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_Abyssinia
Guest
Nate Silver has tweeted that “1237 not impossible”, but he also predicts Trump will get to 1160 and:But a lot of the recent state polls show Trump doing well in the next two weeks.
twitter.com/natesilver538/status/7203247619102515201160 assumes that Trump:
- Cleans up in the Northeast
- Narrowly loses Indiana
- Gets about half of Calif. delegates
Here is the projection on FiveThirtyEight. If you read the article three weeks weeks this “panel of eight experts” put Trump at getting 1208 delegates, but with a serious of losses since that projection it is not as it was. They now project 1155 or 1159.
By the way, they note that Wyoming is on the 16th of April, which is before the New York primary.
Cruz will probably win the majority if not perhaps even all of the remaining delegates there.