Trump’s Support Drops in Military Communities

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Not following you, but then can anybody? #1 is not wrong
Sorry that you don’t follow the argument. Sad.
As to the polls, take that up with Jeanne S who state that they were conceded the point to Jig Saw, and asked how that was relevant to the thread.
 
His “his very creepy, sexualized comments regarding his daughter Ivanka” are not media lies. He did make the very creepy, sexualized remarks.
The media lies consist in taking something out of its proper context and blow it up to unreal proportions. His daughter Ivanka loves and respects him, despite what you and others think. So in your opinion, she should despise him? You all would wish for that to be true, because you despise the man. But somehow somewhere the man has the grace for a loving daughter, actually two loving daughters and three loving sons. Deal with it.
 
His “his very creepy, sexualized comments regarding his daughter Ivanka” are not media lies. He did make the very creepy, sexualized remarks.
Why are you obsessing over them? That seems creepy too.
 
The media lies consist in taking something out of its proper context and blow it up to unreal proportions. His daughter Ivanka loves and respects him, despite what you and others think. You all would wish for that to be true, because you despise the man.
Have you heard the remarks and check the fidelity to context?

I think that you should acknowledge the truth and not call truth lies.
I also think that you should not pretend knowledge of others unstated thoughts and feelings
 
This was the polling data - no inferences

The Polls showed Hillary winning 195 Electoral Votes to Trumps 154 …

Of the states they polled and showed on the link I provided [PEW RESEARCH too - not some unknown] - Pew had Hillary winning 10 of the 15 states and Trump 5 … that is Hillary being favored as the winner 2:1 …

On that same link - They had Hillary’s chance of winning in the “UpShot Forecast” 85% to Trumps 15% … Now 85-15 is a very large margin …
It’s roughly six-fold better odds than betting some number in roulette. Yet people do that and, from time to time, win.

There have been many post mortems on the polling in 2016. This one by Nate Silver is probably the best. 538, at the end, had the outcome at ~3:1 for HRC. One point touched on too briefly in the article is the shift in the last week toward Trump. And that the polls were better than the reporting on them. Still there were more than a few number of states that voted outside of MoE - enough to flip the result in the state and flip the election.

fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/
 
And Hillary still lost. And Obama is no longer president and so the democrats are
powerless so nothing else to do but to unite in hate for Trump.
So? That’s a pretty lame defense of Trump. “My man beat out a supporter of mass baby murder”. When you set the bar that low… why sure. If you admit Trump is a dangerous, incompetent joke of a president, but still better than supporters of baby genocide, then we are on the same page.
I’m pretty sure this isn’t even the first time in the last 24 hours that I’ve reiterated that criticism of Trump does not equate support of Obama or Clinton. “Lord, I know I beat my wife, but my neighbor killed his! Look how much better I am.” That’s the default position of Trump supporters when his more awkward flaws are brought to light. 🤷
 
Why are you obsessing over them? That seems creepy too.
When Bush was criticized, Bush supporters could say “yeah he’s my man but he was an idiot here”. With Trump, you guys bend over backwards to defend and dismiss every single aspect of his life. It’s deeply disturbing. Why can’t you just say that those comments were messed up… but despite that you support his policy? That I could respect. It’s the handwaving of clearly disturbing comments that makes this whole thing smack of cult of personality. I have grave charges to level at every politician I have ever supported.
 
So? That’s a pretty lame defense of Trump. “My man beat out a supporter of mass baby murder”. When you set the bar that low… why sure. If you admit Trump is a dangerous, incompetent joke of a president, but still better than supporters of baby genocide, then we are on the same page.
I’m pretty sure this isn’t even the first time in the last 24 hours that I’ve reiterated that criticism of Trump does not equate support of Obama or Clinton. “Lord, I know I beat my wife, but my neighbor killed his! Look how much better I am.” That’s the default position of Trump supporters when his more awkward flaws are brought to light. 🤷
Sorry, I don’t see Donald Trump as a dangerous, incompetent joke. Is he flawless?
No. He is our president now and I wish the immature whiners would just stop causing
division by complaining and pointing fingers at Trump over everything.
This is all about finding a reason why Hillary lost because the democrats cannot
accept she was unlikeable and did not run a good campaign. So because the democrat party has eggs on its face, they design a smear campaign against Trump and
who knows how else they sabotaged him before Obama left office.
This thread is just another daily thread to smear Trump in some way.
 
When Bush was criticized, Bush supporters could say “yeah he’s my man but he was an idiot here”. With Trump, you guys bend over backwards to defend and dismiss every single aspect of his life. It’s deeply disturbing. Why can’t you just say that those comments were messed up… but despite that you support his policy? That I could respect. It’s the handwaving of clearly disturbing comments that makes this whole thing smack of cult of personality. I have grave charges to level at every politician I have ever supported.
I think for the democrats every republican is an incompetent idiot.
 
I think for the democrats every republican is an incompetent idiot.
Well, Nixon was the ultimate incompetent idiot…until Reagan came along, then HE was the ultimate incompetent idiot that made Nixon look good. Then Bush 41 was the ultimate incompetent idiot that made Reagan tolerable to the left. Then Bush 43 made the left pine for the days of his father’s brilliant presidency. Now Trump is such an ultimate incompetent idiot to these people that they are actually making favorable comments about Bush 43 and Ronald Reagan! What’s next, Nixon was a great president compared to Trump?

Hysterics will only take you so far…then they’ll get you mocked and laughed at. And ignored.
 
The idea that comes up over and over again here can be framed as a syllogism:
  1. The 2016 election polls were wrong
  2. The assessment of support in military communities is based on a poll
  3. Therefore the assessment is wrong.
The logic is invalid to begin with. Moreover, as you have indicated, the first premise is false.
Actually, you’re missing a few key points in your logic. The first premise isn’t just that ‘the 2016 election polls were wrong.’ The first premise is, ‘the 2016 election polls that showed Hillary winning a landslide Electoral College vote were massaged to make her victory appear inevitable.’ That premise is absolutely true; the popular vote is as relevant as Jeb!'s post-nomination campaign strategy.

The second premise is correctly stated as: “The assessment of support in military communities is based on polls done by the same people who massaged the numbers to make Hillary’s victory appear inevitable.”

The third premise is correctly stated as: “Therefore, the assessment of military family support should be considered to be as flawed and politically-driven as the Hillary election polls.”

You want logic? Bring it on.
 
Well, Nixon was the ultimate incompetent idiot…until Reagan came along, then HE was the ultimate incompetent idiot that made Nixon look good. Then Bush 41 was the ultimate incompetent idiot that made Reagan tolerable to the left. Then Bush 43 made the left pine for the days of his father’s brilliant presidency. Now Trump is such an ultimate incompetent idiot to these people that they are actually making favorable comments about Bush 43 and Ronald Reagan! What’s next, Nixon was a great president compared to Trump?

Hysterics will only take you so far…then they’ll get you mocked and laughed at. And ignored.
So true.The Republican presidents in the eyes of the Dems are ,tres incompetant,usually stole the election as well.:rolleyes:Meanwhile !any and all Dem presidents are awesome in every possible way…
 
Well, Nixon was the ultimate incompetent idiot…until Reagan came along, then HE was the ultimate incompetent idiot that made Nixon look good. Then Bush 41 was the ultimate incompetent idiot that made Reagan tolerable to the left. Then Bush 43 made the left pine for the days of his father’s brilliant presidency. Now Trump is such an ultimate incompetent idiot to these people that they are actually making favorable comments about Bush 43 and Ronald Reagan! What’s next, Nixon was a great president compared to Trump?

Hysterics will only take you so far…then they’ll get you mocked and laughed at. And ignored.
Exactly. You get my point. And remember Sarah Palin? Granted she wasn’t president,
just running as VP and she received the same treatment.
 
Exactly. You get my point. And remember Sarah Palin? Granted she wasn’t president,
just running as VP and she received the same treatment.
Whatever happened to Michelle Bachman?The left did a real hatchet job on her.She too was painted as a blithering idiot.Nevermind she held a post doctorate degree in tax law.So really,more educated than HC,yet she went down as well…
 
The first premise isn’t just that ‘the 2016 election polls were wrong.’ The first premise is, ‘the 2016 election polls that showed Hillary winning a landslide Electoral College vote were massaged to make her victory appear inevitable.’ That premise is absolutely true; the popular vote is as relevant as Jeb!'s post-nomination campaign strategy.
Oh … that is an interesting evolution; typically on the forum, whenever poll come out that are unflattering to Trump, we get a simple broadside against polls “proven” by the election outcome. You make a more interesting claim. For which, of course, you have not a scintilla of proof.

BTW, HRC electoral college landslide? Weeks out there may have been projections along those lines, with EC votes approaching 400, but the polls narrorwed considerably in the last ten days; who was predicting a this landslide on election day?
The second premise is correctly stated as: “The assessment of support in military communities is based on polls done by the same people who massaged the numbers to make Hillary’s victory appear inevitable.”
The third premise is correctly stated as: “Therefore, the assessment of military family support should be considered to be as flawed and politically-driven as the Hillary election polls.”
You want logic? Bring it on.
Well first let me say that I am happy that you were not reduced to head scratching.
But your logic is still invalid, as i am sure that you see; and the first premise as you amended it remains unsubstantiated.
 
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