MAS) (six), Thai Airways (six), Etihad Airways (four), China Southern Airlines (five) have announced firm orders for 165 A380 airliners. [Kingfisher Airlines is based in India, in case folks are not familiar with that name.]
In June 2007, Air France ordered an additional two, Emirates an additional eight and Qatar Airways an additional three aircraft.
So it looks like 60 of the A380’s are headed for oil-producing countries, plus probably some of the ILF aircraft.
If the oil producing states of Emirates and Qatar were really worried about oil running out in a few years, why would they purchase so many of the biggest airplane in the world? They can’t all be to accommodate the annual Haj.
In addition, Boeing has sold a lot of the new 787’s to the purchasers in the region, I need to look the Boeing order book. *
Saudi Arabian airlines has apparently not purchased any A380’s or 787’s; however, they did recently make a large buy of the smaller A320s and apparently one or more of the new stretched 747-8 aircraft as executive jets.
So the oil producing countries have a LOT of faith in the future availability of petroleum-based jet fuel.
And we know that MAN-MADE global warming is a hoax.
- In researching the abiotic theory, there is a consistent linkage between the peak oil proponents and their desire to get away from oil because of their BELIEF that the burning of oil causes global warming.
Which has been the subject of many other threads on CAF. But we can go through that again.*
Dee Dee King, people like Al have to believe in the abiotic origin of oil, liked my little ones used to believe that the supermarket always carried milk. It was just impossible that the market might run out of milk! Inconceivable!this has already been debunked. it’s as silly as that russian theory of geosynclines.
I think you’re correct about that, hess. I like to believe that adults are by and large rational and capable of reasoning with when you give them the facts and data. The thought alone of the gas pumps not having gas to fuel the car whenever you need to anytime you need to for getting to work, or even woundering if going on vacation could leave you stranded for day(s) isn’t something a lot of people want to consider. Add to that the thought of not having the food stocks in the supermarkets that you’re use to.Dee Dee King, people like Al have to believe in the abiotic origin of oil, liked my little ones used to believe that the supermarket always carried milk. It was just impossible that the market might run out of milk! Inconceivable!