Latest Ohio polling:
Romney 33%, Santorum 32.9% -
RCP polling average
Outside spending nears $11.5M in Super Tuesday states -
USA Today
The key battleground state: Ohio
“A CNN/ORC International poll released Monday indicates that Ohio is a dead heat between Romney and Santorum, with each grabbing 32% of likely GOP primary voters. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was at 14% and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas was at 11%.” -
CNN
Code:
"Romney told the crowd that if he wins Ohio tomorrow, he will be the GOP nominee. “I hope that I get the support of people here in Ohio tomorrow and in other states across the country. I believe if I do, I’ll get the nomination,” he said. “Then we can start organizing our effort to make sure that we replace President Obama.”" - [Politico](http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0312/73628.html)
"Ohio-based strategists point to two areas of the state where [Rick Santorum] could be poised to exceed expectations. One includes the state's eastern edge, in the areas of Youngstown, which borders Santorum's home state of Pennsylvania." -[ National Journal](http://decoded.nationaljournal.com/2012/03/two-areas-that-could-boost-san.php)
The new battleground state: Tennessee
“Mitt Romney is showing signs of closing in on Rick Santorum in Tennessee, drawing new attention to the state as a battleground ahead of this week’s Super Tuesday balloting. … a victory by Mr. Romney in Tennessee would damp claims that he has only a weak hold on the South, the region where his support in polls has been softest. … Two polls released Sunday showed the former Pennsylvania senator ahead of Mr. Romney by four percentage points—within the polls’ margins of error” -
WSJ ($)
Code:
"Gingrich is expected to easily win Georgia on Tuesday, but his chances in Tennessee — with 58 delegates at stake — are slimmer. Losing Tennessee could blow a hole in the ex-House speaker’s argument that he can remain a viable candidate after Super Tuesday, when the presidential race turns south." - [Politico](http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0312/73647.html)
The one state that appears off-limits for Santorum-Romney: Gingrich’s home state, Georgia
“Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich is banking on a big win in Georgia Tuesday to keep his fading hopes of winning the nomination alive. “It looks now like in Georgia we will carry the state by four or five times the margin that Romney had in Michigan,” Gingrich told supporters in Alcoa, Tenn., Monday.” -
Washington Post
“Gingrich is still in position to do what many conservatives have feared for weeks — play the spoiler role for Rick Santorum and siphon off enough votes from him that Mitt Romney will walk away with the nomination.” -
ABC
Romney camp hopes the contest will be over after tonight
“Virtually assured a majority of delegates awarded tomorrow, (Rick Santorum is ineligible for 16 percent of them, according to a release from the Romney campaign), and eyeing a symbolically important victory at the polls in Ohio, the campaign — yet again — can almost taste the opportunity to put and end to the bitter primary season. … Barring an unexpectedly poor performance tomorrow, Romney’s campaign will seek to signal the end of the race by rolling more endorsements and emphasizing their candidate’s lead in the delegate count.” -
BuzzFeed
Ron Paul is focusing on small-state caucuses
“He says that he’s looking instead for a strong performance in Alaska, Idaho or North Dakota. All of them are caucuses in small states, so it’s easier to out-organise the opposition and leverage his activist muscle into a victory… He never expected to win anything in the early rounds (except, perhaps, Iowa). Instead, he hoped to pull in a consistent 20 to 30 percent of the vote in every contest – snagging the odd caucus here and there. If he’s never seemed depressed in interviews by his results thus far, it’s because everything is sort of going to plan.” -
Tim Stanley
Code:
"The states holding Republican caucuses on Tuesday have received little attention [but] will help decide how the overall Super Tuesday scoreboard is reported and may seem more important in the rear-view mirror." -[ Nate Silver](http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/05/in-caucus-states-a-chance-for-almost-every-candidate/)
Ron Paul endorsed by Mitt Romney's relatives - [USA Today](http://content.usatoday.com/communities/onpolitics/post/2012/03/ron-paul-mitt-romney-relatives-endorsement-/1)