K
Kelt
Guest
This is taken from a review of Koonin’s book, the Logic of Chance…
In figure 12-7B the threshold of biological evolution would equal 1,800 nucleotides. Despite this, life exists on this earth. Now, Koonin invokes a radical alternative: Eternal Inflation Cosmology. The Many Worlds in One (MWO) changes the very definition of what is possible, likely, and random in such a way that the probability of the realization of any scenario in an infinite multiverse is exactly 1.
“Thus, spontaneous emergence of complex systems that would have to be considered virtually impossible in a finite universe becomes not only possible, but inevitable under MWO.” (p. 385).
“Specifically, it becomes conceivable that the breakthrough stage for the onset of biological evolution could have been a primitive coupled replication-translation system that emerged by chance” (p.392 my emphasis).
This is the most unorthodox, subversive claim in the whole 516 page book. This radical change in thinking must have happened 2007 May 31 when Koonin published an ‘optimistic’ mainstream publication with Yuri Wolf (2) and a ‘pessimistic’ publication (3) without coauthor. The second publication has been reviewed by four researchers. One reviewer (Eric Bapteste) was afraid that Koonin’s views “could open a huge door to the tenants of intelligent design”. Koonin replied that “Properly interpreted, the anthropic principle is a death knell to ID” and that biologists should not stop publishing research on hard problems in evolutionary biology and should not declare these hard problems solved. The ID crowd will interpret these results as support for their cause anyway." I fully agree with Koonin. David Krakauer warns for the danger of invoking the infinite multi-verse: “as well assert that all observed biological order emerged in one step, including the complete evolutionary history of life.” According to the fourth reviewer (Itai Yanai) the present model represents the first one to account for the origin of life by explicitly invoking the anthropic principle. The anthropic principle means that only universes in which the transition to Darwinian evolution happened evolved observers. The other universes do not contain (complex) life and thus no observers.
In figure 12-7B the threshold of biological evolution would equal 1,800 nucleotides. Despite this, life exists on this earth. Now, Koonin invokes a radical alternative: Eternal Inflation Cosmology. The Many Worlds in One (MWO) changes the very definition of what is possible, likely, and random in such a way that the probability of the realization of any scenario in an infinite multiverse is exactly 1.
“Thus, spontaneous emergence of complex systems that would have to be considered virtually impossible in a finite universe becomes not only possible, but inevitable under MWO.” (p. 385).
“Specifically, it becomes conceivable that the breakthrough stage for the onset of biological evolution could have been a primitive coupled replication-translation system that emerged by chance” (p.392 my emphasis).
This is the most unorthodox, subversive claim in the whole 516 page book. This radical change in thinking must have happened 2007 May 31 when Koonin published an ‘optimistic’ mainstream publication with Yuri Wolf (2) and a ‘pessimistic’ publication (3) without coauthor. The second publication has been reviewed by four researchers. One reviewer (Eric Bapteste) was afraid that Koonin’s views “could open a huge door to the tenants of intelligent design”. Koonin replied that “Properly interpreted, the anthropic principle is a death knell to ID” and that biologists should not stop publishing research on hard problems in evolutionary biology and should not declare these hard problems solved. The ID crowd will interpret these results as support for their cause anyway." I fully agree with Koonin. David Krakauer warns for the danger of invoking the infinite multi-verse: “as well assert that all observed biological order emerged in one step, including the complete evolutionary history of life.” According to the fourth reviewer (Itai Yanai) the present model represents the first one to account for the origin of life by explicitly invoking the anthropic principle. The anthropic principle means that only universes in which the transition to Darwinian evolution happened evolved observers. The other universes do not contain (complex) life and thus no observers.